Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,611
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Central PA Winter 23/24


Voyager
 Share

Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, Atomixwx said:

Well they were chosen because the PIAA office is next door, is it not?

Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk
 

I have no clue but that is amazing if so. IMO they should rotate between Pittsburgh, PHL and maybe State College if the get a better stadium than the current erector set. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Most noteworthy weather item I see in the short-medium range is a strong frontal passage this coming Wed Night, which has been pretty persistent on guidance. Perhaps worthy of some kind of a brief changeover at the end and a sharp temp drop with some windy weather Thursday. Aside from a brief shot of some cold tomorrow and tomorrow night,  thats about it in terms of cold or snow the next 6-10+ by the looks of it. 

Thru 15 days all ensembles maintain +EPO/WPO and only take a really negative PNA to a somewhat less negative PNA. Until we turn the tables with those teleconnections we’re going to continue to deal with mild, modified Pacific air at the lower levels dominating the lower 48 even if we get NAO blocking that starts developing and helps undercut some storms. Just the story of the winter really. It was 53 for a high here this afternoon, despite 18z models initializing with <540 dm thickness over most of C-PA. There’s just no low level cold. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Most noteworthy weather item I see in the short-medium range is a strong frontal passage this coming Wed Night, which has been pretty persistent on guidance. Perhaps worthy of some kind of a brief changeover at the end and a sharp temp drop with some windy weather Thursday. Aside from a brief shot of some cold tomorrow and tomorrow night,  thats about it in terms of cold or snow the next 6-10+ by the looks of it. 

Thru 15 days all ensembles maintain +EPO/WPO and only take a really negative PNA to a somewhat less negative PNA. Until we turn the tables with those teleconnections we’re going to continue to deal with mild, modified Pacific air at the lower levels dominating the lower 48 even if we get NAO blocking that starts developing and helps undercut some storms. Just the story of the winter really. It was 53 for a high here this afternoon, despite 18z models initializing with <540 dm thickness over most of C-PA. There’s just no low level cold. 

The only reason to have hope for more snow is that long range modeling is so bad that it might fail with the warm pattern. And then ask yourself how often does that happen?  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

The only reason to have hope for more snow is that long range modeling is so bad that it might fail with the warm pattern. And then ask yourself how often does that happen?  

That anafrontal snow is something to keep an eye on.  We are 1-1 this year with it.   Only made it to 42 here today. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

That anafrontal snow is something to keep an eye on.  We are 1-1 this year with it.   Only made it to 42 here today. 

I  agree on the anafrontal threat, but they're usually low probability. Gunna have to wait until we're within 72 hours of threat to take it seriously imho, assuming it's being advertised as a threat.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

The biggest issue I have (with meat eaters) that visit is ordering Bar-B-Q sandwiches at traditional PA restaurants.   They think they are getting a slab of beef in bread not sloppy joes. 

The next good piece of brisket I have anywhere north of Texas will be the first.  

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The latest Euro Weeklies offer some hope for the last 2 weeks of March with a workable pattern & some cold air available.

IMG_5333.png

IMG_5332.png

IMG_5331.png

IMG_5330.png

after the models got the second half of feb cold and crapped the bed now its going to be warmer im just now buying it lol 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

31 and ice coated tree limbs and non-road surfaces so a bit of a surprise ice storm here.    Radar shows snow in York, Lanco, and Leb.

Good morning & congrats on the ice.

York & Lancaster are showing current temps near 40, but maybe they have some flakes mixing in?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Good morning & congrats on the ice.

York & Lancaster are showing current temps near 40, but maybe they have some flakes mixing in?

Yea, I doubt it is laying but was mentioning what precip type the radar was deriving.  Here is latest scan.  This AM was never going to be one for road issues.

 

image.thumb.png.8e86916e8a1946e06247aacf1048fbb9.png

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

That would a shock to the spring fling.  LOL.  Not counting on that until I can see the whites of its eyes. 

Agreed, but every once in a while these can work.

Many of us scored around an inch of snow from this type of event back in early December.

It’s probably the only chance until a potential pattern change towards mid March.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Agreed, but every once in a while these can work.

Many of us scored around an inch of snow from this type of event back in early December.

It’s probably the only chance until a potential pattern change towards mid March.

Last time of real consequence was in March, 2014 in the magical winter of 13/14. The one in December this winter was meh imby.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ggem has had it for a while. 0z run had it showing up well west of the mts but then loses it on the next panel east of them. Gfs must have a wave forming on the front for it to show more snow in the east, but I  haven't cared enough to look.

prateptype-imp.conus.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Last time of real consequence was in March, 2014 in the magical winter of 13/14. The one in December this winter was meh imby.

One could argue that we are only 11 days past a good anafrontal snow.    Different situation but a deepening low pressure changing the air direction is technically a front. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

31 and ice coated tree limbs and non-road surfaces so a bit of a surprise ice storm here.    Radar shows snow in parts of York, Lanco, and Leb counties.

All surfaces just wet here with .13” in the gauge. Low of 35, currently 37.  We are on our way to Pittsburgh today with the kids. Gonna be a cold one. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

All surfaces just wet here with .13” in the gauge. Low of 35, currently 37.  We are on our way to Pittsburgh today with the kids. Gonna be a cold one. 

The snow there is progged to slip south of us over here but it has been running a bit farther north and east than progged.  If quick enough maybe you see some flakes.

image.thumb.png.8abbbe090aca612348f522d05b81d080.png

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...