Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Confirmed spotter TOR in the western suburbs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Tornado wipes away the ivy at Wrigley and it just becomes a fence. Purists cry. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Transformer blew at wells Fargo Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 CTP removes any mention of snow here for tomorrow night. Rain moves out by 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Nice Feb 27th summer night. Fair amount of lightning and thunder (elevated instability) accompanying the wave of precip crossing central PA. Temp here is “only” 48ºF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 24 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Nice Feb 27th summer night. Fair amount of lightning and thunder (elevated instability) accompanying the wave of precip crossing central PA. Temp here is “only” 48ºF. Window are open and fans are on here. A very muggy 55 at 11:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 WOAH! Lightning and deep, deep thunder. Nice cell to the west - looks like it’s hitting @Blizzard of 93 but it’s going to miss the city entirely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 6 minutes ago, canderson said: WOAH! Lightning and deep, deep thunder. Nice cell to the west - looks like it’s hitting @Blizzard of 93 but it’s going to miss the city entirely. Indeed, thunderstorm is underway in Marysville now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 5 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, please…. A better look by March 12th this run. The problem I continue to see is temps. Here’s the temp departures to go with that timeframe. I just don’t think we have enough cold air involved in the overall pattern to make the undercutting storm track/below avg 500 heights with anomalously low heights also remaining out west thing work if it were to come to fruition in that fashion. Certainly now since we’ll be approaching mid-March here. Near normal to slightly + temp anomalies at our latitude isn’t going to cut it and would make a scenario to score a winter storm much more difficult. We need to build western ridging (PNA realm), at least temporarily or something to set up an alignment that might draw down enough cold to work with for late season mischief. The latest Euro weeklies try to do that from around St Patty’s day onward with a rapid reversal to ridging up the Pacific coast toward Alaska, resulting in a much better source region and associated cold anomalies that it puts on a large part of the CONUS (week 3 and esp week 4). GEFS extended is also a similar evolution and timeframe (a bit less robust with the cold). I personally think the GEFS extended has done a better job this winter (esp in temps) so seeing some agreement there is probably not a bad thing. Latest MJO evolution is a bit interesting, with forecasts looking to show a pretty strong pulse starting in phase 2/3 and making a run around the ring. Extended ensembles take it around to phases 6 and 7, which are the strongest correlated phases to warmth in the east during FMA.. so that’s a bit a of a discrepancy to work thru. That may make a potential window later in the month to score something much smaller, or the MJO forecasts could continue to evolve differently as well. I’ll be curious to see how things are when we get that period beyond the 15th or so solidly into the regular ensemble range. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Low of 53 here with .03” of rain. Looks like the front should easily cross early enough this evening to avoid any min max records falling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 6 hours ago, canderson said: WOAH! Lightning and deep, deep thunder. Nice cell to the west - looks like it’s hitting @Blizzard of 93 but it’s going to miss the city entirely. set me straight up out of bed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 57 this morning with rain. 0.08" has fallen since midnight. Pretty good shower currently here at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 7 hours ago, canderson said: WOAH! Lightning and deep, deep thunder. Nice cell to the west - looks like it’s hitting @Blizzard of 93 but it’s going to miss the city entirely. 6 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Indeed, thunderstorm is underway in Marysville now. 8 minutes ago, sauss06 said: set me straight up out of bed If there was any of that around here, I slept through it. And I'm a light sleeper so I'm saying no storm. Congrats for getting on the board! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 With February 29th approaching, here's some (somewhat) interesting facts: A Leap Day is technically called "Intercalary Day". A true solar year is 365.2422 solar days. So it isn't exactly 1 day every 4 years different. So to keep things in synch, every fourth year, meaning every year whose number is evenly divisible by 4, is a leap year and is granted an extra day—that is, except for every 100 years, when we skip the leap day, except for every 400 years, when we reverse the rule and add a leap day once again. So the years 1700, 1800 and 1900 were not leap years. The year 2000 was because even though it’s divisible evenly by 100, it’s also evenly divisible by 400. The year 2100 will not be a leap year, but the year 2400 will be, and so on. You will truly be the life of