Voyager Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: And he wants to be the Maude... Edit: Goddamnit, I just saw his response. I'm a dick. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Don't feel bad. I almost made a similar post, but saw why he's there. Sorry for your loss @canderson 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, the 18z GEFS looks very nice. If this verifies, many a snow fan would be happy by the end of the first week of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 hour ago, canderson said: Our Nov and Dec have been chaos. We are up here for a grandparent memorial service. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 14 hours ago, PSUWhiteout70 said: Nope, those are the lazy ass freeloader geese that stay year-round now. All the others have flown south long ago. My father has a 1-acre pond that I have to chase these shit machines off of every other day because they eat all the feed he puts out for the geese he raises. I wish I had some Geese, as they make good "watch dogs." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 9 hours ago, canderson said: Our Nov and Dec have been chaos. We are up here for a grandparent memorial service. Prayers be with you and your family. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 A mild 35 here this AM. May actually hit 40 today. Rgem and Nam runs that showed cold lows this Am did not do well. GFS back to upper 30's and 40's for highs to start the new year before colder air comes in day 5-6 of Jan. That cold push squashes any decent systems on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: A mild 35 here this AM. May actually hit 40 today. Rgem and Nam runs that showed cold lows this Am did not do well. GFS back to upper 30's and 40's for highs to start the new year before colder air comes in day 5-6 of Jan. That cold push squashes any decent systems on this run. Seems like it's the same ole story year after year. Biizz will be devastated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Seems like it's the same ole story year after year. Biizz will be devastated! He still has the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He still has the ensembles. Those too could fall by the wayside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Those too could fall by the wayside. When you run, 20...30...40 models and combine them, you will always have hope this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Those too could fall by the wayside. Not last night's runs. All looked very good and all had some appreciable snowfall post NYD. Impressive for such long range forecasts of ensemble products. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Not last night's runs. All looked very good and all had some appreciable snowfall post NYD. Impressive for such long range forecasts of ensemble products. Exactly, no changes. All 3 of the ensembles continue to look good & nothing is getting pushed back in time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Great posts this morning (as usual) by @CAPE in the Mid Atlantic thread on the good looks the the ensembles are showing for the first week of January. We should have chances… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Car says 17 this am - brr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Lots of focus on high temperatures on operational models over a week away. Focus on the pattern. El Niño is not known for super cold. Just cold enough. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 6z GFS looks cold enough for snow from NYE onward with a few storms that miss to our southeast this run. I’d much rather see this than seeing storms heading for the Great Lakes. Again, we should have our chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: Lots of focus on high temperatures on operational models over a week away. Focus on the pattern. El Niño is not known for super cold. Just cold enough. Exactly, highs in the teens here with freezes to the Gulf Coast often means suppressed storms. Give me “cold enough” all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 39 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Great posts this morning (as usual) by @CAPE in the Mid Atlantic thread on the good looks the the ensembles are showing for the first week of January. We should have chances… It is way out there but the EPS info Bob pointed out about a heavy emphasis on precip in the Gulf coming into the second week of January is a good sign even this far out. Not impressed with it being cold enough for snow until we get past the first few days of January but somewhat excited days 5-15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 I don’t need super cold. Best season was 2009-10. Not cold but many snowstorms.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 35 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 6z GFS looks cold enough for snow from NYE onward with a few storms that miss to our southeast this run. I’d much rather see this than seeing storms heading for the Great Lakes. Again, we should have our chances. I agree with you. Suppressed storms can and do trend west and slam the region. Cutters never seem to trend east. One they cut, they never seem to come back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 39 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Exactly, highs in the teens here with freezes to the Gulf Coast often means suppressed storms. Give me “cold enough” all day. Right on track Blizz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 On the train track: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Just ticked up to 40 here for the first time since Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 18 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: “Leaning Below” according to their key. 40 to 50% chance of below… so I guess that means around 50% chance of Above or Normal? Those outlooks are not forecasts...leaning or as above - we do not know!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Those outlooks are not forecasts...leaning or as above - we do not know!! Probably more legitimate than splicing PWS data into existing threaded records from other observing sites but beggars can’t be choosers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Canadian looking interesting at days 8-10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Close miss onnthe Canadian, but in the ballpark at this range. Nice 5H look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 24 minutes ago, TimB said: Probably more legitimate than splicing PWS data into existing threaded records from other observing sites but beggars can’t be choosers. Pittsburgh calling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Gfs has 1st January threat approaching on 1/4. Buckle up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 One down, another looks to be out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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