north pgh Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, north pgh said: Lmao and its gone. Pretty amazing honestly how bad some of these models are. RGEM and Canadian nailed this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, north pgh said: Brutal. At least the 3K still gives us a couple of inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Wow!! The trend over the last few runs is crazy. I’m hoping the windshield wiper effect is fully engaged. Settling somewhere in between . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, MikeB_01 said: Wow!! The trend over the last few runs is crazy. I’m hoping the windshield wiper effect is fully engaged. Settling somewhere in between . Bernie Rayno is gonna eat shit if that verifies and honestly he shouldn't but he will on Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I’d rather this than a 2 inch storm that makes my commute a nightmare honestly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 But man we are cursed here. We went from being 50 miles too far south to 50-100 miles too far north in like 3 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: But man we are cursed here. We went from being 50 miles too far south to 50-100 miles too far north in like 3 runs Yes these models are ridiculous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, north pgh said: Yes these models are ridiculous. Seem worse than ever. Every storm is a complete guessing game until 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Weather channel app says “overcast with a few flurries possible” for Monday/Tuesday. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 All 0z guidance so far pretty much ends the dream. Fuck this hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This went to shit fast. We went from excited at 6z and 12z to extreme depression. I can't believe how bad the models have been. Only thing I'll say is there's still time atleast the 6z and 12z for this to get a little better. Obviously anything more than a light accumulation is probably out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Worse yet, NYC gets a win out of these new shifts. Why do the least deserving people always get the good trends when they need them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 hours ago, Rd9108 said: This went to shit fast. We went from excited at 6z and 12z to extreme depression. I can't believe how bad the models have been. Only thing I'll say is there's still time atleast the 6z and 12z for this to get a little better. Obviously anything more than a light accumulation is probably out of the question. Obviously nothing has happened yet, but this was an even riskier low confidence setup. There were models and members in the ENS suites that showed this completely missing so that was always a possible outcome. At this point if it keeps heading this way its going to end up as little to nothing for anyone. It looks like the 06z Euro is continuing the trend, even central PA / further east are probably starting to worry. Honestly, if we can't get at least 3-4 inches, I hope it keeps moving away, at this point the 06z NAM we almost stay completely dry, no rain or snow. I'd prefer that, another tick or two SE with that shield and I get my wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 And let’s take a moment to recognize how bad the models are these days, even at very close range. Is that because we’ve rendered our atmosphere unrecognizable by allowing billionaires to take 13 minute private jet flights and pump megatons of carbon into the atmosphere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 hours ago, TimB said: All 0z guidance so far pretty much ends the dream. Fuck this hobby. This storm was always a long shot, but its starting to look like this "epic" "mint" "awesome" pattern that this storm was just a precursor for is also a brief cold shot, probably similar to the week in January. Nothing we can do, just along for the ride, maybe we get a fluke, or maybe we get an early warm Spring. I'm good with either at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: This storm was always a long shot, but its starting to look like this "epic" "mint" "awesome" pattern that this storm was just a precursor for is also a brief cold shot, probably similar to the week in January. Nothing we can do, just along for the ride, maybe we get a fluke, or maybe we get an early warm Spring. I'm good with either at this point. Waiting at least another 10-11 months for an advisory level snowfall when it’s already been two goddamn years simply isn’t palatable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The Mark Model still has the city at 3-6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Guess we stay 2.9” behind last year, the worst winter in the modern record, to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It’s official. 12z HRRR pitched a shutout. Not a flake of snow for the northern half of the county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: Didn't think we could get worse than last year but I think this may take the cake. Oh well just end the misery fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 the SREF trends are comical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: This storm was always a long shot, but its starting to look like this "epic" "mint" "awesome" pattern that this storm was just a precursor for is also a brief cold shot, probably similar to the week in January. Nothing we can do, just along for the ride, maybe we get a fluke, or maybe we get an early warm Spring. I'm good with either at this point. At least this board has always doubled as a weather enthusiast/support group location. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, CoraopolisWx said: At least this board has always doubled as a weather enthusiast/support group location. lol I don't know what i would do without you guys. No one else understands my frustration (or excitement --> when it happens) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I like how they kept the watch active for 2-4” in the ridges. How can you even justify that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 4 minutes ago, TimB said: I like how they kept the watch active for 2-4” in the ridges. How can you even justify that? Mine is still showing that too….juat east of here is 4-7 in Somerset county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Today is day 21 of what will be the warmest 3 week period starting in January that has ever been recorded at Pittsburgh International, and it’s not particularly close. In fact, even if you include the last day or two of the January cold snap in there, it’s still a full degree or two ahead of the 40.3 recorded in 1974. Today should bring the 21-day average to 42.9 or 43.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 54 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: I don't know what i would do without you guys. No one else understands my frustration (or excitement --> when it happens) Is Aaron Lewis secretly a snow weenie.. you listen and be the judge. Feels pretty damn accurate this morning, even if the music isn't your style the lyrics hit through the lens of this hobby. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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