ChescoWx Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Rain to snow almost always works out in this area.....right?? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Welp. Pretty damn foggy out there. Outdoor Christmas lights on....all good. 39F/Fog 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: Welp. Pretty damn foggy out there. Outdoor Christmas lights on....all good. 39F/Fog a very clear sign that tomorrow afternoon/evening is going to be a royal rumbler with flooding rains. The atmosphere is loading up for the show with all of the warm air advection going on. Seen this scenario unfold many times in December. T storms, squall lines and very damaging winds coming our way. I will state emphatically right now that since this storm will be so dynamic with all of this moisture loading up at this time of the year and the fact it is already in the mid 40's at my house this morning., we will be under severe t- storm watch tomorrow afternoon , mostly for damaging straight line winds. The flooding rains will be the main by product this time but you will not forget about the winds. The front is so dynamic that I also say half dollar size snowflakes with a 1-3 inches of snow and very gusty winds will be on our doorstep Monday morning is very possible scenario for the LV and northern Montgomery/Bucks area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Really dense fog this morning, but it was only about 300 feet thick. It was gloomy beneath it, but beautiful above it. Looked like the surface of an ocean. Made for some cool timelapses. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 12z hi-res models are really bullish on Monday morning snow, especially west of I-95. If we can get that trough to dig just a little more we could be looking at some decent accumulations closer to the cities. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 I don’t think we ever got NAM’ed last year. My bar is set low for this one, just hoping to see flakes flying. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 3k says a few hours of snow tv monday morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Ironically isn't this the window where ppl were saying we would torch in early Dec? Yet this would be the 3rd time already (4th total) in Dec we see flakes. Trend thus far is it wants to snow. Can't wait to see where we're at 3 or 4 weeks from now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 12z hi-res models are really bullish on Monday morning snow, especially west of I-95. If we can get that trough to dig just a little more we could be looking at some decent accumulations closer to the cities. 3K Nam flipped pretty quickly so there is that showed snow through the Delaware River into New Jersey. I think definitely I would side with the dynamical models here with this one models like the GFS just don't cut it. I like our chances for snow Monday Morning 4 am to 10 am especially the Delaware River west, northwest, north, and northeast. I will go with 1-3" mainly on the grass with wet to perhaps slushy roads especially north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ironically isn't this the window where ppl were saying we would torch in early Dec? Yet this would be the 3rd time already (4th total) in Dec we see flakes. Trend thus far is it wants to snow. Can't wait to see where we're at 3 or 4 weeks from now. Second that! Trying to remember if we saw flakes at all in November or December last year (sarcasm). I am going with snow totals for the year of 20-30" for Delaware Co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 A bit foggy this AM but it should burn away later and yield a nice mild afternoon. Clouds will be increasing later today with rain arriving by tomorrow morning. Windy and rainy through tomorrow night....all models still show the rain mixing with and changing to some wet snow by Monday morning. Of note the NWS does not have snow in the forecast at this time. However, If it does occur it will be a wet snow with temps never falling below freezing....this does not mean snow cannot accumulate especially in the higher elevations of the county on non-paved surfaces etc. Records for today: 71 (1966) / Low 6 (1989) / Rain 1.80" (2009) / Snow 7.8" (2005) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 12z RGEM spoils the party and says everyone loses but the Poconos. Still a positive trend from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 34 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ironically isn't this the window where ppl were saying we would torch in early Dec? Yet this would be the 3rd time already (4th total) in Dec we see flakes. Trend thus far is it wants to snow. Can't wait to see where we're at 3 or 4 weeks from now. Seriously! If I didn’t have windows and my only access to weather info was this board, you’d think we’ve consistently been in the 60’s and 70’s this month. Some years we can’t buy a flake, but early signs are the atmosphere can produce frozen for us this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Bottomed out at 37 this morning and the fog/low stratus was thick but much of that has lifted now although it is still misty and overcast. Currently 44 with dp 44. 6z hi-res Euro does throw a changeover into the mix for tomorrow. I noticed what was originally a more inland low has been pushed east and at least according to the Euro, may bomb out when it gets off the coast of NE. However it looks like the accums would still be N/W with the colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Top 10 Snowstorms by Decade for Chester County 1890's through 2020's to date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ironically isn't this the window where ppl were saying we would torch in early Dec? Yet this would be the 3rd time already (4th total) in Dec we see flakes. Trend thus far is it wants to snow. Can't wait to see where we're at 3 or 4 weeks from now. Always the optimist remember those cold and snow chances for early November lol More than a little concerned about this Sinbad of Arabia Pacific jet streak that has North America torched. But a greater than average chance of a big snowstorm occuring with the El Nino juiced up jet in Jan-Feb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: Top 10 Snowstorms by Decade for Chester County 1890's through 2020's to date We need a redux of Valentines Day 1899! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We need a redux of Valentines Day 1899! Feb 1899 kicked ass- I will never forget that month 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 April 12th 1894 29.2" snow I can imagine the consternation among the town folk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 44 minutes ago, RedSky said: April 12th 1894 29.2" snow I can imagine the consternation among the town folk Interesting that it never went below freezing during the event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 If we could lock in the 18z 3km NAM I would be VERY happy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 You have been NAMmed...6" over East Nantmeal and points NE....book it!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 We got NAMed again Even if it doesn’t snow, still so much better than last year already. At least there’s junk & stuff to track. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 11 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: You have been NAMmed...6" over East Nantmeal and points NE....book it!! 10" imby, there is little chance this fails I'm already holding the shovel and looking skyward 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 This is more accurate 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Elevation.....will be the only way this accumulates IMHO.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: We got NAMed again Even if it doesn’t snow, still so much better than last year already. At least there’s junk & stuff to track. I just want to see the roads/trees covered...even a inch will do. 48F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 18z GFS not hating the idea of some frozen mixing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 9 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ironically isn't this the window where ppl were saying we would torch in early Dec? Yet this would be the 3rd time already (4th total) in Dec we see flakes. Trend thus far is it wants to snow. Can't wait to see where we're at 3 or 4 weeks from now. Don't tell anyone in the other forums this. Their heads might explode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 0z models have begun to come in and the HRRR is painting a very snowy picture for the Philly burbs into the Lehigh Valley and Poconos. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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