mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Bliz, you see the Gfs yet? Youzah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 16 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon Not bad, lots of room to survive the ticks to the north during the 3 days leading in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Bliz, you see the Gfs yet? Youzah Wow!!! Crushed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Wow!!! Crushed! Great run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Wow!!! Crushed! What a run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Adams / Cumberland bullseye of 20 - 23"...hah! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 11 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Adams / Cumberland bullseye of 20 - 23"...hah! That's probably the most realistic part of that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Canadian not very good for us SE peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: That's probably the most realistic part of that map. Well, it is certain to change 6 hours from now. So, for the moment, I can reminisce back to 2016 and 2010. Meanwhile DC went from 15" down to 5". I feel for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Well, it is certain to change 6 hours from now. So, for the moment, I can reminisce back to 2016 and 2010. Meanwhile DC went from 15" down to 5". I feel for them. Agree with you. I just meant that your area down through South Mountain typically jack with a storm track as depicted currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Gefs 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 0z Euro right in the zone for C-PA snowstorms (Low on the Delmarva coast). Figured I’d contribute a little bit to the pbp haha. The 0z suite as a whole is definitely solid tonight. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 0z ensembles for 6”+ probabilities. Euro up top with GEFS v. Canadian ensemble comparison underneath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 WGAL sounded the alarm this morning. Now it's a threat.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 6z GFS is still on board with good track but less precip this run compared to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 6z ICON bumped north to put us in the sweet spot. Still a little more snow to go at the end of the run which ends at 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 6z GEFS continues to ramp up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Looking ahead to the Tuesday the 9th storm, the chance of front end snow is back on the 6z GFS even into the LSV before the change to rain. Heavy front end snow this run for western & northern CTP with the 9th event on the GFS. The snow map is just for the 24 hrs on the 9th into 10th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Out in fantasy land, the 6z GFS has another Winter storm chance on the 15th. Storms & rumors of storms..buckle up! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 If you want to treat yourself, go take a look at the 6z GFS total snow map through day 16…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: If you want to treat yourself, go take a look at the 6z GFS total snow map through day 16…. I am not worthy!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I am not worthy!!! At least you're honest lolSent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 10 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: At least you're honest lol Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Yeah, that is lol worthy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Happy New Year, one and all, from Williamsport. I looked back to see if anyone else put this up and it looks like they haven't. As all eyes are looking ahead for snow, I am going to take us back a second to 2023 heat records. These are booby prizes of course in a warming world that we all wish weren't getting hotter, but still, we have two winners. Funny to think Williamsport hit its record for most snow of 25" just a few years ago on Dec. 16-17 2020. NWS said: 2033 was the warmest year on record in Williamsport, and tied for the second warmest in Harrisburg. RECORD ANNUAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE STATISTICS VALUE YEAR Harrisburg (MDT) 56.9 2021 (2023 & 2020 = 56.7) Williamsport (IPT) 53.9 2023 (Supplants 2012 (53.8)) 11 of the top 13 warmest years on record have occurred since 1998 at Harrisburg (134 full years of continuous records). 9 of the top 13 warmest years on record have happened at Williamsport (128 full years) since 1998. 86 (of the possible 366) daily max temp records at Harrisburg have occurred since 2000, while only 35 min temp records have occurred in that same time period. Similarly for Williamsport,there are 83 daily max temp records on the books from the 2000s, while there are only 34 min temp records since 1/1/2000. In 2023: Harrisburg has set/tied 6 daily max temp records in 2023, and no min temp records. Williamsport very similar, scoring 4 daily max temp records, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Don't know if anybody looks at it, but Pivotal offers the "NWS Blend of Midels," which is a combo of models. It's basically an ensemble type product using operational models, which makes more sense theoretically since they have better resolution than ensemble suites. Anyway, here's the link. It has been gradually increasing snow totals in case you were wondering. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nbm&p=snowfall_acc-imp&rh=2024010207&fh=11&r=us_state_pa&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Low of 29 last night...first night under freezing in over a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Low of 33 and .02” of rain. Starting to get that giddy feeling about this weekend, can feel it in my loins. I know I’m not alone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Low of 33 and .02” of rain. Starting to get that giddy feeling about this weekend, can feel it in my loins. I know I’m not alone. A thread has been opened on the MA board so we will know more at 12Z. Quite often, if it is to fail, it will happen now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 56 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: If you want to treat yourself, go take a look at the 6z GFS total snow map through day 16…. As we've been suggesting #1 sorta sets the table for #2 and yeah #2 looks a touch better. Might not lose all of our precious snowpack. If we do, #3 looks to freshen it up (verbatim). parsing over GFS progression, it has come notably further S w/ #2, IMO the -NAO should help to keep this from cutting, so I'm gonna believe what the 6z is showing for that reason. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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