Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Susquenita, my kids school district, just announced a “Flexible Instruction Day”, so they will be learning at home tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Susquenita, my kids school district, just announced a “Flexible Instruction Day”, so they will be learning at home tomorrow. Chambersburg to my north did a 2 hour delay...not ready to pull yet. I think they should have just pulled and moved on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: MU…. https://x.com/muweather/status/1757181855357366783?s=46&t=yE0m3aiFgMNKsTcNdUT1uw This is making me very, very happy… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This is making me very, very happy… He sure did an about face from his position as recently as yesterday, if not this morning. Just goes to show you, in the end, may as well look at the models yourself for the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 CTP just released its latest map. VERY rare to see “lower totals for areas north and west of Harrisburg” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 State has a 3 hour delay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, canderson said: CTP just released its latest map. VERY rare to see “lower totals for areas north and west of Harrisburg” That was a nice bump up for the South. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, Bubbler86 said: That was a nice bump up for the South. Someone north of Baltimore is going to be super confused tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, mitchnick said: He sure did an about face from his position as recently as yesterday, if not this morning. Just goes to show you, in the end, may as well look at the models yourself for the forecast. He is a great Met & knows his stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 He is a great Met & knows his stuff.I'm trying to think of, but can't, another storm where it moved north or south 80 mi inside of 36 hours of start time all within a 12 hour model period in the last decade. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 27 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 21Z SREF.....I will take either one. The latest SREFs absolutely nuke the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: He is a great Met & knows his stuff. I'm not questioning his abilities, but that mets are slaves to the models. He changed his mind and forecast due to the change in modeling. Since all have access to the modeling, we can all come up with a reasonable forecast for our backyards, and some beyond our backyards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 How are we only under Winter Weather Advisories? People would heed more warning if we were upgraded…like come on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 1 minute ago, Jns2183 said: I'm trying to think of, but can't, another storm where it moved north or south 80 mi inside of 36 hours of start time all within a 12 hour model period in the last decade. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk March of 2014 had 3 storms that were modeled to hit Northern PA 2 days out, then bullseyed us the day before, then ended up hitting MD & DC while we whiffed on game day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: March of 2014 had 3 storms that were modeled to hit Northern PA 2 days out, then bullseyed us the day before, then ended up hitting MD & DC while we whiffed on game day. Yep, and I never thought we'd have another storm like any of them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 28 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: This is making me very, very happy… I said it earlier and I’ll say it again. You are an absolute legend for this one. Never gave up hope and looks like it’s going to deliver! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: I said it earlier and I’ll say it again. You are an absolute legend for this one. Never gave up hope and looks like it’s going to deliver! Thanks, but no one wins until we are shoveling & measuring tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 29 minutes ago, mitchnick said: He sure did an about face from his position as recently as yesterday, if not this morning. Just goes to show you, in the end, may as well look at the models yourself for the forecast. He didn't comment for a couple of days until this morning. Remains to be seen about his "winter is over" call for early March but the current trends seem to be moving towards his thoughts. Even PSU Hoffman acknowledged this evening that he's getting discouraged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 WowSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Thanks, but no one wins until we are shoveling & measuring tomorrow. Thank you for saying that. There is HUGE bust potential here...good and bad. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Homie J Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Penn State just canceled classes from 5 am to 10 am. Brilliant, now I don't have an 8 am physics lecture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Saw this on X. No idea if it’s true: “Air Force Hurricane Hunters are out this evening sampling the atmosphere ahead of the developing Nor'easter. 10-15 dropsondes will be dropped and will help our models get a better grasp on the forecast.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Latest 850 thermals 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 0z Hrrr drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 0z Hrrr drier Just checked for me...23z gives me 1.22" and 0z gives me 1.12". >>EDIT: I see you were referring to snowfall. Yes, I dropped from 5" to 3". (Kuch) Eeek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 11 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 0z Hrrr drier Cur my snow in half. The hrrr is really good at crazy hour to hour runs though so may not be a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Just checked for me...23z gives me 1.22" and 0z gives me 1.12". >>EDIT: I see you were referring to snowfall. Yes, I dropped from 5" to 3". (Kuch) Eeek. If rates aren’t as heavy it’ll eat fast at accumulation. We need heavy snow to get anything to stick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, canderson said: If rates aren’t as heavy it’ll eat fast at accumulation. We need heavy snow to get anything to stick. I think we need heavy snow just for it to be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Cur my snow in half. The hrrr is really good at crazy hour to hour runs though so may not be a trend. Rap didn’t look too bad most recently in its new run. Respectable outcomes for the lsv crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Did anyone post the 18z Eps? I didn't see it. Here it is in case it wasn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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