zenmsav6810 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 20 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Can't even hit 60F this winter to setup a Wiggum Rule event. What gives? The rain warmeth, the rain cooleth away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2-3"+ rain/30mph+ wind looks like a lock for many of us. Some snow mid month 16th or so? 41F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Asking for a friend. Could we start an OBS thread for tomorrow, and Friday's system? This is gonna get real interesting this week and looks like more in the pipeline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Daffodils are really coming along nicely. Should have buds by early Feb at this rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 25 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Daffodils are really coming along nicely. Should have buds by early Feb at this rate We were in full bloom here for Valentine's Day last year! We are on the exact same pace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 0z Euro is a MECS for 16th. EPS was also honking for the same time. CMC was close but couldn't figure out which energy to focus on. 6z GFS was a SECS. Euro had the cities on the line. Usual caveats apply at this range...7 days out. Time to track 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 22 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z Euro is a MECS for 16th. EPS was also honking for the same time. CMC was close but couldn't figure out which energy to focus on. 6z GFS was a SECS. Euro had the cities on the line. Usual caveats apply at this range...7 days out. Time to track Got to get though the two super soakers and wind machines first. At this point I am starting to wonder which storm is more impactful today's storm or Saturday. I mean 978 mb storm in NW PA is no joke for here when it comes to heavy rain, strong winds, and probably severe thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 42 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z Euro is a MECS for 16th. EPS was also honking for the same time. CMC was close but couldn't figure out which energy to focus on. 6z GFS was a SECS. Euro had the cities on the line. Usual caveats apply at this range...7 days out. Time to track We track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Some snow map fun Gfs Euro . 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 New model out called “Spire”Some sort of space model . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 33 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: New model out called “Spire” Some sort of space model . That as modeled by the space model would be a HECS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 After today's storm we should see the weather improving tomorrow with rare sunshine returning for one day on Thursday. Our next rain event takes place on Friday before a turn to much colder by Saturday with potential snow chances increasing early next week. Records for today: High 68 (1930) / Low -1 (1970) / Rain 1.66" (1964) / Snow 3.0" (1977) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 23 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: After today's storm we should see the weather improving tomorrow with rare sunshine returning for one day on Thursday. Our next rain event takes place on Friday before a turn to much colder by Saturday with potential snow chances increasing early next week. Records for today: High 68 (1930) / Low -1 (1970) / Rain 1.66" (1964) / Snow 3.0" (1977) That storm Saturday is a repeat of today possibly stronger due to the fact todays storm is a 978-980 way out in western Michigan. Saturdays storm 978 at Erie much closer to us. Heavy rain high winds and severe thunderstorms ⛈ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Met winter mid point next week. Backloaded winter or bust! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Met winter mid point next week. Backloaded winter or bust!We are like 2.5 weeks into winter…. Last time I checked we aren’t entering the end of winter . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: We are like 2.5 weeks into winter…. Last time I checked we aren’t entering the end of winter . "Met winter". Dec 1 - Mar 1. Just an observation. No need to read anything more into it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: We are like 2.5 weeks into winter…. Last time I checked we aren’t entering the end of winter . "Met winter" starts Dec 1st... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 "Met winter". Dec 1 - Mar 1. Just an observation. No need to read anything more into it.Oh my bad lol, missed that part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Snow in State college... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Snowing at home with a coating Bethlehem sleet/rain mix . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 hours ago, anthonyweather said: New model out called “Spire” Some sort of space model . How did the space "Spire" Model do in the past snow event just for scoring reasons? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 15 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Snowing at home with a coating Bethlehem sleet/rain mix . Kiss that snowpack good bye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Light Rain 37 humidity 81% Dewpoint 31 pressure 30.10 falling Wind ENE 9 mph total rainfall so far 0.03" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Kiss that snowpack good bye!Yes sir!! Can’t wait for water in my basement . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Decent snow to ice storm this time next week on the ECM typical mix issues I95 N&W. But genuine January cold before and post system. Feels like winter with systems to track vs last year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Lots of storms every few days. Surely I'll cash in on 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 How did the space "Spire" Model do in the past snow event just for scoring reasons?I will have to see if I can look back on how it did with the past Snow event, it was just launched at Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: How did the space "Spire" Model do in the past snow event just for scoring reasons? So the Spire has a nice Hit next wednesday. Does not allow for zoom past this view though. unfortunately, weatherbell only allows you to go back 4 previous runs.... and as far as what im reading, its only available through weatherbell https://spire.com/weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Actually really interesting video from the creators. This model uses radio occultations, the space satellites integrate temperature, pressures and humidity . From what I understand, they compare the GFS with spire, and the one of the errors in the GFS is it consistently miscalculates MB by up to 10mb, which causes swings in the run to run consistency. idk, its worth a watch. https://video.search.yahoo.com/search/video?fr=mcafee&p=spire+weather+model+free&type=E210US739G0#id=1&vid=9701711166f0876451987a28b96876e3&action=click Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 actually as legitimate snow weenie LOL, I am pretty pissed tonight that Memphis TN will experience a true winter on MLK way before us. What do I mean? The highs on Monday will be in the teens with snow 2-3 inches in memphis. Not alot of snow but dammit, the ratios will be so high with the extreme cold temps and it will be on the ground for days. What really gets me cranking as their overnight lows will be near zero on Monday night. Please make this f*&king rain go away. 15 inches of rain in less than 30 days enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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