mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I feel like I am reporting from Harrisburg when I say this but neighbor up from me who just had a new roof put on (though done by "friends) lost a row of about 10 shingles. But incredibly power is still on here. Somebody went cheap on fasteners it seems. If it's going to happen, it'll happen in the winter since the heat hasn't sealed the roof tabs together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 We left when the power went out. I’m scared to go back to be honest I came about a 1/2 second and a few feet from getting absolutely demolished by a large branch when I went to secure stuff outside earlier. It felt like wind was equivalent to what Isabel did to us. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: @Itstrainingtime here is where I was standing when I felt the worst winds since I have left Florida and only felt worse in Florida once. Thank God Clarence jumped in before you did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Here is the 18z 3k NAM zoomed in view for some Sunday fun while we find our trash cans… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is the 18z 3k NAM zoomed in view for some Sunday fun while we find our trash cans… Cashtown jackpot…so book it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Thank God Clarence jumped in before you did. He had to show me what life without me would be like...such as the Mexican place in Hanover turning into an adult book store without my constant huevos rancheros purchases. Everytime you hear a bell ring that Mena the NBM has a new map out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 NWS might need to issue WSWatches if NAM is right.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 NWS might need to issue WSWatches if NAM is right..I think they will do advisorys tomorrow Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: NWS might need to issue WSWatches if NAM is right. . I wouldn’t mind, but I think we are headed for an Advisory for 2 to 4 with a few lucky spots (checks notes…like Cashtown…) getting a chance of 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: PS, the winds coming off the Susky in Columbia yesterday had to be near or above 50-55 as to gusts. People were having to walked slanted forward to get to the water. Once you go just 50-100 feet from the water, it lowered quite a bit. Yes, that is what we experienced on the trail. Open spots along the water were an adventure. We did not go down today but I'd imagine there are trees down along the trail, especially with the soggy ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: He had to show me what life without me would be like...such as the Mexican place in Hanover turning into an adult book store without my constant huevos rancheros purchases. Everytime you hear a bell ring that Mena the NBM has a new map out. What Mexican place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I wouldn’t mind, but I think we are headed for an Advisory for 2 to 4 with a few lucky spots (checks notes…like Cashtown…) getting a chance of 5. My south location might end up helping me this time if the Nam and Euro are right....BIG "IF" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 12 minutes ago, Superstorm said: NWS might need to issue WSWatches if NAM is right. . Yeah, that was a nice HH run for sure. It must have heard me pouring cocktail and approved of my pour... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: What Mexican place? The same one I mentioned I go to seemingly almost every week. El Rodeo or whatever. They do not even ask me my order there anymore... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 10 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: I think they will do advisorys tomorrow Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I'd think 0z runs will be when they hoist, as we'd be inside of 24 hrs and as long as all models dont crap the bed.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 32 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @Itstrainingtime here is where I was standing when I felt the worst winds since I have left Florida and only felt worse in Florida once. Did you go in the Visitor's Center? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Did you go in the Visitor's Center? I saw it but we did not go in. Were sort of on a time schedule so had 15 min but not much more. Stayed in Mountville for the night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah, that was a nice HH run for sure. It must have heard me pouring cocktail and approved of my pour... 18z RGEM on board with CTP wide Advisory event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 15 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah, that was a nice HH run for sure. It must have heard me pouring cocktail and approved of my pour... German house model musta heard that I poured a white russian and did NOT approve. Cut back a tad, but like many spouses do, we'll take our 2"...and pretend we like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 hour ago, canderson said: Today puts yesterday to shame. At least 15 mph stronger and that’s not including gusts. A tree is across Caneron at Elmerton. A roof was blown off a house in Penbrook about an hour ago. Today’s winds was definitely the strongest that we had this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: The models and forecasters alike always seem to struggle with wind, badly. The morning 12z 3k NAM did have this around lunchtime. These are 850mb winds at 18z (1pm) with a 65kt max in York/Lancaster. That likely mixed down pretty efficiently with the combo of the arctic frontal passage/sunshine/significant cold air advection and westerly winds downsloping into the Sus Valley. The previous 17z frame had the 60kt+ max over the Rou… whatever time bubbler had his 67mph gust. They did have advisories out but sounds like it was a bit more potent than that. Winds should be starting to settle down as we get into the evening. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: The morning 12z 3k NAM did have this around lunchtime. These are 850mb winds at 18z (1pm) with a 65kt max in York/Lancaster. That likely mixed down pretty efficiently with the combo of the arctic frontal passage/sunshine/significant cold air advection and westerly winds downsloping into the Sus Valley. The previous 17z frame had the 60kt+ max over the Rou… whatever time bubbler had his 67mph gust. They did have advisories out but sounds like it was a bit more potent than that. Winds should be starting to settle down as we get into the evening. I am home a lot when these high wind events happen so today was a bit different for me being out of the house.... was not home here to confirm how windy it felt but it was late this AM that the highest gust was recorded. The road signs shaking/waving West of York was something I have only seen once in my life before. It was just like this gif.....quite the event today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 I don’t mind seeing those higher totals on the 18z GFS just over the border in MD…right where we want it…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I don’t mind seeing those higher totals on the 18z GFS just over the border in MD…right where we want it…. Yes, agreed. We’ve been getting bumped up on models statewide, but it’s getting up in the 4-6” range just to our south. History says that’s a great place to be! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The southtowns of Buffalo have been getting crushed by a nearly stationary LES band all afternoon. The entire timeframe that game would’ve been played today likely would’ve been a whiteout. I guess this is how cleanup is going haha https://x.com/darrenrovell/status/1746610698400976960?s=20 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 My son recorded a 64mph wind gust on his ws5000 today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Everyone thought I was joking about Brady to Dallas. It was no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 DT first call 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: DT first call Plowable all around. I saw at least 6 plows today for the squalls. All plows up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Plowable all around. I saw at least 6 plows today for the squalls. All plows up. Lucky we didn't have a foot of fresh snow on the ground with those winds today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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