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Central PA Winter 23/24


Voyager
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3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

It's ugly in the forum to our south

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Psu going into his typical attack mode when his forecast looks to fail. Why he picks on Chuck is disturbing considering what I know he knows about him. Plus, though off the wall, Chuck has proved he knows his stuff.

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3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

We should wait till it occurs. Especially since people in Pittsburgh are saying it's an overachiever for them

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I say it because the Nams now look very close to what the Canadians have showed all day.

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Also got warmer in my area then I saw forecasted 41 but got to 45 and of course clouds decided to roll in just as it was getting dark so no cooling. still sitting at 41 mix of rain and very wet snow vs a dryer snow was forecast just being real about it.

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I say it because the Nams now look very close to what the Canadians have showed all day.
Regardless, the lesson will be in all this that all our models are trash currently and anything is going to be possible now. Welcome back to the 1930s

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5 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

We should wait till it occurs. Especially since people in Pittsburgh are saying it's an overachiever for them

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You have to get lucky. I’ve never seen a narrow band like this in a synoptic event. Someone under the band here will likely verify warning level but I’ve just gotten onto the fringes of it and have an inch and a half. 

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Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
845 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-171345-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0006.240217T0200Z-240217T1400Z/
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
845 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
  inches.

* WHERE...Franklin, Cumberland, Adams, York and Lancaster
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

 

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Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
845 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-171345-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0006.240217T0200Z-240217T1400Z/
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
845 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
  inches.

* WHERE...Franklin, Cumberland, Adams, York and Lancaster
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

 

CTP just freshened up the Warning at 8:45 pm.

Time to sit back & enjoy…!

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3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

CTP just freshened up the Warning at 8:45 pm.

Time to sit back & enjoy…!

Their AFD suggest everyone in the south gets 6+".  Feel bad for them if it does not happen as the models are pulling the rug though many hinted it 12 hours ago.  Nothing is over yet though.  

Quick hitting banded snow expected over south central PA this
evening and overnight aided by increasing FGEN to the north of
sfc low sliding eastward across the southern Mid-Atlantic.
Energetic lift into favorable DGZ and increasing SLRs should
promote a about a 6 hour period of 1+ in/hr rates across the
southern zones between roughly 03-09Z. Snow character should
lean drier (fluffy) vs. the early week storm. Snow associated
with the main sfc low should exit the area to the east by ~12Z.

 

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Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Their AFD suggest everyone in the south gets 6+".  Feel bad for them if it does not happen as the models are pulling the rug though many hinted it 12 hours ago.  Nothing is over yet though.  

Quick hitting banded snow expected over south central PA this
evening and overnight aided by increasing FGEN to the north of
sfc low sliding eastward across the southern Mid-Atlantic.
Energetic lift into favorable DGZ and increasing SLRs should
promote a about a 6 hour period of 1+ in/hr rates across the
southern zones between roughly 03-09Z. Snow character should
lean drier (fluffy) vs. the early week storm. Snow associated
with the main sfc low should exit the area to the east by ~12Z.

 

Gotta hope these returns in WV make it over the mts and you're under them. They are healthy and could do the trick.

https://radar.weather.gov/station/KRLX/standard

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