mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I agree with them that this is not over. “Significant changes in the forecast are possible (if not likely) in the coming days and interests should check back on the forecast frequently.” Nah, they're just looking for clicks! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Let me take a momment to admittedly misuse the Eps because I'm lazy. That said, %'s did increase as well. 12z on top, 18z on the bottom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 52 was my high. The light today was gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Assuming we can't get the cold to move in fast, next week can work if the vort can be delayed enough for the northern stream to come down and push it south. How could that happen? Well, closed lows have a tendency to slow down and meander a bit without a strong flow and most modeling is showing a closed southern vort that is slowing. The 18z Eps and operational Gfs are hopefully onto this slowing, which has brought snowfall further south on both runs. This is a low probability event for most south of MDT, with a start as rain for certain, so it would be, at best, a changeover to paste. But there is time, which may be the best feature at this point. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 29 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Let me take a momment to admittedly misuse the Eps because I'm lazy. That said, %'s did increase as well. 12z on top, 18z on the bottom. We are on the same page. I was just looking at the 18z EPS & the snow map did indeed increase a bit. The mean low did tick south east a bit & was slightly stronger at 18z. 18z top 12z bottom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Down to 29 after a high 47. Rad Cooling. MDT only needs 3 more degrees to have their second longest freezing streak in a year (breaking the tie). Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z Gfs slower and further south. Gunna be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 GFS says we're back in the game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Lanco should be very happy... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Here's 10:1 even more wow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Ukie came way south from 12z too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Got down to 23 overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6z Gfs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Icon disagrees with Gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The ICON actually has better verification scores than the GFS this winter. I’m not sure what to think about this storm. The only logical thing to do is to wait until the NAM is in range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 4 minutes ago, anotherman said: The ICON actually has better verification scores than the GFS this winter. I’m not sure what to think about this storm. The only logical thing to do is to wait until the NAM is in range. That's a whole new set of problems right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 That's a whole new set of problems right there.Or the CRAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Gfs finally showing what I've been waiting for to believe the weeklies' great pattern. PDIII. There are 2 snowfall maps attached because, like PDII, it's long duration (2 days), so you need to ADD TOTALS FROM BOTH MAPS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 44 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 6z Gfs lol 2 runs in a row the GFS has put us back in the game for early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Let’s hope the GFS gets some company at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Let’s hope the GFS gets some company at 12z. 0z Ukie was close to it and with the amount it moved soith from 12z, another move south at 12z today is doable. Then it has to hold. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 28 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gfs finally showing what I've been waiting for to believe the weeklies' great pattern. PDIII. There are 2 snowfall maps attached because, like PDII, it's long duration (2 days), so you need to ADD TOTALS FROM BOTH MAPS! Where do I sign for PDIII on this 6z GFS run. You weren’t joking around with this long duration storm that it shows. This pattern is capable of producing events like this. Hopefully it holds & gets some company as the other Ops get in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Where do I sign for PDIII on this 6z GFS run. You weren’t joking around with this long duration storm that it shows. This pattern is capable of producing events like this. Hopefully it holds & gets some company as the other Ops get in range. Here’s the snow map for the PD storm 3 day period so you don’t need to do @mitchnick ‘s math. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 9 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 0z Ukie was close to it and with the amount it moved soith from 12z, another move south at 12z today is doable. Then it has to hold. Lol 0z EPS did move the snow line further south for early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 25 for the low here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 0z EPS did move the snow line further south for early next week. Eps pretty decent from this range during the days 11-14. Around 2" imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Getting a beautiful sunrise here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Some suppressed members in the Gefs for sure for PD on this 24hr mean. Not a terrible thing at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 This morning. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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