2001kx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Moderate to heavy snow just morphed into a light rain/mist here in less than a minute's time. 1.9" total snow so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Moderate to heavy snow just morphed into a light rain/mist here in less than a minute's time. 1.9" total snow so far. Hopefully you flip back to get a little more snow when the rates pick back up. Radar is super juiced in MD & PA southern tier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 An additional 1.5” has fallen here in the last two hours, bringing the storm total to 2.0”. Sitting at 31/30 and sleet starting to mix in when rates let up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 precip lightend up or I'm mixing with sleet and rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Absolutely dumping now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just measured a half inch since the last check an hour ago. Storm total so far 1.5” in Lebanon. Temp 30° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: An additional 1.5” has fallen here in the last two hours, bringing the storm total to 2.0”. Sitting at 31/30 and sleet starting to mix in when rates let up. I assumed I would see sleet when it let up, but it's plain light rain here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Here is the 18z HRRR. Harrisburg area north & west still has good amount of snow to go according to this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Dumping snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Definitely 2”/hr rates now in this batch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Snow mixing back in as Cor/Coefficient radar shows sleet sinking back south some. Temporary most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Sleet31.6F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Best snow rates in years, about 4” now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 POURING snow. Holy cow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, canderson said: POURING snow. Holy cow. Congrats! It’s a snow globe here right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Hoping to flip back when heavy returns come back. I can see CC being fought back a bit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, canderson said: POURING snow. Holy cow. Awesome congrats! We have completely switched over down here. Was really hoping to hold off until 4 or 5pm but warm air wins again down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Some of the heaviest snow I’ve seen since my move to Greencastle over the last hour. Will be curious to get a measurement. Awesome band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Wind-driven rain. Where did this wind come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Awesome congrats! We have completely switched over down here. Was really hoping to hold off until 4 or 5pm but warm air wins again down here. We just can't catch a break the past few years. Nothing surprising for us today. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Hoping to flip back when heavy returns come back. I can see CC being fought back a bit. . CC line was never really close to me and yet…..here I am sitting under sleet. Would love one more bout of snow under intense rates but I doubt it. We know how this usually goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Great recent update from CTP “NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/... *** Very heavy snowfall rates expected across the region for 3-4 hours this afternoon into early this evening *** Primary emphasis remains on a several hour period of very heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour (and perhaps even 3 inches per hour rates for a brief time) progressing northeast across the CWA this afternoon and early this evening. Strong uvvel via a combination of WAA and FGEN forcing at the nose of a 40-50 kt south-serly LLJ and beneath the right entrance region of an upper lvl jet streak will support an approx 2-3 hour period of intense snowfall rates with still 0.5-1 inch per hour snowfall rates bracketing this period on both sides. That will be the bulk of the snowstorm. A quick- hitting intense variety that will make travel and plowing extremely difficult for those several hours. The period of heaviest snowfall for our SW Zones will conclude by 22Z, while the region from KBFD to KUNV and KMDT/KLNS will see the heaviest snow between 20Z and 00Z Sun, and 22Z Sat-02Z Sunday for KIPT and the Western Poconos. Vsbys in the heart of these time intervals will be as low as just a few hundred feet. 3-5 inches of snow has already fallen across the Laurel Highlands as of 19Z and there is another 2-3 hours of 1+ inch per hour snowfall rates ahead, with lingering lighter snow afterward. This will be representative of what we`ll see across the Central 2/3rds of the CWA later this afternoon and evening and our current forecast snow totals look in great shape. The toughest forecast remains close to the I-81 corridor in Scent PA where the max wet bulb aloft reaches 0C to +1 C. This slightly above freezing layer aloft may not be thick enough to support