Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 @Chris78 the HRRR was close to giving us the best snows....if it has delayed elongating/transfer another hour or two we get near 4" I think. As it is we do get dry slotted compared to those east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 1:39 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Indeed it is. The type of ramp-up you love to see on the Mesos inside of 24 hours. Expand On 1/18/2024 at 1:44 PM, Superstorm said: Looking solid! . Expand It is fairly exciting to see the meso's approving each run even if I personally may be a bit too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 1:39 PM, Mount Joy Snowman said: Indeed it is. The type of ramp-up you love to see on the Mesos inside of 24 hours. Expand And it happens plenty. This is just a good reminder that as I semi jokingly called it model watching before bed last night, it is easy to sometimes get lost in the trees while looking for the forest...if ya know what I mean. Not for a second was I thumping my chest....just sitting back and watching things evolve without getttin too whacked out between 1-3 vs 2-4". Something is gonna happen and that has not changed for days. Models are doing what they often do...thats all I'm sayin. None of us here are good enough to fret about the details (except red taggers). Its been fun to watch evolve and let the chips fall where they may. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Nam looking good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 From JB this morning: The clipper could still bomb out near the coast Friday night, but it looks like a large area of 20:1 ratio snows from the northern Plains to the M-Atlantic. It is going to be followed by the coldest weather of the winter for the East, but not the Plains, as they will start to warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 NAM is very Pro MA. Going to make them happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:00 PM, mahantango#1 said: From JB this morning: The clipper could still bomb out near the coast Friday night, but it looks like a large area of 20:1 ratio snows from the northern Plains to the M-Atlantic. It is going to be followed by the coldest weather of the winter for the East, but not the Plains, as they will start to warm Expand 20:1 sheesh. That MIGHT be a tad much me thinks...but if so, thats what ya call snow bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:00 PM, Bubbler86 said: NAM is very Pro MA. Going to make them happy. Expand Hour 24 looks nice for us too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 We are getting Named for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Bernie Rayno's 3-6" looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:00 PM, mahantango#1 said: From JB this morning: The clipper could still bomb out near the coast Friday night, but it looks like a large area of 20:1 ratio snows from the northern Plains to the M-Atlantic. It is going to be followed by the coldest weather of the winter for the East, but not the Plains, as they will start to warm Expand THE HRR which was the crowd pleasure so far is maybe 12 or 13-1. .4" qpf and under 5" of snow for Harrisburg. Too warm for 20-1 IMO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:04 PM, GrandmasterB said: Hour 24 looks nice for us too Expand Yea, I was speaking how it will make them excited as well. QPF surprisingly low though. Only .2 through 30. Radar looked better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 I wish I hadn't wrenched my back on Monday shoveling snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:04 PM, mitchnick said: We are getting Named for sure. Expand It really is a nice run and nice to see dryslot worries diminish as coastal takes over. Just a nice clean handoff of sorts. Prob helps that its a 1006mb SLP and not 980's as that would dryslot the hell outta us me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:07 PM, Bubbler86 said: Yea, I was speaking how it will make them excited as well. QPF surprisingly low though. Only .2 through 30. Radar looked better. