Ruin Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I forget does getting named mean the rug gets pulled out from under us less snow. Or does it mean over performing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Ruin said: I forget does getting named mean the rug gets pulled out from under us less snow. Or does it mean over performing Over performing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Over performing! Yes and in the NAM range! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 0z NAM looks very much like MU's thoughts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Ty for the replies on the namming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: 0z NAM looks very much like MU's thoughts... Yes indeed! It would also make Tom Russell at CBS-21 happy as well with his 3 to 5 call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 0z NAM looks very much like MU's thoughts... The naming gave me 2-3". Mdt 4.3". I hope future model runs get a bit more for us. South Lsv 2-3". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 NAMed! Ya love to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Latest Sref fwiw. Odd distribution to say the least. Looks like 2 different camps...maybe 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Currently it's 5 degrees here. It never got below 7 last year. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: Currently it's 5 degrees here. It never got below 7 last year. We got down to 9 at 8PM but up to 14 now. Our low last year was -3 so that will stand for the night it appears. You are 18-20 below MDT right now! THV also up 2 degrees in the last hour. SW winds starting to bring in some milder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We got down to 9 at 8PM but up to 14 now. Our low last year was -3 so that will stand for the night it appears. You are 18-20 below MDT right now! THV also up 2 degrees in the last hour. SW winds starting to bring in some milder air. Milder air sounds good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 11 in Marysville currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: We got down to 9 at 8PM but up to 14 now. Our low last year was -3 so that will stand for the night it appears. You are 18-20 below MDT right now! THV also up 2 degrees in the last hour. SW winds starting to bring in some milder air. Seriously, what is up at MDT. Even the surface of hell at Cap City Airport is at 16 currently! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Milder air sounds good! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Seriously, what is up at MDT. Even the surface of hell at Cap City Airport is at 16 currently! It did seem high but THV being 19 or 20 gave me pause to question it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 21 in Maytown currently - just 2 below what MDT is reporting which would make their number seem legit to me. Within the last hour MU has fluctuated between 16 and 20. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I blame jet traffic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 ICON doesn't look like the NAM - no hint of higher totals in Philly metro and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I blame jet traffic Meh - if the tundra at Thomasville is at 19, I'm honestly surprised that MDT isn't higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: 18z Euro had its best run since a couple of days ago. after reading the last few pages, I will giggle my ass off if this starts to moisten up as often IS the case as we get closer and we get back into 2-4". Most of us know how things roll and know that EVERY map has a degree of bias/adjustment needed when viewing. Didnt think this needed said after doing this for as long as we have. I'm assuming you know better as well . If not, catch up... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: ICON doesn't look like the NAM - no hint of higher totals in Philly metro and east. Icon has more for me than the Nam did. Mitch too. That was not a right proper namming. Need to be 3X higher than any other model...LOL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Icon has more for me than the Nam did. Mitch too. That was not a right proper namming. Need to be 3X higher than any other model...LOL. Really, there are subtle (somewhat subtle) differences in QPF distribution across the area, the NAM really went wild east of here. That fell in line with MU's map, which is unlike most of the forecast maps I've seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Really, there are subtle (somewhat subtle) differences in QPF distribution across the area, the NAM really went wild east of here. That fell in line with MU's map, which is unlike most of the forecast maps I've seen. I am just kidding about the namming...it was a namming well East of here over your way and east. Philly thread is Pro Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 54 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Based purely on the Nam, this is really close to something bigger. 4-6 hour difference between this and a general 6-10" event for many imho. looks notably better wrt spacing and qpf field. Crowd pleaser for many (of course w/ normal adjustments made to said model bias) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Snow during the morning will give way to lingering snow showers during the early afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the low to mid 20's. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulating 1 to 3 inches. So my forecast for friday they only have snow in the morning giving way to snow showers in the early afternoon. still going for a 1-3 inch ball park but temps either are an error or this storm brings its own cold and with the clouds for thursday it just cant get up to the 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 was out on snowmobiles w/ son tonight. Basically burnt some OLD gas out and put some fresh in for weekend. First time in almost 2 years since we've been able to ride down here. Was bony as hell in plowed fields, but hoping we take care of that this weekend. Decent amount of other tracks, so I guess we weren't the only ones anxious to ride. Have fun model watchin all, I'm headed to bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Ruin said: Snow during the morning will give way to lingering snow showers during the early afternoon. Temps nearly steady in the low to mid 20's. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 80%. Snow accumulating 1 to 3 inches. So my forecast for friday they only have snow in the morning giving way to snow showers in the early afternoon. still going for a 1-3 inch ball park but temps either are an error or this storm brings its own cold and with the clouds for thursday it just cant get up to the 30s I thought you were near MDT. I just did a point and click and it says high of 29 which is in line with most models....maybe a degree or two low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I’m at 18 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I thought you were near MDT. I just did a point and click and it says high of 29 which is in line with most models....maybe a degree or two low. thats where my dad lives. I visit him often but im about 20 mins north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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