TimB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Is this the most sunshine we have had in January/February? Probably. Also, we will be hitting the middle of the month with 0.01” of precip so far at PIT, which is a record for the first half of February. Previous record for that time period was 0.07”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 35 minutes ago, TimB said: Probably. Also, we will be hitting the middle of the month with 0.01” of precip so far at PIT, which is a record for the first half of February. Previous record for that time period was 0.07”. So much for that super Nino. Also I know we've had some terrible luck but I wouldn't give up on this weekend yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: So much for that super Nino. Also I know we've had some terrible luck but I wouldn't give up on this weekend yet. I’m not. Same range of possibilities as the current storm at similar range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, TimB said: I’m not. Same range of possibilities as the current storm at similar range. I didn't mean just you but I agree. The models have been rough this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: I didn't mean just you but I agree. The models have been rough this year. We’ll know very soon if the GFS moves away from cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 The problem with the weekend storm is there’s not model agreement at this point that the storm will even happen, let alone what areas it would hit, and we’re getting awfully close to the point where that matters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 hour ago, TimB said: The problem with the weekend storm is there’s not model agreement at this point that the storm will even happen, let alone what areas it would hit, and we’re getting awfully close to the point where that matters. Sounds awfully familiar.... Canadian and Ukie are pretty weak and nonevent-ish looking. Maybe give them some respect after this last debacle. Either way, that is the next discrete threat to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Saturday looks like once again we won’t know until late in the game whether it’s an advisory level event or not. ill say this, I have places to be Saturday morning. I really don’t want a 1-2 event that just annoys me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 18 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Saturday looks like once again we won’t know until late in the game whether it’s an advisory level event or not. ill say this, I have places to be Saturday morning. I really don’t want a 1-2 event that just annoys me. It’s not going to be an advisory type event. At best it’s the 1-2 type thing you mention. I take that back, there are still a few models like the RGEM that want this to be a low end advisory thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 It's gonna be south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 30 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: It's gonna be south of us. Miss south, next weekend’s storm cuts, another ridge after that, curtains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 hours ago, Rd9108 said: It's gonna be south of us. If its going to be South, keep it going, Ill take another partly sunny day. Always seems like some NS shortwave mucking things up anymore, would be nice to see one of these dig in behind and phase rather than exerting to much or not enough confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 10 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: On all the ensembles, there's another Omega block look setting up for next weekend, except with the ridge potentially positioned further west. I had highlighted this period in the past because the ensembles had pretty classic East Coast snowstorm looks before. Now that look is not at all the same, but it could still setup into something interesting. The operationals show nothing but that's irrelevant right now. Remember that the last time that omega block happened, we had a pretty major storm, it just missed us by a few hundred miles and buried other places in feet of snow. It's quite possible this is our last chance before March torches, so I'm going to enjoy tracking this even if it amounts to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 One chance at meaningful snowfall in 2 years! Hope it somehow works out for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Atleast we have a 1-3 shot with a clipper coming. Hopefully it overperforms and we can somehow get to over 20 inches on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Rd9108 said: Atleast we have a 1-3 shot with a clipper coming. Hopefully it overperforms and we can somehow get to over 20 inches on the season. With PIT sitting at 11.6 for the season, that’s a steep climb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 1/24/2024 at 10:24 AM, TheClimateChanger said: Doubt we will see a near total shutout after Groundhog's Day this year... odds would certainly say no, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Next wave looks just south to me. May squeeze out an inch or two from ratios but most the qpf and energy is going by on the state border. Btw NWS has a sense of humor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I'll take some hrpes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Fwiw. Wouldn't take much for us to see 3 or 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 30 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Fwiw. Wouldn't take much for us to see 3 or 4. Unless it goes further south LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Wind is really howling out there. Rain about to blow through. As far as tomorrow I trust the Canadian after how it scored the last one. I think 1-2 is a solid bet tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 46 minutes ago, north pgh said: Unless it goes further south LOL ...... Sunny skies again?!? I'm in. Although it's all tomorrow evening. We can see the stars. HRRR isn't impressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 NAM is North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18z HRRR was a significant improvement over 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I need some alone time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Seems like clippers tend to overachieve around these parts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 13 minutes ago, Mailman said: Seems like clippers tend to overachieve around these parts. South of town looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 hours ago, Rd9108 said: I'll take some hrpes Probably out to lunch with the totals, but that banding is interesting. Maybe some localized jackpot areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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