Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Light rain has commenced here. 38/22. I am sure it will change to snow as the column cools or precip rates increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Snow reported in Norristown just West of Philly. Crazy. the way the snow sometimes skips over hundreds of miles where its dry then boom a place that has a lower dp gets snow its like huh what. for me it rained with wet snow for about 20 minutes then stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
str8liner Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Ground white here already with moderate to heavy snow. Temp at 28. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 This is incredible.....6 hours between two RRFS maps. Bad look regardless of what happens. I do not need to be told it is nowcasting time, I know that....but cutting totals down 300-400% in the Northern LSV is terrible performing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 It’s like a non-event now lol WTF… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: It’s like a non-event now lol WTF… Payback for Tuesday's press south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 40 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: We should wait till it occurs. Especially since people in Pittsburgh are saying it's an overachiever for them Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk It’s a pretty narrow band, it just happens to be going right through the city. Places west of the city into eastern Ohio have 6-10”. Outside of the mega band, I think we are looking at more like a widespread 2-4”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Light snow has commenced in Lebanon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 First flakes in Marysville! It's now casting time & radar time. Try to enjoy it every one. Models will be there tomorrow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Here is my current model analysis… Incoming! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Some bandingSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Snow has commenced here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 700mbSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Snow started here is Fairview Township. Good luck all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Very light snow here - precip did not arrive as rain...all snow. Temp is 35.2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz. Minima in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz. Minima in between. What are the chances we are stuck in the minima? Ffs lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz. Minima in between. 10 mile while minima out of an area of 100+ miles over our hoods lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: What are the chances we are stuck in the minima? Ffs lol At this point I would gladly take 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Fwiw, gfs bucking the trend and still has two maxima's over Mitch and blizz. Minima in between. A little late for model, but I’ll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonesy56 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Nice flake size from the get-go here in Linglestown, ramped up pretty quickly. Going to take the doggo for a late night stroll. Beautiful. Good luck all!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: Psu going into his typical attack mode when his forecast looks to fail. Why he picks on Chuck is disturbing considering what I know he knows about him. Plus, though off the wall, Chuck has proved he knows his stuff. If you’re going to reference my post please quote or link it so people can see for themselves. You’re misrepresenting what my exchange with chuck was about. He criticized the NWS not my forecast. The NWS went higher than me. But I felt his attack was unfair. He made several inaccurate statements. He was trying to make a case they had no justification for their high snowfall forecasts and denied models are trending lower with qpf. The NWS made those forecasts this morning based on 12z data that at the time was averaging around .5qpf and trending upward. It’s not fair to use information that came out after they made those forecasts to call them unjustified. He also inexplicably twice claimed guidance never showed more qpf then when I called him out and showed the trends he blew it off and switched to other arguments. Chuck can be brilliant. He can also be infuriating at times. And just because he has issues doesn’t mean he gets to attack someone with misrepresentation or flat out lies and not get called out. Lastly we go back and forth a lot. We have a rapport in the other forum. We often argue but it’s not hostile. I respect him but in this case he was wrong and misrepresenting things in a way unfair to NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: A little late for model, but I’ll take it. You were throwing models out left and right while it was snowing last event. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 The trends are what they are but the storm had been over performing in many locations to our west. And I’ve noted several times over the years when guidance pulled this drying up thing right at the last minute and it was wrong. We will know real soon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: If you’re going to reference my post please quote or link it so people can see for themselves. You’re misrepresenting what my exchange with chuck was about. He criticized the NWS not my forecast. The NWS went higher than me. But I felt his attack was unfair. He made several inaccurate statements. He was trying to make a case they had no justification for their high snowfall forecasts and denied models are trending lower with qpf. The NWS made those forecasts this morning based on 12z data that at the time was averaging around .5qpf and trending upward. It’s not fair to use information that came out after they made those forecasts to call them unjustified. He also inexplicably twice claimed guidance never showed more qpf then when I called him out and showed the trends he blew it off and switched to other arguments. Chuck can be brilliant. He can also be infuriating at times. And just because he has issues doesn’t mean he gets to attack someone with misrepresentation or flat out lies and not get called out. Lastly we go back and forth a lot. We have a rapport in the other forum. We often argue but it’s not hostile. I respect him but in this case he was wrong and misrepresenting things in a way unfair to NWS. I stand by what I said. Don't waste your time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Waiting to pick up wife’s coworkers at HIA. It’s Snowing here. Don’t let them tell you otherwise. T already in da books. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I stand by what I said. Don't waste your time. That’s fine but the people here have the right to know the truth. They can go read the other thread and see for themselves that you’re lying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The trends are what they are but the storm had been over performing in many locations to our west. And I’ve noted several times over the years when guidance pulled this drying up thing right at the last minute and it was wrong. We will know real soon. On a majority of guidance, there has been a North trend the last 6-12 hours pushing the better forcing and banding from the southern areas of the LSV up to Harrisburg and above. That has been a big topic of discussion. Agreed, the models drying out even further the last 3-4 hours should not change forecasts this late. Let the chips fall as they may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 @Chris78 the fact that it has been raining and now snowing here for over an hour, and you just stated flurries, really points to some dry air and the sharp cut off to that first waa like shield that came through. It is still 34 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Just now, Bubbler86 said: @Chris78 the fact that it has been raining and now snowing here for over an hour, and you just stated flurries, really points to some dry air and the sharp cut off to that first waa like shield that came through. It is still 34 here. I don't think I had any rain prior to the flurries starting in the last 15 minutes. Deck was dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now