mahantango#1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Euro wins again-DT That is actually very well written compared to usual comments. So what might have been a good storm is now just a POS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, AccuChris said: The Euro may be correct on a more southern track but I wouldnt be crowning it victor as long as the HRRR keeps pushing heavy QPF up into our area. The Euro has basically half the QPF as the HRRR I was joking about DT's penchant to always crown the Euro. Rain has commenced here. 48/44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Euro wins again-DT That is actually very well written compared to usual comments. I’m not saying we don’t trend all the way to the Euro, but it’s still on its own with how weak the system is for a lot of us. Basically shows zilch for southern PA. Edit: Ninja’d by AccuChris 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: So what might have been a good storm is now just a POS? I was just joking that DT always sides with the euro, not a forecast. LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I was joking about DT's penchant to always crown the Euro. Rain has commenced here. 48/44 Oh im not busting your balls on it im busting his…saying the Euro solution is right and nothing has fallen from the sky yet lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I was just joking that DT always sides with the euro, not a forecast. LOL. I guess we'll have to wait until our good friend DT posts his revised 2nd final call map. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18z RRFS Kuchera......seems like a reasonable depiction...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I was joking about DT's penchant to always crown the Euro. Rain has commenced here. 48/44 Always got to give the hat tip to the Euro haha. If the current Euro depiction were to come to fruition the real winner is the Canadian/RGEM. That’s the kind of solution it constantly showed while the other globals including the Euro had the bigger swath of totals. Never really has embraced the big totals even now, though it has warning totals well east of C-PA. I dunno.. event’s got to occur first. I don’t plan on crowning ANY model for this one, but it certainly wouldn’t be the Euro if I did. Meso models are going to handle the FGEN induced band of snow better than the globals at this point. I’d be surprised if there wasn’t at least a 4-6” swath coming across. Things can stop shifting south and tightening though, I never really thought I’d be in danger of being out of this event back this way (Altoona/State College region) but wow we’re there right now according to a lot of guidance. Lighter rates outside of the main FGEN induced area of heavy snow are going to be hard to get accums going coming into this event warm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Not sure I saw the 3K listed. Rgem is still mainly more snowy to the east of the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 My guess: State College: 1" MAG: 1" The Clearfield County boys: a trace MDT: 2.5" The Maryland border people: 2.75" York: 4" Lancaster: 3.75" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 10 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: LOL, Moose biscuits? Yes Moose Biscuits. It the scientific term for massive fuckn snow flakes . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said: Yes Moose Biscuits. It the scientific term for massive fuckn snow flakes . The moose biscuits will probably be well East of me. But earlier that was almost a guarantee somewhere with the lift, temps being so close to freezing and the rapid deepening...if the storm keeps speeding up. I think it lessens it greatly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 GFS still more of a Miller A so a much smaller screw zone. These global maps are smoothed over so some of the higher totals are probably elevation dependent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Happy Hour GFS has stopped the bleeding south for CTP. Warning snow this run for everyone from the MD line up to about I-80 in the Susquehanna Valley. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The moose biscuits will probably be well East of me. But earlier that was almost a guarantee somewhere with the lift, temps being so close to freezing and the rapid deepening...if the storm keeps speeding up. I think it lessens it greatly. Yes sir . Befor my lsd and thorazine hit its half life I was having visions of giant snowflakes, falling on candy cane coverd feilds and sleigh rides to grandma's house for hot coco, and dumplings. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Thanks for shitting in my medicine cabinet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The HRRR is not shitting in med cabinets....it is bringing the goods and bucking the recent trend to minimize this situation. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Still some light snow in the far SE. I personally think this is overstated, like the GFS, but here it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Still some light snow in the far SE. I personally think this is overstated, like the GFS, but here it is. This looks to be in line with the 18z NAM & GFS. This is a juiced system taking a near perfect track for the southern half of PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Until the HRRR starts to falter, I am all in on its consistent solution 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 21z HRRR bumped up totals for Harrisburg & Altoona by about an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Sprinkles all rdy in harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The last call is here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Homie J Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Less than two hours ago NWS had Williamsport at 6-9 in its Winter Storm Warning. They did say in their Discussion that things had shifted south but they were holding off on changing northern predictions for the time being. Now here is what they say: less than 2. So I guess there won't be much to report about up here. I am very happy for the people getting lots more than they thought. Tonight Rain and snow showers, becoming all snow after 4am. Low around 32. Light northeast wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Tuesday Snow showers likely, mainly before 9am. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Northwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: The last call is here! I’ll take it! My yard & MDT are pretty close to the 6 to 10! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I guess they settled on 3-5"Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Any chance for thundersnow?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Weather worldSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Latest HRRR…steady as a rock 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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