LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 HRRR upped totals north of Philly, cut them south. Looks like some models are pushing up the start and end times for this too…could start as early as dinner tomorrow and end mid-morning Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Pessimistic about the Kuchera snow ratio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 hour ago, anthonyweather said: Eagles fans laughing all over Facebook. Bucs gonna do this to them Monday . Yeah because all those Cowboy fans that talked while the Eagles are down it just bit them in the ass. If Eagles lose tomorrow we all know why. It's no surprise. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 NAM’D even more than 18z. LFG. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 NAM got even juicier somehow. Mix line gets pretty far north but precip is mainly snow for most people north of Philly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 NAM’D even more than 18z. LFG.Oh yea. Looks like a solid 4-6 along and NW of 95. And that's 10:1. Nice trends all around. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 0z NAM ups the ante yet again 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 3km NAM doesn’t look half bad either. Colder than the regular NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 NAM puts MBY very close to plugging in the snowblower. lol.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 I would take the perfect bullseye at under 42 hrs tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I would take the perfect bullseye at under 42 hrs tho Boys lost, if Birds win,this, cold for a time....good week. Cold as balls out there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 0z models aren’t very excited about the Friday threat so far. Looks more like a long duration light snow event from Thursday night to Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 0z models aren’t very excited about the Friday threat so far. Looks more like a long duration light snow event from Thursday night to Friday night. And since when is that an issue? We take. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: 0z models aren’t very excited about the Friday threat so far. Looks more like a long duration light snow event from Thursday night to Friday night. If it's sub 32F and stuff falling I'm in at this point. We have a pretty decent pattern... 22F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: And since when is that an issue? We take. Not an issue at all. If we’re not going to get a coastal bomb, an entire day and night of light snow is the next best thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, LVblizzard said: Not an issue at all. If we’re not going to get a coastal bomb, an entire day and night of light snow is the next best thing. I think most of us all want is a 2-4" thing a ma ginger...cold air is there so we're half way home. 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Not that I'm complaining. I'll take whatever snow we get, but what is the reason these sw's aren't amping up as they make the turn up the coast? Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 MA subforum is a trip. Not shaving till after the Birds tomorrow night or RedSky wakes up... 22F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 3k nam would actually be awesome here… 4” of snow with .05-.1” of freezing rain to get a nice glacier in place. Starting to get a little excited now…. Would be a nice hopefully appetizer to get on the board this year. Right now I’m at .2”… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: And since when is that an issue? We take. Friday event is icing on the cake snow event for Tuesday and not an issue as long it is not another 2 inch rain event. My motto with this event -- SCOGFAM -----snow cover our ground for a month SC method Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Both NAMs once again deliver the goods. The 3km NAM snows for nearly a day straight for some parts of the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Models are pushing a dry slot/snizzle into SE PA after the first wave early tonight. Then we pin our hopes and dreams on the deform/wraparound as the system zips off. Seen these before, slot always gets farther N and W and the 2nd part is a non-event...light stuff no additional accums extreme SE PA. Think the NAMs are overdone as always. First call is 1-3" imby, 2-5" N and W of here (central bucks) into the LV. A few 6" lollis there. S and E of here c-2". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 20 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Models are pushing a dry slot/snizzle into SE PA after the first wave early tonight. Then we pin our hopes and dreams on the deform/wraparound as the system zips off. Seen these before, slot always gets farther N and W and the 2nd part is a non-event...light stuff no additional accums extreme SE PA. Think the NAMs are overdone as always. First call is 1-3" imby, 2-5" N and W of here (central bucks) into the LV. A few 6" lollis there. S and E of here c-2". WWA up for Philly... 2-4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 2 hours ago, yoda said: WWA up for Philly... 2-4 Quote Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 412 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-152215- /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0002.240116T0000Z-240116T1800Z/ Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-Delaware-Philadelphia- Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery- Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown 412 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow expected this evening into tonight. A change over to mixed precipitation is likely Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$ I went on and made an OBS thread here - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Main wave tonight according to latest xhrrr is 3 hrs pixie dust then slot over SE PA with wraparound pity flakes in the AM Tuesday. Rgem went the same route. Brace for the 12z nams cutting things in half. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Had a sunlit city this morning before the clouds moved in. Hoping this view has a bit more white in it tomorrow morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 12z NAM has a solid 2" to 3" across much of the area by the time the birds game ends,,,,more still to fall 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 NAM does show that warm layer nosing in all the way up to the city....something to watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just now, ChescoWx said: NAM does show that warm layer nosing in all the way up to the city....something to watch Either the NAM will score the huge win or they are out to lunch still. Most other guidance going against what the nams show. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Main wave tonight according to latest xhrrr is 3 hrs pixie dust then slot over SE PA with wraparound pity flakes in the AM Tuesday. Rgem went the same route. Brace for the 12z nams cutting things in half. what will it take to make you happy- two back to back SECS? Let those who are starved to see a real winter of a white ground and lows near ten degrees for longer than 48 hours in the last three years enjoy their two inches from this snow event for the next week or so. I am so tired of seeing 3-6 in snows be gone in less than three days. What a waste of a good snowpack. By the way this so called lousy 2-4 in snow event will save the ski resorts this year and give snow removal companies some money. These individuals need this pixie dust and pity flakes more than you anyway LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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