Jns2183 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I find this hilarious Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 17 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: I find this hilarious Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Looks like a couple islands in PA (one in Philly too). What kind of island, I will let that up to others to decide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Pretty good depiction of cyclonic flow here in these parts as per the current radar from the NWS...https://radar.weather.gov/station/KCCX/standard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 33 minutes ago, Caveman said: No doubt! I'm in northern York County and "play" in the middle of that "abnormally dry" region in south central PA...and frankly, for this time of year, it's abnormally wet. They take a long term look at it for those maps and include ground water levels so takes a lot to move those up. But that map is massively improved from 2-3 months ago (especially south of PA.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Pure Beauty Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Legit cold going to be in Texas for about 70 hours next week. Should be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, canderson said: Legit cold going to be in Texas for about 70 hours next week. Should be impressive. Hope not Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonesy56 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 15 minutes ago, canderson said: Legit cold going to be in Texas for about 70 hours next week. Should be impressive. My co-worker is running in the Bandera 100K marathon down there this weekend. Looks like they'll miss the Arctic shot by a day or so.. I can't imagine running a 100k in a year let alone 12 hours... then add bone-chilling cold to the mix, that would've felt more like the Iditarod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Wind chill for chiefs gameSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 29 minutes ago, paweather said: Hope not Sunday! Cowboys footballs will be cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 36 minutes ago, paweather said: Hope not Sunday! Saw many ice games at the old Texas Stadium. Not an issue with Jerryworld! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 9 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Wind chill for chiefs game Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk The Buffalo game might be fun with lake effect snow. Not sure timing there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 9 minutes ago, canderson said: Saw many ice games at the old Texas Stadium. Not an issue with Jerryworld! We need the fanbase as well. They have not lost at home in 2 years I believe. Siriani and boys going to sunny TPA to face Baker who. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 18z Icon looking a lot like 6z than 12z, so it's warmer, but not quite as warm as 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: The Icon actually has a north displaced trough a bit north of you. Temps are not that bad for you...Fridged over here. I'll take that...for now, but I am so ready to come home. Sad part is that unless my mom agrees to come home with me or go into a care facility here, I'm stuck. I'm missing my wife and family bad though... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 23 minutes ago, canderson said: Saw many ice games at the old Texas Stadium. Not an issue with Jerryworld! Who lett Leon in the house? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, canderson said: The Buffalo game might be fun with lake effect snow. Not sure timing there. I’d make a solid wager on it becoming very newsworthy in the sports media as it gets in the short range and BUF starts putting out products and accumulation forecasts for it (significant LES already being mentioned in their AFD). Although I’d probably make a solid wager on taking the Steelers at +10 too haha. But it seriously looks like a great setup for a major LES event. It’d be the first widespread one of the season with legitimate cold air over the unfrozen lakes too. I posted a map a few days ago and things look about the same with that WSW flow over the length of Lake Erie focusing on the south towns of Buffalo (where Orchard Park is). Aligned cyclonic WSW flow all the way up through 700mb. Low level 925 and 850mb temps in the -10 to -18ºC (ideal range for snow growth) over water temps in Erie that are mostly in the upper 30s to near 40. Timing is right around game time too and during Sunday. It could be a quite a spectacle. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Some finals from yesterday’s storm. 1.47” total as measured by the rain gauge (WS-5000 station), which includes morning snow that piled into it. I brought the rain gauge inside and got the snow quickly melted. That only yielded about 0.4” which is likely too low, that would’ve been a 17.5:1 ratio at 7”. Ratio was probably close to 10:1, so precip total with the inch of rain was probably more in the 1.75” range. Pressure bottomed out at 983mb around 9pm last night, a drop of 41mb in 24 hours. Peak wind gust (this afternoon) of 42 mph. It was pretty windy today but nothing crazy despite the early morning upgrade to high wind warning this county had today. Still generally 6” of snow in the yard, except under the pine trees at the edge of the property. There was about 3-4” of snow left from Saturday prior to yesterdays snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 hours ago, MAG5035 said: I’d make a solid wager on it becoming very newsworthy in the sports media as it gets in the short range and BUF starts putting out products and accumulation forecasts for it (significant LES already being mentioned in their AFD). Although I’d probably make a solid wager on taking the Steelers at +10 too haha. But it seriously looks like a great setup for a major LES event. It’d be the first widespread one of the season with legitimate cold air over the unfrozen lakes too. I posted a map a few days ago and things look about the same with that WSW flow over the length of Lake Erie focusing on the south towns of Buffalo (where Orchard Park is). Aligned cyclonic WSW flow all the way up through 700mb. Low level 925 and 850mb temps in the -10 to -18ºC (ideal range for snow growth) over water temps in Erie that are mostly in the upper 30s to near 40. Timing is right around game time too and during Sunday. It could be a quite a spectacle. Love it Mag! Awesome to have snow games this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 The 18z EPS has a great signal for the Tuesday chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18z Eps. Despite what you may read in the MA forum, although it still has the Monday storm, it is weaker and a bit more out to sea. Precip maps for comparison. All snow by the way. Possibly slower, but not based on slp location. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 18z Eps. Despite what you may read in the MA forum, although it still has the Monday storm, it is weaker and a bit more out to sea. Precip maps for comparison. All snow by the way. Possibly slower, but not based on slp location. I got the MA forum for the laughs, come here for facts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I got the MA forum for the laughs, come here for facts! There are good posters there, but I prefer less drama and smaller group. We all read that forum and others, and although the run is similar to 12z as was stated there, it's around 1/2 the qpf and snowfall per snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Was over at Ski Liberty today....all I can say is 'stay to the far left!" (reverse coming down the mountain) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 18z Eps. Despite what you may read in the MA forum, although it still has the Monday storm, it is weaker and a bit more out to sea. Precip maps for comparison. All snow by the way. Possibly slower, but not based on slp location. Same general signal. We are in the game. That’s all I’m looking for at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: There are good posters there, but I prefer less drama and smaller group. We all read that forum and others, and although the run is similar to 12z, it's around 1/2 the qpf and snowfall per snowfall map. Plenty of good posters and nice people, but it is still damn funny sometimes. Bit of a model war with the GEFS and EPS as to positions of important features. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: There are good posters there, but I prefer less drama and smaller group. We all read that forum and others, and although the run is similar to 12z as was stated there, it's around 1/2 the qpf and snowfall per snowfall map. The bulk of the storm is still on the way when the run ends at 144 hours. I’ll gladly take my chances with this look at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 There are good posters there, but I prefer less drama and smaller group. We all read that forum and others, and although the run is similar to 12z as was stated there, it's around 1/2 the qpf and snowfall per snowfall map.I think they would doom if they lived at TahoeSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The bulk of the storm is still on the way when the run ends at 144 hours. I’ll gladly take my chances with this look at this range. 12z v 18z. Also, the 500mb vort is more positively tilted, which explains the storm further off the coast. Don't get me wrong, I'm happy there's a decent signal, but I'm just analyzing the run to prior run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 CTP’s disco is bullish for Monday/Tuesday. And for more big winds Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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