Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 2:40 AM, Bubbler86 said: Laces out. Expand I can’t imagine the Bills fans pain right now. Let’s go Lions & Ravens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 12:58 AM, Jns2183 said: You gotta lay off the doom my man. With Lazer focus you lock onto the worst forcast possible for what you want and ruminate on it. That can't be good for mental health. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Expand just saying what they said was going to happen is all. I see all the time so many forecasts or outlooks conflict with others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 Euro next weekend. 10:1 & Kuchera, the lesser of the 2 in light of marginal temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 0z Euro Op run gets snow to southern PA next Sunday this run thanks to an ideal track & just “cold enough”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 10:46 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: 0z Euro Op run gets snow to southern PA next Sunday this run thanks to an ideal track & just “cold enough”. Expand Ultimately, Dca/Bwi will be the jackpot. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 0z Canadian was wide right at 0z, but has a nice High in Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 6z GFS has snow for northern PA, but has a good High in Ontario. If that High can get out ahead towards Quebec, we could be in business just like the 0z Euro showed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 Low of 12 in Marysville currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 2:50 AM, Blizzard of 93 said: I can’t imagine the Bills fans pain right now. Let’s go Lions & Ravens! Expand They have a haunted history, it is unfortunate. 10 degrees this Am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 5 this morning. A nice stretch of winter, if you like the impressive cold and some snow we experienced within the last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 11:49 AM, mahantango#1 said: 5 this morning. A nice stretch of winter, if you like the impressive cold and some snow we experienced within the last week. Expand I was wondering if you might make a run for 0 but just the same, Rgem with the nice call for out of the city temps last night. It is in its wheelhouse with low wind/high pressures overhead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 5 degrees here this morning. Wasn’t expecting single digits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 I see lower elevations around me got into the single digits. I was only able to get to 14.9F.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 Down to 8 here now. THV hit 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 Got down to 9 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:03 PM, Bubbler86 said: Down to 8 here now. THV hit 0. Expand Haha of course they did. Low of 15 here. We knocked back that departure to only 2.4 AN at MDT but the next week or so looks to shoot it back up, albeit not as extreme as where it was. These mild overnight lows will kill the average. National high of 72 at like six places in southern Florida and low of -19 at good ‘ol Davis, WV. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 12 this morning in Maytown. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:09 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Haha of course they did. Low of 15 here. We knocked back that departure to only 2.4 AN at MDT but the next week or so looks to shoot it back up, albeit it not as extreme as where it was. These mild overnight lows will kill the average. National high of 72 at like six places in southern Florida and low of -19 at good ‘ol Davis, WV. Expand Yea, model wise the highs are not too bad for the next 7-10 days...a couple more extreme days, but lots of double digit AN lows. Almost the entire first week of Feb is BN on the Op GFS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 16 was my low. That might end the coldest ongoing run we have this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 So why is the Gfs operational looking so much colder with the 0z and 6z runs? Could be its MJO prediction that now gets us into Phase 7, which puts troughiness in the east. By the way, here's a link to MJO phases during El Niños. https://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:09 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Haha of course they did. Low of 15 here. We knocked back that departure to only 2.4 AN at MDT but the next week or so looks to shoot it back up, albeit it not as extreme as where it was. These mild overnight lows will kill the average. National high of 72 at like six places in southern Florida and low of -19 at good ‘ol Davis, WV. Expand Just want to add that our very own Americanwx forum has a poster that lives in Davis WV. I feel bad for you - your team outplayed SF and deserved better. Part of the cruel reality of sports where the team that plays the best isn't always rewarded. And I feel sick for Bills fans...how much can one fan base suffer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 Winters beauty this morning, at a cold 6 degrees. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:41 PM, mitchnick said: So why is the Gfs operational looking so much colder with the 0z and 6z runs? Could be its MJO prediction that now gets us into Phase 7, which puts troughiness in the east. By the way, here's a link to MJO phases during El Niños. https://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html Expand JB has alluded to possibility of "all hell breaking out" once we get to February 10th in the eastern US into March. Whether it does, remains to be seen. That goes against the the CPC's outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:57 PM, mahantango#1 said: JB has alluded to possibility of "all hell breaking out" once we get to February 10th in the eastern US into March. Whether it does, remains to be seen. That goes against the the CPC's outlook. Expand Just like saying winter was over to Mid Feb, on the opposite side JB's language leaves himself wide open to be wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 Will there be icy weather tomorrow? Don't the models have a tendency to under estimate the low level cold air trapped near the surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:41 PM, mitchnick said: So why is the Gfs operational looking so much colder with the 0z and 6z runs? Could be its MJO prediction that now gets us into Phase 7, which puts troughiness in the east. By the way, here's a link to MJO phases during El Niños. https://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html Expand Actually, I screwed up. That's the Euro MJO forecast. Gfs kills the MJO and puts it in the COD, which could also explain it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 1:41 PM, mitchnick said: So why is the Gfs operational looking so much colder with the 0z and 6z runs? Could be its MJO prediction that now gets us into Phase 7, which puts troughiness in the east. By the way, here's a link to MJO phases during El Niños. https://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html Expand Here is another that I use in case anyone want to look at a couple. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml Nice winter weekend. Now we wash, rinse and ...... repeat? Hoping this weeks warmup is short lived and we get the repeat sooner than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 2:01 PM, mahantango#1 said: Will there be icy weather tomorrow? Don't the models have a tendency to under estimate the low level cold air trapped near the surface? Expand Thank you for bringing this up - I was thinking about it on the way in to the office this morning. I'm concerned for sure. This "opportunity" is flying under the radar, big time. Not likely, but if precip moves in earlier than expected which it often does...look out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 2:06 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Thank you for bringing this up - I was thinking about it on the way in to the office this morning. I'm concerned for sure. This "opportunity" is flying under the radar, big time. Not likely, but if precip moves in earlier than expected which it often does...look out. Expand It has basically been below freezing for a week now. My temp got to 33 yesterday, so that ground is cold to be sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 22, 2024 Share Posted January 22, 2024 On 1/22/2024 at 2:06 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Thank you for bringing this up - I was thinking about it on the way in to the office this morning. I'm concerned for sure. This "opportunity" is flying under the radar, big time. Not likely, but if precip moves in earlier than expected which it often does...look out. Expand On 1/22/2024 at 2:10 PM, mahantango#1 said: It has basically been below freezing for a week now. My temp got to 33 yesterday, so that ground is cold to be sure. Expand The Rgem and RRFS do show icing with the precip shield farther south that some other mesos. Unless the 2M temps are off I think it would be short-lived as temps are 31-33. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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