melting (usually need about +1-2C aloft to support a true changeover to sleet. What we may see is periods of significant snowflake aggregation and rapid accums of these larger flakes. We could easily see Warning Criteria snowfall of 5-8 inches over the northern 1/3 of York County with Advisory amounts of 3-4 inches in the southern part of the county with a similar occurrence NW to SE across Lancaster County. A very tough call with just how thick and how far NW the melting layer aloft will get. Temps at mid afternoon remain within a fairly tight 5 deg F range between 28 deg F (across much of the Central, NW Mtns and Laurel Highlands), to 31-33F over the Lower Susq Valley. Extrapolation of the back edge of the thicker, textured seeder feeder clouds (Moving NE at 45 KTS) will be near a KBFD to KUNV and KHGR line around 23Z and across the Susq Valley and points NE between 00-01Z Sunday. Snowfall rates will rapidly decrease afterward with some areas of -FZDZ possible, esp across the SE half of the state.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: We just can't catch a break the past few years. Nothing surprising for us today. 20 Miles’s away it is wind driven snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: We just can't catch a break the past few years. Nothing surprising for us today. Mix being reported all the way up to the Lanc/Berks line already. Will be interesting to see if it holds off for the Harrisburg crew as was modeled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Was outside but came in because of the rain/sleet mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3” it seems. No wind really - 5-10 mph stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 At 3:00pm here in Carlisle, it is snowing heavily. Since 2:15 I have recorded an additional 0.8" for a storm total of 3.3". So the intensity is running around 1.2"/hr. The temp is still holding at 29.8 degrees with a dew point of 28.9 and a wet bulb of 29.3. Looking forward to the 4-6pm period of really intense snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Great recent update from CTP “NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/... *** Very heavy snowfall rates expected across the region for 3-4 hours this afternoon into early this evening *** Primary emphasis remains on a several hour period of very heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour (and perhaps even 3 inches per hour rates for a brief time) progressing northeast across the CWA this afternoon and early this evening. Strong uvvel via a combination of WAA and FGEN forcing at the nose of a 40-50 kt south-serly LLJ and beneath the right entrance region of an upper lvl jet streak will support an approx 2-3 hour period of intense snowfall rates with still 0.5-1 inch per hour snowfall rates bracketing this period on both sides. That will be the bulk of the snowstorm. A quick- hitting intense variety that will make travel and plowing extremely difficult for those several hours. The period of heaviest snowfall for our SW Zones will conclude by 22Z, while the region from KBFD to KUNV and KMDT/KLNS will see the heaviest snow between 20Z and 00Z Sun, and 22Z Sat-02Z Sunday for KIPT and the Western Poconos. Vsbys in the heart of these time intervals will be as low as just a few hundred feet. 3-5 inches of snow has already fallen across the Laurel Highlands as of 19Z and there is another 2-3 hours of 1+ inch per hour snowfall rates ahead, with lingering lighter snow afterward. This will be representative of what we`ll see across the Central 2/3rds of the CWA later this afternoon and evening and our current forecast snow totals look in great shape. The toughest forecast remains close to the I-81 corridor in Scent PA where the max wet bulb aloft reaches 0C to +1 C. This slightly above freezing layer aloft may not be thick enough to support melting (usually need about +1-2C aloft to support a true changeover to sleet. What we may see is periods of significant snowflake aggregation and rapid accums of these larger flakes. We could easily see Warning Criteria snowfall of 5-8 inches over the northern 1/3 of York County with Advisory amounts of 3-4 inches in the southern part of the county with a similar occurrence NW to SE across Lancaster County. A very tough call with just how thick and how far NW the melting layer aloft will get. Temps at mid afternoon remain within a fairly tight 5 deg F range between 28 deg F (across much of the Central, NW Mtns and Laurel Highlands), to 31-33F over the Lower Susq Valley. Extrapolation of the back edge of the thicker, textured seeder feeder clouds (Moving NE at 45 KTS) will be near a KBFD to KUNV and KHGR line around 23Z and across the Susq Valley and points NE between 00-01Z Sunday. Snowfall rates will rapidly decrease afterward with some areas of -FZDZ possible, esp across the SE half of the state.” Even they say the warm layer is too shallow for a lot of sleet....yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3pm obs: 27ºF and moderate-heavy snow. 4.8” on the ground making 2.3” (!) in the last hour. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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