Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Low of 20 here. A couple cool days to get through before our warmup begins. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 19 degrees for the low this morning, steady 10mph wind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 22 was my low 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 70 here in my microclimate.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Low of 21.9 degrees here this morning. Quite breezy out there with wind chills in the upper teens at the moment. With clear skies and sunshine the temp has recovered to 28.9. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 70 here in my microclimate.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using TapatalkYour dungeon?Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 14 was my low in Marysville. The snow cover did its thing here overnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Back to searching in the wilderness for Winter weather chances. At this time, the models are showing just rain for this Friday’s storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The 0z Euro shows a minor northern stream system next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Back to searching in the wilderness for Winter weather chances. At this time, the models are showing just rain for this Friday’s storm.We might need a two week breather till winters last hurrah Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The 0z Canadian shows a west track mixed event out at day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: We might need a two week breather till winters last hurrah Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk MDT is only 7 inches away from its seasonal median snow total of 25 inches. MDT would need 12 more inches to reach climo seasonal total of 30 inches. Both are within striking distance with 6 realistic weeks to score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3-4 more inches for Macungie- any takers? 2 feet of snow in 5 days is enough for me this winter LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 56 minutes ago, Albedoman said: 3-4 more inches for Macungie- any takers? 2 feet of snow in 5 days is enough for me this winter LOL Drought Cancel! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 57 minutes ago, Albedoman said: 3-4 more inches for Macungie- any takers? 2 feet of snow in 5 days is enough for me this winter LOL On the bright side, your tried and true methodology of forecasting meant that you weren't surprised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 LNP (Lancaster Newspaper) with a humorous article this morning - "this is now the 2nd snowiest winter in Lancaster since 2019" That's like saying that I haven't gone to work since Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 12z Canadian has some light frozen potential for northern CTP on early Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 0z Canadian shows a west track mixed event out at day 10. This chance is still there on the 12z Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Hahaha it might be time to pack it in if that’s what we’re tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, anotherman said: Hahaha it might be time to pack it in if that’s what we’re tracking. Lol, I don’t pack it in until early April. I think we will have at least one more window to track this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, I don’t pack it in until Memorial Day. I think we will have at least one more window to track this season. I adjusted your post - did you forget that we had snow on May 7th in 2020? You are slipping Blizz! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Chilliest morning since January 20th across most of Chester County this AM. With the solid snow cover across most of the County lows were in the teens in most areas (see attached). A little below normal temperatures for today through mid-week then some warming before our next chance of rain by Thursday night. Records for today: High 72 Phoenixville (2011) / Low Phoenixville 11 below (1979) / Precipitation 1.59" KMQS Airport (2008) / Snow 10" Coatesville (1979) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The 1 wild card out there is that there is a SSW occurring in a few days per attached graph. You can see how the mean 10mb zonal winds represented by the solid blue line dip below the thin gray line. That alone would be throwing a curve ball to modeling, but after a brief, weak recovery, the Eps take the mean winds back below the gray line from about 3/5 until 3/25. That's crazy. Since this is a mean ensemble forecast, the operationals likely don't have it figured into what they are spitting out every 6 or 12 hours. All that said, if course, it doesn't guarantee things like the cold end up on our side of the Pole or that the Pacific side cooperates. But it might explain some wild swings in modeling as well as bouts of cold and snow to come...maybe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The 1 wild card out there is that there is a SSW occurring in a few days per attached graph. You can see how the mean 10mb zonal winds represented by the solid blue line dip below the thin gray line. That alone would be throwing a curve ball to modeling, but after a brief, weak recovery, the Eps take the mean winds back below the gray line from about 3/5 until 3/25. That's crazy. Since this is a mean ensemble forecast, the operationals likely don't have it figured into what they are spitting out every 6 or 12 hours. All that said, if course, it doesn't guarantee things like the cold end up on our side of the Pole or that the Pacific side cooperates. But it might explain some wild swings in modeling as well as bouts of cold and snow to come...maybe? Also, the SOI 2 week deep crash has ended over the last couple of days. Sometimes the effects of the SOI lag around 2 weeks. It can also throw the models into fits as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 It’s so unbelievably windy again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: On the bright side, your tried and true methodology of forecasting meant that you weren't surprised. I knew Sat mornings storm would overperform in our area but to the extent of the meso banding setting up right over my backyard for 4+ hours at 4-5 inches per hour, now that was unexpected 14-15 inches of the fluffiest snow I have seen in many years was a nice surprise- just like getting nearly 15+ inches of rain in December. I guess what to expect in the upcoming months- a severe ice storm,or a severe t- storm with hail/ tornadoes in March is not out of the question at this point. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Brutal out despite it being in the upper 30's. Wind, wind, wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Brutal out despite it being in the upper 30's. Wind, wind, wind. The wind stays away from me like I'm carrying the pestilence or something. It's very warm in the sun. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 6 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: The wind stays away from me like I'm carrying the pestilence or something. It's very warm in the sun. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk We have a windchill in the mid 20's right now with the windows sustained over 20 and gusting into the 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The latest Euro Weeklies look to have a workable pattern beginning by the week of March 7th to the 14th & then continuing through the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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