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Central PA Winter 23/24


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Hate to see the Gfs with the jump north, but that was my concern in the earlier post about seasonal trends. It's not a disaster by any stretch and I'd take it in a heartbeat and be happy. But there's littke to no breathing room imby. Funny how the atmosphere wants to default back to its seasonal ways. 

That said, that next system is already in the wings with more high pressure in southern Canada than prior runs. That may end up giving us more than we figured with cold now entrenched in Canada.

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2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Long way to go.

We will see lots of variations over the next 6 days.

Heck we are 3 days away from NAM range!

Goodie, I cannot wait until the first reply to a Nam PBP telling me it is not in range.    But totally agree that nothing is over good or bad, just a model PBP.    What is not great is if one believes in trends but wayyyy too early to worry about something that will probably change depending on what the 1/4 system ultimately does in creating a 50/50. 

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NA View showing the 1/4 System as of 1/7 (off the coast of NE Canada.)  Slight bump north from 954 at 6Z to its position as a 957 at 12Z.  The SLP over the MA bumped itself north in a similar fashion because the blocking allowed it that little extra free space plus it allowed it to maintain a better reflection into the Ohio Valley.   

 

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_fh162_trend.gif

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51 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Well...that has been the call since the beginning. At least his. So, nothing has changed.

Also important: his audience is Lanco. Back towards 81 could very well be different.

Yeah it definitely could change next weekend can’t wait for his thoughts on next weekend things are looking positive!

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1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Well...that has been the call since the beginning. At least his. So, nothing has changed.

Also important: his audience is Lanco. Back towards 81 could very well be different.

If right, he just invalidated most of the current posts on the MA LR thread.   He is like the anti-Brooklyn.  Lol

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