the party when you break this one out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 1 minute ago, Festus said: With February 29th approaching, here's some (somewhat) interesting facts: A Leap Day is technically called "Intercalary Day". A true solar year is 365.2422 solar days. So it isn't exactly 1 day every 4 years different. So to keep things in synch, every fourth year, meaning every year whose number is evenly divisible by 4, is a leap year and is granted an extra day—that is, except for every 100 years, when we skip the leap day, except for every 400 years, when we reverse the rule and add a leap day once again. So the years 1700, 1800 and 1900 were not leap years. The year 2000 was because even though it’s divisible evenly by 100, it’s also evenly divisible by 400. The year 2100 will not be a leap year, but the year 2400 will be, and so on. You will truly be the life of the party when you break this one out. That...is truly great stuff right there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If there was any of that around here, I slept through it. And I'm a light sleeper so I'm saying no storm. Congrats for getting on the board! Can confirm nothing of note down this way. 5 minutes ago, Festus said: With February 29th approaching, here's some (somewhat) interesting facts: A Leap Day is technically called "Intercalary Day". A true solar year is 365.2422 solar days. So it isn't exactly 1 day every 4 years different. So to keep things in synch, every fourth year, meaning every year whose number is evenly divisible by 4, is a leap year and is granted an extra day—that is, except for every 100 years, when we skip the leap day, except for every 400 years, when we reverse the rule and add a leap day once again. So the years 1700, 1800 and 1900 were not leap years. The year 2000 was because even though it’s divisible evenly by 100, it’s also evenly divisible by 400. The year 2100 will not be a leap year, but the year 2400 will be, and so on. You will truly be the life of the party when you break this one out. Sadly, I have spent way too much time looking into this topic in the past. That will probably shock no one ha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 HRRR continues to be the biggest defender in snow tomorrow Am in time to cause rush hour issues in places. In this depiction some lucky places could get over 1". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Had a flash of lightning @5;00am enough to knock the power out for a few seconds. .47 rain overnight. The ground is so soggy here, and with the projected wind later there could be power issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 45 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR continues to be the biggest defender in snow tomorrow Am in time to cause rush hour issues in places. In this depiction some lucky places could get over 1". I need to shift that about 10 miles southwest to get it into my yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 55 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: If there was any of that around here, I slept through it. And I'm a light sleeper so I'm saying no storm. Congrats for getting on the board! Lol, thanks? I’d much rather be scoring snow in late February…but no such luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR continues to be the biggest defender in snow tomorrow Am in time to cause rush hour issues in places. In this depiction some lucky places could get over 1". If that verified, I'd have a snowy drive to work in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 20 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, thanks? I’d much rather be scoring snow in late February…but no such luck! We are pretty much right in the middle of the advertised epic pattern that was showing several weeks ago. The severe weather reports from the past 24 hours have been just that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Rock and rolling. Big thunder and lightning again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Lightning flashes lighting up the office space here in Harrisburg. Storms on the doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 and as Garth Brooks sings..............and the thunder rolls 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Yeah ? I just “scored” more thunder & lightning & now it’s pouring. Epic…awesome…. Read that as “freaking brutal”…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yeah ? I just “scored” more thunder & lightning & now it’s pouring. Epic…awesome…. Read that as “freaking brutal”…. It is brutal. Sorry buddy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Radar over central and western PA right now...it looks nothing like it should for this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 6 minutes ago, sauss06 said: and as Garth Brooks sings..............and the thunder rolls I'll be singing that for the next several hours... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 The Radar is crazy this morning. Downpours for 2-3 minutes then nothing. Picked up .85” of rain overnight. Thunderstorm that come through in the night. Heavy lightening in the neighborhood. Usually you look to see how close the strikes are. And usually they are a couple miles away. It read last night .01 of mile away, take cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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