Superstorm Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Little over 4” of snow here for the day.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 When I measured around 2:45 we were a tick under 4”. Guessing 1/3-1/2” addl at most. Still very light snow n I’m loving every flake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 That snip from the NWS talking about bands into the LSV tomorrow is legit....a chance someone near the Burg or even lower sees a topper tomorrow. The HRRR is showing instability in the early to midafternoon. Route 80 Alert day. And, despite PSU shutting the blinds for 3-4 weeks I am still sticking with chances in the 10 day frame. Chances for something sloppy, not cold like now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 @Bubbler86 That was quite the impressive band earlier. Was at work all day and just measured 4" after that band came through I might of has a bit more with compacting but I think I'm going to go with 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Best snow of the day now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: @Bubbler86 That was quite the impressive band earlier. Was at work all day and just measured 4" after that band came through I might of has a bit more with compacting but I think I'm going to go with 4" It was great, I figured you got hit hard. Just east of Waynesboro near Waynescastle road they tacked on 2" in 45 min. We are at 4.75 here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 This is how we steal one on a lousy pattern. 18z Gfs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024011918&fh=231&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: This is how we steal one on a lousy pattern. 18z Gfs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024011918&fh=231&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 I did not even see that when I put my foot down above. I am just not punting 4 weeks. That is a recipe for having to back track in mid winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I did not even see that when I put my foot down above. I am just not punting 4 weeks. That is a recipe for having to back track. Like I said, i hope we can steal one because the pattern sux. But a slow moving, closed u/l low that changes from rain to snow is the perfect spring snowstorm scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 PA has most snow squall warnings in the nation by a big number.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Got about 4” here, took a walk in this and it was absolutely beautiful!! This is how we plow in Lancaster County. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I did not even see that when I put my foot down above. I am just not punting 4 weeks. That is a recipe for having to back track in mid winter. Psu isn't wrong though. The pattern sucks for the next few weeks. Sure we could steal something. It is prime climo. I would say Ctp would have alot better chance of stealing one than most of Lwx over the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 What’s the trick for getting these snow bands to show up on RadarScope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Like I said, i hope we can steal one because the pattern sux. But a slow moving, closed u/l low that changes from rain to snow is the perfect spring snowstorm scenario. Our models cannot always predict ANYTHING well past 10 days including patterns so I am not even going to say the pattern will suck early Feb....maybe it does and not saying you are wrong at all, just too far out to assume models are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Psu isn't wrong though. The pattern sucks for the next few weeks. Sure we could steal something. It is prime climo. I would say Ctp would have alot better chance of stealing one than most of Lwx over the next few weeks. See my last post to Mitch. Why is it that when the pattern looks great 3 weeks out everyone (except someone in Marysville LOL) is cautious but when it sucks it is a done deal and always right. Maybe it will be sort of in between :-). I can quote you posts from 24-48 hours ago that sounded positive about early Feb. Just not looking great today. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Eyeballing .25” in the last 30 minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 This is how we steal one on a lousy pattern. 18z Gfs.https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024011918&fh=231&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1When it wants to it will find a way to snow. We can take this one too!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, canderson said: Eyeballing .25” in the last 30 minutes. How much should we adjust that for Nugget Nectar's? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: See my last post to Mitch. Why is it that when the pattern looks great 3 weeks out everyone (except someone in Marysville LOL) is cautious but when it sucks it is a done deal and always right. Maybe it will be sort of in between :-). I can quote you posts from 24-48 hours ago that sounded positive about early Feb. Just not looking great today. We can definitely sneak into something. He'll the GFS has been hinting at next weekend for a few days now. It's just alot tougher when the overall pattern looks like it does for the next week or 2. We're just gearing up for our HECS the last 2 weeks in February . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Just now, Chris78 said: We can definitely sneak into something. He'll the GFS has been hinting at next weekend for a few days now. It's just alot tougher when the overall pattern looks like it does for the next week or 2. We're just gearing up for our HECS the last 2 weeks in February . A week or two I have no issue with. Punting into Mid-February on Jan 19th is just not my style (when I referenced some posts on the MA.) That long of a punt sounds like something the Dallas Cowboys would draw up. But after this Monday I think we are on the sidelines for cold for 7-10 days. Let's enjoy the heating bill break :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: A week or two I have no issue with. Punting into Mid-February on Jan 19th is just not my style (when I referenced some posts on the MA.) That long of a punt sounds like something the Dallas Cowboys would draw up. But after this Monday I think we are on the sidelines for cold for 7-10 days. Let's enjoy the heating bill break :-) I'm thinking by the second week in February we're back in business. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 32 minutes ago, canderson said: Best snow of the day now Light snow never stopped all day in Marysville, but sometimes it was lighter than others. Currently sitting at 3” for the day, but hoping for a few more tenths if we get hit with a streamer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 28 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Like I said, i hope we can steal one because the pattern sux. But a slow moving, closed u/l low that changes from rain to snow is the perfect spring snowstorm scenario. The 12z models each were showing some type of Winter weather in PA around the 29th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: See my last post to Mitch. Why is it that when the pattern looks great 3 weeks out everyone (except someone in Marysville LOL) is cautious but when it sucks it is a done deal and always right. Maybe it will be sort of in between :-). I can quote you posts from 24-48 hours ago that sounded positive about early Feb. Just not looking great today. Lol, guilty as charged for looking for patterns that can produce snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: How much should we adjust that for Nugget Nectar's? I’m stone-cold sober! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, guilty as charged for looking for patterns that can produce snow! No, I said that you are not cautious and go gung-ho when patterns are good while many are cautious. When patterns appear bad, people line up to complain. I did not want to insult you and say all are cautious. You go for the gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No, I said that you are not cautious and go gung-ho when patterns are good while many are cautious. When patterns appear bad, people line up to complain. I did not want to insult you and say all are cautious. You go for the gold. It’s all good! I enjoyed this week of tracking for sure. Best week with 2 storms since February of 2021 ! I’m ready to track more snow! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 I need MDT to find 1 more tenth of snow this evening to get us over 9 inches for the season to date! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: This is how we steal one on a lousy pattern. 18z Gfs. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024011918&fh=231&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 I just got to look at this beauty of a 18z GFS late January snow storm potential. At the least, it’s something to track. Back here in the interior, we could score if this type of storm were to actually develop. The snow map was pretty nice for us, but it buried NE this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 The late January period has ensemble support on the GEFS & EPS today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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