Bubbler86 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Gfs was a nice little s/se tick. Vort continued to be weaker and a bit more south out west and as it moved E. It was a nice improvement surprisingly. The GFS change is the biggest wonderment on my mind as to whether it could snow down our way. Meso's outside the Nam just not buying it yet though. When I say snow I mean at least 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 I’m gonna stfu until precip starts lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Snow falls hard and fast at the end for western LSV on the GFS. Yes, very nice improvement for the southern tier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Gfs was a nice little s/se tick. Vort continued to be weaker and a bit more south out west and as it moved E. It was a nice improvement surprisingly. Wow...got me up to 4" Kuchera. Big improvement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Definitely a subtle shift south on the 18z runs. Another 40 mile shift south would put many people in 6+” amounts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, very nice improvement for the southern tier. Amen to that bro, Amen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 JB said don't be surprised to see thunder and lightning get going tomorrow night in and area from Pittsburgh to NYC During the change over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Rap just came south too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Could be a true forum divider - might be hours tomorrow night when north and west friends are ripping snow while those of us SE are hydroplaning on flooded roadways... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Could be a true forum divider - might be hours tomorrow night when north and west friends are ripping snow while those of us SE are hydroplaning on flooded roadways... Makes you want one more shift like the gfs just did again, then we can all rejoice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 18z Gefs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Could be a true forum divider - might be hours tomorrow night when north and west friends are ripping snow while those of us SE are hydroplaning on flooded roadways... The GFS does not change it to snow in Harrisburg until Rush Hour Tue. IF we did get accums that could be ugly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 18z Gefs Closeup. I went from 2.5 - 4. S trend, however small, makes a big difference down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 18z Gefs Hell of a gradient always manages to find itself in York and Lancaster county lol… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Looks almost exactly like the 12z Icon. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Looks almost exactly like the 12z Icon. Snow on snow, bring it please! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Living on the southern edge this winter has been beyond nerve racking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Living on the southern edge this winter has been beyond nerve racking. You missed out on some of the earlier snows....you are probably under 10" still, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Living on the southern edge this winter has been beyond nerve racking. Welcome to our perpetual world. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 I’m at 14” for the year in Carroll Valley 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 6 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said: Hell of a gradient always manages to find itself in York and Lancaster county lol… The December 2009 storm was modeled 24 hours out with 1" near Dillsburg to 20" near Avondale. Biggest cutoff I've ever seen modeled 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 CTP now has me at less than half an inch. Was less than an inch this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: The December 2009 storm was modeled 24 hours out with 1" near Dillsburg to 20" near Avondale. Biggest cutoff I've ever seen modeled 24 hours out. What year did we get blanked completely when we had a WSW? That was awful. The state closed for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The December 2009 storm was modeled 24 hours out with 1" near Dillsburg to 20" near Avondale. Biggest cutoff I've ever seen modeled 24 hours out. I think 2016 was also a massive cutoff. MDT had 30, but near Williamsport was close to a shut out if I remember correctly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: You missed out on some of the earlier snows....you are probably under 10" still, right? Like 10-10.5. The last snow had one of those streamers come right over me at the end and dropped like 1.25" that boosted me for the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 18z Ggem nothing special. Less than 12z eyeballing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 The question is what do we do if the nam looks like 18z again and the other models go south more? Mitch the gem including those off hour gem runs might be the worst model out there. Canadian had a non event and that has 12-18” north side of NYC and a foot in town. good news is if nyc gets a foot we probably snow 3-6 here lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 @mitchnickcan you post 12z ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2024 Share Posted February 11, 2024 Hrdps 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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