Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Almost doubled imby. Lol I am comparing to 0z, to which the totals are nearly identical. I don't have access to 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: I am comparing to 0z, to which the totals are nearly identical. I don't have access to 6z. Ahh, ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, mitchnick said: Ahh, ok. Nice improvement from the Euro over its 0z & 6z runs, especially for the southern tier counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 The 12z Euro is still the driest of the 3 globals at 12z. Hopefully it juices up some later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z Euro is still the driest of the 3 globals at 12z. Hopefully it juices up some later on. I posted about this earlier in the week. All the southern systems since October have been prolific qpf producers. I just don't buy any model that says this time will be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I posted about this earlier in the week. All the southern systems since October have been prolific qpf producers. I just don't buy any model that says this time will be different. That is true; however, most of those storms were 24+ hour events. The main show for tomorrow is going to be in a 6-9 hour window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Roundtop is opening up again tomorrow. Their snow making team kills it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That is true; however, most of those storms were 24+ hour events. The main show for tomorrow is going to be in a 6-9 hour window. Yep. It's the duration that's the main issue, not the rate of precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 20 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nws has me in a WWA but around 1500' out my front door in Adams County it's a WSW. I will send you pics of my WSW. LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Yep. It's the duration that's the main issue, not the rate of precip. I’ll take 3-6 hours of ripping snow and 4-6 inches over a 24 hour 6-8 inch storm if we are being honest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: I’ll take 3-6 hours of ripping snow and 4-6 inches over a 24 hour 6-8 inch storm if we are being honest Fair point and I don't disagree. Down here just hoping to see 2-3 hours of ripping snow before any changeover. Anything more than that is gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Methinks Euro will come on closer for next weekend. Maybe not like Gfs, but better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Methinks Euro will come on closer for next weekend. Maybe not like Gfs, but better. Man does it ever. Worlds better than 0z. Loooong way to go but love to see it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Man does it ever. Worlds better than 0z. Loooong way to go but love to see it. Did I just see the low sitting off the Jersey coast next Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 37 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nws has me in a WWA but around 1500' out my front door in Adams County it's a WSW. LOL Same. I can see Adams county as well... Its less than 1/2 mile from me. I am pulling for your initial call!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Did I just see the low sitting off the Jersey coast next Sunday? You did sir. You did. Don't worry, it will be back up in Lake Michigan by 0z tonight haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: You did sir. You did. Don't worry, it will be back up in Lake Michigan by 0z tonight haha. That is ok, the PBP win for the group is taken and added to the trophy case. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Haven't seen the new map posted yet from CTP.... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Haven't seen the new map posted yet from CTP.... Liie watching Santa head back home. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 6 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Haven't seen the new map posted yet from CTP.... I get 5-8" instead of 3-4 if I walk a few hundred feet south. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 18z HRRR seems to not be driving the Low so far north and is definitely trying to transfer to the coast earlier but still showing the same early mixing across most all of adams/york/lanc counties. Baby steps, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: 18z HRRR seems to not be driving the Low so far north and is definitely trying to transfer to the coast earlier but still showing the same early mixing across most all of adams/york/lanc counties. Baby steps, perhaps. Yep. It doubled my snowfall despite its shenanigans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 The HRRR cut me from 3.5" to 1.2". Lovely. Harrisburg stayed about the same. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 HRRR still basically a no-go for all of lancaster county, a slushy inch or two. I do think it may be getting ready to come around though. Think we see a different outcome by 0z or 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Judging from surface temps, things seem to be on the cooler side here in the MA. I'll be surprised if 18z modeks start coming in warmer than 12z, but stranger things have certainly happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR cut me from 3.5" to 1.2". Lovely. Harrisburg stayed about the same. Keep your chin up - plenty of snow maps show a lot more than that for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Judging from surface temps, things seem to be on the cooler side here in the MA. I'll be surprised if 18z modeks start coming in warmer than 12z, but stranger things have certainly happened. A lot will depend on where that slp gets too...those south winds can scour like crazy when there is not much CAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Keep your chin up - plenty of snow maps show a lot more than that for you. The EPS cannot be far off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Mark Ellinwood just posted his final call in the MA thread - he moved his contours NW but admitted that he thought about moving them farther NW. (he's pessimistic about his amounts) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Liie watching Santa head back home. Haha, it seems like the really want to put Harrisburg in 2-8" range and are fighting the limitations of the computer system. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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