ChescoWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 GFS and euro have merged ideas and the results are mediocre we need a south trend 30 miles or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Nail-biting... And to think we have a whole weekend of trends/ticks left. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 48 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: The NBM with it's nice blend has done IMHO the best job with storms so far this season...If I were in the Lehigh Valley and on northbound from there I would be pretty optimistic about snow. Down in southern climes like where I am....not so much. A A lot of this south of the Turnpike is most likely not amounting to much other than the grass etc. due to temps, radiational heating, and ground temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: GFS and euro have merged ideas and the results are mediocre we need a south trend 30 miles or so? LOL try 55-70 miles or so for most of us south the turnpike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I'm sure we'll get NAM'd once or twice this weekend, so we have that to look forward to. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: GFS and euro have merged ideas and the results are mediocre we need a south trend 30 miles or so? Definitely seeing a model consensus coming together kind of classic really. However I would suspect some ticks and changes about 84-96 hours out one way or the other I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: A lot of this south of the Turnpike is most likely not amounting to much other than the grass etc. due to temps, radiational heating, and ground temps. Spots over 600 ft asl will accumulate....if there is snow falling that is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said: LOL try 55-70 miles or so for most of us south the turnpike. Go big or go home eh. It's been the same tight rope dance all winter kinda tired of it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 GFS basically looks like what the NBM had. It seems similar to our earlier first "threat" storm 1/15 - 1/16 with the antecedent warm temps and the attempt at a hop, skip, and jump (although missing a 2nd coastal nearby). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Looks like 12 hrs of white rain for MBY. Maybe some slop on the grass. Yeah the PD storm still looking suppressed. Fantasy land has yet another Cleveland Steamer. Time to get one more round and the check please to cash out of this mess of a Winter with almost nothing but staring at glorious 384 hr ensemble runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Bernie Rayno on Accuweather was pretty spot on with his thoughts last night/today that we would see a northern trend. Was hoping for Warning Critera, but will gladly take another 2-4in snowfall if this is what it ends up being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Bernie Rayno on Accuweather was pretty spot on with his thoughts last night/today that we would see a northern trend. Was hoping for Warning Critera, but will gladly take another 2-4in snowfall if this is what it ends up being. I think it's a foregone conclusion that it is an I-78 / I-80 special. The track and any deathbands that might set up (including with the pivot) will determine how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 21 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Spots over 600 ft asl will accumulate....if there is snow falling that is Yea 310' here in Media just won't cut it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On another note.... If you haven't been outside today please go out and enjoy! 56 degrees now in Dub C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I am a big Bernie Rayno fan...he just said he is going against the current Accu Weather snow maps and believes there will be no snow at all in SE PA nada too warm. Says models will indeed come north this weekend and AccuWeather and others will shift their accumulating snow forecasts northbound. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 29 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: I am a big Bernie Rayno fan...he just said he is going against the current Accu Weather snow maps and believes there will be no snow at all in SE PA nada too warm. Says models will indeed come north this weekend and AccuWeather and others will shift their accumulating snow forecasts northbound. Well that would go back to the original solution where New England wins. I mean that is a dramatic Shift back and forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 12k NAM is slowly coming into range and the last frame of the run does hint at the same "north and west" trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Looks like the 18z GFS is Naming us 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Topped out at 57F. Couldn’t even get warm enough to invoke the Wiggum Rule. 18z GFS looks good, but I’ll take Bernie Rayno over the GFS any day of the week and twice on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Some plowable snow down to Philly on the GFS. Big hit north of the turnpike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Looks like the 18z GFS is Naming us Yep. Wish we could lock that in. While I still love snow I am a decent bit older than when I started on this board and more cautious about getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Very familiar map looks just like the January storm map three days out I only squeezed 3.8" from. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Very familiar map looks just like the January storm map three days out I only squeezed 3.8" from. You are right. I would take another storm like that though my location always seems to get the lower end. The low elevation does not help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Jim Thorpe ftw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 7” in my backyard would be the biggest of the season put me closer to 20” but we know it probably won’t happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 GFS ensembles more favorable then the OP so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said: On another note.... If you haven't been outside today please go out and enjoy! 56 degrees now in Dub C. Felt like March 9th, especially with the dandelions and drunk behaving bees on the bird feeder. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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