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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion


The Iceman
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Good mow yesterday (and I didn’t get stung by any yellow jackets). The last time I mowed was around Halloween. I mainly wanted to mulch the leaves but was surprised how much the grass had grown since late October.

It looks like this storm is a Miller A? That has to be a good sign. They’ve been rare in recent years. And even if it was cold, this looks like it’s taking an inland track, so we’d be flipping to rain anyway.

48F

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21 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

those guys in the NYC forum are bonkers- 5-7 inches. They are dry slotted right now.

 

It's filling in but probably not a "5-7" filling in"...they sniff glue/paint up that way so predictions are subjective.

Thinking a 2-3"+ event which is pretty substantial...

53F/Rain pecking the windows

jb.jpg

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19 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Again it sure looks like it's on the western edge of guidance

Just be happy it wasn't (never was) a snow event...weenies jumping out windows all over the place.

On the bright sight side, Dallas got smoked, we'll receive a good dose of rain and "drought guy" will be happy.

54F/Mod rain

 

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on cue. approaching 2 inches inches of rain. Flood warning by 5am should be issued next as Little Lehigh is already out of its banks in my backyard.

PAC077-095-181045-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.Y.0216.000000T0000Z-231218T1045Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lehigh PA-Northampton PA-
210 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2023

...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues.

* WHERE...A portion of east central Pennsylvania, including the
  following counties, Lehigh and Northampton.

* WHEN...Until 545 AM EST.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
  Rises in small streams and normally dry arroyos. Water over
  roadways. Overflowing poor drainage areas. Some low-water
  crossings may become impassable.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 209 AM EST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain. Minor
    flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly across
    portions of the advisory area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
    have fallen. An additional inch of rain will fall.
  - Some locations that may experience flooding include...
    Allentown, Bethlehem, Northampton, Hellertown, Lehigh
    University, Catasauqua, Fountain Hill, Coplay, North
    Catasauqua, Freemansburg, Fullerton, and Hokendauqua.
  - This includes Interstate 78 in Pennsylvania between mile
    markers 62 and 67.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
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So far have 1.39" of rain on Sunday and up to 1.84" (at post time) of rain this morning for a 2-day total of 3.23".  Non-diurnal temp rise overnight has resulted in a "low" of 58 at midnight.

Currently have light rain and 60 with dp 59.

ETA - Wissahickon most likely out of its banks (I think flood stage for that is like 5.5ft).

kdix_20231218_0922_BR_0.41.png

usgs-wissahickon-4am-graph-12182023.png

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