Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I've mentioned before but I really like what I've seen with the new RRFS model since its release. I just wish we didn't have to wait so damn long for the model output after its timestamp (12z is still running ha). Anyway, here is its total Kuch snowfall map for the event, FWIW.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I've mentioned before but I really like what I've seen with the new RRFS model since its release. I just wish we didn't have to wait so damn long for the model output after its timestamp (12z is still running ha). Anyway, here is its total Kuch snowfall map for the event, FWIW.... I'm enacting weenie rule #3 and tossing merely on the grounds that i don't like what it shows. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 and fwiw, it woudnt surprise if we dry up a bit at HH or 0z's. It happens and is something I'm personally waiting for. As I've already ovestated....snow on snow. I'm good. Stickin w/ my guess of 2-4 and will hope for coastal pop to be delayed for nice crowd pleasing light event tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 and FWIW, I am gaining more trust in GFS Op, as its been pretty good IMO of late. That said, next weeks warmup will include 2 additional mixed/snow events for northers. Go look at snow map (I look for frozen potential, not for snow numbers in situ's like this). Not sure I trust it that much, but stoudt HPs show up at the right time in eastern Canada to help w/ CAD in CTP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Mostly cloudy and 30 at noon. First time out of the 20's in several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Can we take a sec and appreciate the cloud cover today? With temps rising into the 30s, if we had full sun, we'd be staring at snow on piles tomorrow instead of snow on snow. These clouds are saving our pack, big time. If I could draw it up...it would stay cloudy to about 4-4:30, clear off for 4-5 hours, then cloud over later this evening. Give me a few hours of radiational cooling first. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Can we take a sec and appreciate the cloud cover today? With temps rising into the 30s, if we had full sun, we'd be staring at snow on piles tomorrow instead of snow on snow. These clouds are saving our pack, big time. If I could draw it up...it would stay cloudy to about 4-4:30, clear off for 4-5 hours, then cloud over later this evening. Give me a few hours of radiational cooling first. Already above freezing at my house. Dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Nooner 28 and Cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Updated CTP Forecast: Friday Snow, mainly after 7am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. East wind around 7 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 16 minutes ago, anotherman said: Already above freezing at my house. Dang. Exactly - without the clouds, the snow would be waving bye bye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Updated CTP Forecast: Friday Snow, mainly after 7am. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. East wind around 7 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. They raised tomorrow's expected high temps several degrees - my forecast is the same as yours - last evening my forecast was for a high of 28 tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 MU had this to say within the past hour: An area of high pressure centered off the Carolina coastline will promote lighter winds and slightly milder conditions today. However, high temperatures will still be around 5-10 degrees below normal and generally in the low-to-mid 30s. Skies will be mostly cloudy well in advance of an approaching disturbance. The disturbance will track from the mid-Mississippi Valley to the Delmarva Peninsula spanning Thursday night to Friday evening. To its north, plenty of cold air will be available for precipitation to fall entirely in the form of snow. Light snow should overspread northern MD, southeastern PA, and the Lower Susquehanna Valley from southwest-to-northeast between 3-7 a.m. Friday and continue into the late-afternoon or early-evening hours before ending. The steadiest snow should occur late Friday morning into the mid-afternoon hours. Roads will quickly turn snow-packed and slippery, so exercise extreme caution in the hazardous driving conditions. A general 2-4" of snow is expected across the region. Behind the winter storm, another Arctic air mass will plunge into the mid-Atlantic and northeastern United States from Friday night through the end of the weekend. Northwesterly winds of 12-25 mph are anticipated Friday night before increasing to 15-30 mph on Saturday with gusts up to 35-40 mph. Due to the strong winds, there will be areas of blowing and drifting snow on Friday night and Saturday. Drive within the speed limit, obey travel restrictions, and allow extra space between yours and other vehicles. Low temperatures will bottom out in the teens Friday night with highs only in the low-to-mid 20s Saturday afternoon. As a result, wind chills may fall into the negative single digits late Friday night and Saturday morning and only reach the high single digits Saturday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Exactly - without the clouds, the snow would be waving bye bye. You do have frozen ground underneath, so I'd take that bet. That's something we've not had in well.....like..... forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 A balmy 26 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The MA thread seems quite happy with the south trend. Anyone have the NBM to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 13 minutes ago, pasnownut said: You do have frozen ground underneath, so I'd take that bet. That's something we've not had in well.....like..... forever Good point. I still think we'd lose a fair amount of what we have though. There was melting yesterday under full sun and much colder temps with the frozen tundra. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The MA thread seems quite happy with the south trend. Anyone have the NBM to post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Looks good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Not too shabby for East LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Pa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Latest Sref hot off the presses fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Latest Sref hot off the presses fwiw 4" mean snow depth for our BY's is nothing to sneeze at. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, DDweatherman said: 4" mean snow depth for our BY's is nothing to sneeze at. A southerners Jackpot delight...though it is the Srefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Temp is above freezing for the first time in several days - 33 in Maytown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Temp is above freezing for the first time in several days - 33 in Maytown. A bit of a congrats to the HRRR as several other meso's stayed near 30 today. HRRR was touting 35-40 over there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A southerners Jackpot delight...though it is the Srefs. But I thought you said you liked ensemble products. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Good point. I still think we'd lose a fair amount of what we have though. There was melting yesterday under full sun and much colder temps with the frozen tundra. and if anyone thinks that ground isnt frozen, come take a snowmobile ride with me. Need fillings replaced in all my teeth from last night. Im telling ya, it was frozen tundra...like rock. Im just gonna use an easy analogy to further my point.....hockey rink Ok, back to weather and Euro snow maps on deck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Still 29 here and Cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: But I thought you said you liked ensemble products. That was why I added the ending...looks great but it is the srefs meaning I would not use it to adjust my forecast. Lot's of uncommonly used meso's in there. Wrf's, etc... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now