Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 19 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Latest 850 thermals Dew points are in the 20s in northern PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I think we need heavy snow just for it to be snow. Ha that’s fair. It’s very warm and heavy precip has to hit to cool the column. If it’s just moderate precip it’ll be rainy, windy and 40. That’d be a real shitty day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Dew points are in the 20s in northern PA. They’ve been advecting slowly southward 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I like seeing heavy precip in Kentucky moving our way. It usually bodes well for us in these type of events. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 21z SREF mean is great for the southern half of PA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 21z SREF mean is great for the southern half of PA That expands the heavy precip band quite a bit back N. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3k is 2-5 for much of LSV. A bit higher north side and elevations. On pivotal kuch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 0z 3km NAM kuchera 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 7 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 0z 3km NAM kuchera Here’s the 0z 12k NAM. Both agree on a widespread 4 to 6 with locally a few spots with a little more for the southern half of PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 NWS and others say Williamsport gets almost nothing at under 2. AccuWeather still sticking with the prior program. I do not know why: TONIGHT'S WEATHER MON, FEB 12 Snow; rain mixed in early, accumulating 4-8 inches; slippery conditions may lead to travel disruptions Lo: 34° Tomorrow: 1-3 inches of snow early in the morning; mostly cloudy and breezy; storm total 4-8"; dangerous travel in the morning with some improvement in the afternoon Hi: 41° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 8 minutes ago, CoralRed said: NWS and others say Williamsport gets almost nothing at under 2. AccuWeather still sticking with the prior program. I do not know why: TONIGHT'S WEATHER MON, FEB 12 Snow; rain mixed in early, accumulating 4-8 inches; slippery conditions may lead to travel disruptions Lo: 34° Tomorrow: 1-3 inches of snow early in the morning; mostly cloudy and breezy; storm total 4-8"; dangerous travel in the morning with some improvement in the afternoon Hi: 41° damn its the other way for me nws saying we get hit hard accurate and local mets are not impressed with it saying slush 1-2 or maybe most 1-4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 .05" of rain and 42.1 degrees currently. Even where the max snow stripe is - amounts are much less with each run. 24 hours ago the amounts were well north of 10"...about half of that now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 What a huge freaking win by the Sixers! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: .05" of rain and 42.1 degrees currently. Even where the max snow stripe is - amounts are much less with each run. 24 hours ago the amounts were well north of 10"...about half of that now. I believe maps have always been way off - it’s just not cold and ultimately that matters. Even heavy snow can’t overcome 35-40 degree air for hours on end to do anything but be white rain. CTP has said main roads won’t be much of an issue at all but I think they need almost a diff warning criteria for travel with this type of system. Who really cares or remembers if there is a 10” car topper-only storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Temp at 42° in Lebanon; its been a slow decline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I do believe we are seeing the tongue of where the precip is breaking out now hinting where the heavy QPF and banding will ultimately be…right around I-81/78/76 corridor 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 dang down to 39 now was at 41 bounced to 43 but now down to 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: new HREF I’ve seen CTP refer to the HREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Very light rain has started. Temp 40 dp 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 11 minutes ago, AccuChris said: I do believe we are seeing the tongue of where the precip is breaking out now hinting where the heavy QPF and banding will ultimately be…right around I-81/78/76 corridor I vividly remember a storm back in 1/78 while in college living just south of Bwi. It's on the Nesis list. But I saw the precip (snow with that storm) coming from the same vicinity miss me to the NW for hours as I cursed it knowing they were getting decent accumulations. ENE/NE jackpoted with it (1'+) while I got around 4", then sleet with a change back to pity flakes to remind me I was unworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 CBS21 sticking with c-2” for most everyone south of MDT. Says it’ll be done by 9 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Looking ahead - Saturday looks intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 40/31ºF here with a little bit of light rain/drizzle. Light NNE breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I think that the heavy precip & storm track will be guided by the dew point boundary. Dews in the northern half of PA are in the 20s, while southern PA has dews in the low 40s currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 16 minutes ago, canderson said: CBS21 sticking with c-2” for most everyone south of MDT. Says it’ll be done by 9 am. this storm is a very strange disconnect nws says over around 12-2 abc 27 and whp 21 are saying 9-10 and less then nothing except on grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 It’s time to set an early alarm & hopefully wake up to snow underway. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, canderson said: Looking ahead - Saturday looks intriguing. Yes. I think we have a solid chance Saturday, it gets cold (wasted cold), then turns warmer. If the SSW occurs starting the 17th or so, Chuck over in the MA forum claims we see results in around 10 days; it's quicker later in the season. Anyway, after the warm period we have a shot at a late season bomb...or another tease. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 RGEM with some insane rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Yes. I think we have a solid chance Saturday, it gets cold (wasted cold), then turns warmer. If the SSW occurs starting the 17th or so, Chuck over in the MA forum claims we see results in around 10 days; it's quicker later in the season. Anyway, after the warm period we have a shot at a late season bomb...or another tease. I should add, Icon is mainly north of me and Euro is mainly south. We've found out today anything's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 what did happen to this so cold cold streak after 15th? 2 it looks like all the mets local and most national are downplaying not buying what models and saying except for it being more south. they are throwing any signs of more then a few wet inchs out the window. but yet they still say a time where heavy snow will be around. does any one here remember a time where the local and most national meteorologists forecasted the opposite of what the models said if they showed snow and they said not that much or where the model showed almost nothing and they go out on a limb and say 6-10 inchs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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