Birds~69 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, Albedoman said: actually as legitimate snow weenie LOL, I am pretty pissed tonight that Memphis TN will experience a true winter on MLK way before us. What do I mean? The highs on Monday will be in the teens with snow 2-3 inches in memphis. Not alot of snow but dammit, the ratios will be so high with the extreme cold temps and it will be on the ground for days. What really gets me cranking as their overnight lows will be near zero on Monday night. Please make this f*&king rain go away. 15 inches of rain in less than 30 days enough. You must be thrilled about the upcoming solid rain event Fri night into Sat.... 56F/light rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro and GFS still have the storm Tuesday but too close to call for us on I-95 where the R/S line sets up. Looks SECSy but... Temps look to crash next week. Fantasy land has a storm to the south on the 18th, and another one coming up around the 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Ended up with 2.90" of rain here in East Nantmeal eclipsing the old mark of 1.66" set back in 1964. Still without power here in the township as I know many of you are in the same situation. Winds are still howling but at least sunshine has returned. The wind advisory is in place till 6pm this evening. Temps should stay pretty steady today. Unfortunately the dry weather will only last till Friday night when we see more rain (although a good deal less) arriving. Mild again on Friday but temps should start falling during the day Saturday with the potential for a little snow by Monday night into Tuesday. Records for today: High 62 (1950) / Low -3 (1982) / Rain 1.06" (2016) / Snow 9.0" (1954) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 12z ECM keeping the winter storm threat next Tuesday and the GFS now to some degree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Keep it there and we can worry about details in a few days. Just keep showing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 The drought guy here saying any chance of drought now will not return until late summer at the earliest. Personally if I see another 2-3 inch rainfall event after Saturday, I give up on winter LOL. I have measured nearly 15 inches of rain in less than 30 days at my domain. To put that in perspective, that is almost 35% of our annual total rainfall in just 30 days with little to no evapotranspiration. That is 100% recharge into the aquifers with unfrozen soils and what does not recharge is 100% runoff. All wells are at max levels and all impoundments for public water supply our at max for our area too. Any snow we get is a real plus now. Spring growth should be fantastic this year with blooming flowers along with those who love to mow because the of all the free nitrogen in the rainfall. The grass will be very green in Late March. I said in earlier posts that the third week of January (21st) would be the trigger. I am real close. The snow conveyor belt is about to begin as cold air is trying is dam hard to blow over the appalachians mountains by the middle part of next week. If a clipper shoots down in our direction, we will get some of that polar air too to set up the parade of storms as the GOM is finally opening its doors after a 5+ year hiatus . Lets cross our fingers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 Last time we had this 6 days out, it trended north over the coming days and LV got their solid storm. Watch this one do the opposite and it trends south so SNJ and DE get hit while 95 gets left high and dry. I'm half expecting it tbh. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 55 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Last time we had this 6 days out, it trended north over the coming days and LV got their solid storm. Watch this one do the opposite and it trends south so SNJ and DE get hit while 95 gets left high and dry. I'm half expecting it tbh. Think we'll have some chances, little or large, starting next week till the end of the month. Temps look to be below average as well. Not frigid but good enough for any storm or popup moisture. Much better than last year which is stating the obvious... 44F/Gusty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: Last time we had this 6 days out, it trended north over the coming days and LV got their solid storm. Watch this one do the opposite and it trends south so SNJ and DE get hit while 95 gets left high and dry. I'm half expecting it tbh. 18z GFS has mix in New Orleans and shreds the early week system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Due to the non-diurnal temps post-storm, my "high" happened at 12:30 am and my "low" is my current temp of 45 (so far), with dp 32. It was good to see the sun dry things out a bit but the ground is saturated and thanks to the winds today, there were lots of branches around, although not as bad as it probably could have been. Was glad the power held! Looks like Chester County had the biggest impact for power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Not bad...tons of time. 40F/Wind calmed down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Power is still out in many spots including here in East Nantmeal. We should see some sun today before clouds start increasing again tomorrow ahead of another rainstorm. Rain arrives tomorrow evening after rush hour and will continue into Saturday. It looks like an unneeded 0.75" to 1.25" of rain are possible across the county. Much colder air with our pattern change arrives on Sunday and temps across some spots of the county may begin a stretch of temps failing to reach freezing for much of next week. There will also be a couple of chances of snow the first event possible late Monday into Tuesday and another one late in the week. Records for today: High 67(1975) / Low -5 (1981) / Rain 1.19" (1924) / Snow 7.2" (1922) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Not bad...tons of time.40F/Wind calmed downThink suppression is more on the table than anything with this. Gfs gives a nice storm , as does the spire and cmc . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 National Blend of Model snow for the next potential winter event on Tuesday into Wednesday. Of course not a forecast - we do not shovel model snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 12z gfs and cmc . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 11 Author Share Posted January 11 cool so anywhere between 0"-9". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6 minutes ago, The Iceman said: cool so anywhere between 0"-9". Long range forecasting remains an inexact science..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Ukie says I don't think so I-95 for Tuesday. However, it is trending SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 But with very cold air do we think suppression might be an issue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 UK . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 12Z Euro Actually, kind of odd seeing the UKMET and Euro not in agreement. Still, I'm not taking anything too seriously one way or the other before 12Z Saturday. Let's get cutter #2 off the field first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 European says what snow next week?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 29 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: European says what snow next week?? Gonna come down to which model caves to which. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18Z GFS holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Gfs smoke job . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Big fan of the "smoke job"... Overall, next week, we can't get screw out of a Birds win and shafted on snow...can we? 42F/Clear/Predicted low 29F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Big fan of the "smoke job"... Overall, next week, we can't get screw out of a Birds win and shafted on snow...can we? 42F/Clear/Predicted low 29F Are you forgetting where we live? Curious to see if the 18Z Euro follows the 12Z or was it just a hiccup. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Just now, JTA66 said: Are you forgetting where we live? Curious to see if the 18Z Euro follows the 12Z or was it just a hiccup. Know it very well, playing mind games with myself. It's therapy. Tell ya the the truth, I'm looking forward to Fri night/Sat rain/wind.....drought guy may flip out. 42F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 30 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Know it very well, playing mind games with myself. It's therapy. Tell ya the the truth, I'm looking forward to Fri night/Sat rain/wind.....drought guy may flip out. 42F hell no I will not flip out. 1-2 inch rain is nothing now. a cakewalk. The major sewer lines in our area are fully surcharged and overflows are occuring from inflow from leaky pipes. This does not bode well for the municipalities of the Lehigh County. The township people today pulled the sewer lid out in front of my house and the pipe was full and it was not blocked after they jetted the collector line. Can you say the shit has already hit the fan with these rainfall amounts in the last 30 days? Bring on the cold and snow , I am ready 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 minutes ago, Albedoman said: hell no I will not flip out. 1-2 inch rain is nothing now. a cakewalk. The major sewer lines in our area are fully surcharged and overflows are occuring from inflow from leaky pipes. This does not bode well for the municipalities of the Lehigh County. The township people today pulled the sewer lid out in front of my house and the pipe was full and it was not blocked after they jetted the collector line. Can you say the shit has already hit the fan with these rainfall amounts in the last 30 days? Bring on the cold and snow , I am ready Cold coming, snow still up for debate although I think we'll see some (minor) at the very least... 41F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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