Bubbler86 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Well, southern PA'ers that is. It'll come north and get with other modeling now. That helps take one southern slider suite off the board for now. Good news. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 it be nice to see snow for a chance other then brown dead grass lol. tho back of my mind cant but think the 7.4 earthquake in japan could change current weather patterns. Half way jk but I have read ideas for years saying earthquakes can change the weather ie the major quake in japan years back not only shortened the day. Not by much mind you but it did. I then followed this hole down other articles suggesting that the earthquake in 2011 also changed weather systems by tens of miles of where going to go. I dunno how true or untrue that is but still a interesting read when I saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snobal Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 this storm has peaked my interest to say the least. i still need a couple days to analyse things but i am starting to feel better about things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Further south this run maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Suppression is biggest threat now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Gfs laughs at the Icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 24 minutes ago, paweather said: Looks like overnight did pretty good? Yes, lol, hit the back button for a page or two & take a read! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, lol, hit the back button for a page or two & take a read! Yeah I figured skimming would get me up to date. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Well the run to run consistency was fun while it lasted lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Lol. Canadian the other way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Sadly, everything has caved to the 0z Euro. This thing needs to trend back, but fortunately there’s still plenty of time for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, TimB said: Sadly, everything has caved to the 0z Euro. This thing needs to trend back, but fortunately there’s still plenty of time for that to happen. I guess Pittsburgh thread is slow??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Lol. Canadian the other way. It’s a coming Mitch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, TimB said: Sadly, everything has caved to the 0z Euro. This thing needs to trend back, but fortunately there’s still plenty of time for that to happen. Not sure what the heck you mean…. The 0z Euro was beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, paweather said: I guess Pittsburgh thread is slow??? This thing is DOA for Pittsburgh at this point, and I’d be enraged if DC wins so I hope you guys get a win here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 12 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Suppression is biggest threat now. . You may be right. But I still would rather be in our position now then holding on to the SE edge of snowfall. Where were we 5 days out in 1983? 1996? 2009? 2010? 2016? We were on the outside looking in. All 5 of those came north and clocked us. Sure, no guarantee that will happen this time but I'm actually more optimistic now than I've been in years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Lol. Canadian the other way. Yes, Canadian is an inland runner that brings a mixed event this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Not sure what the heck you mean…. The 0z Euro was beautiful Oh right, you guys did get a win out of that one. But it’s still trending toward a rage-inducing win for DC, and when they win everyone loses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 This thing is DOA for Pittsburgh at this point, and I’d be enraged if DC wins so I hope you guys get a win here.Again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, anotherman said: Again? Just said I was rooting for you so the mid Atlantic elites don’t get to end the misery before I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 43 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon just crushed us. Icon seems to be middle ground bid between the Canadian & GFS this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Typical swings at 120+ hours out and 30 model runs per day. A blend of all the 12Z guidance thus far would be fine for us. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Icon seems to be middle ground bid between the Canadian & GFS this run. And that's a scary thought. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 if this thing just pushing straight north now after all the talk about suppression. it will be like last year lol. 1 thing I always hated with models they take a storm from one run off the coast and push it to be a lakes cutter. or a storm thats way south out of no where is now to far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 4 minutes ago, TimB said: Just said I was rooting for you so the mid Atlantic elites don’t get to end the misery before I do. End your misery and go away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: You may be right. But I still would rather be in our position now then holding on to the SE edge of snowfall. Where were we 5 days out in 1983? 1996? 2009? 2010? 2016? We were on the outside looking in. All 5 of those came north and clocked us. Sure, no guarantee that will happen this time but I'm actually more optimistic now than I've been in years. Great post! Also, the 12z runs so far still show we have a long way to go, with lots still needing sorted out. I agree that I like where we are sitting now. Like you said, History tells us these type of storms creep north closer to the event, so we need some room to make sure we are still in the good snow zone. It’s nice to be back in the game! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: Typical swings at 120+ hours out and 30 model runs per day. A blend of all the 12Z guidance thus far would be fine for us. We're still in a time frame where the ensembles prevail. 0z Euro didn't make it past NYC iirc, but the ensembles had them doing fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Ruin said: if this thing just pushing straight north now after all the talk about suppression. it will be like last year lol. 1 thing I always hated with models they take a storm from one run off the coast and push it to be a lakes cutter. or a storm thats way south out of no where is now to far north. Don’t worry, the second storm on the GFS is now a Lakes cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, TimB said: Don’t worry, the second storm on the GFS is now a Lakes cutter. Don’t worry your a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Gfs heard me talking about a slider I guess. It caved to the 0z icon (joking sort of) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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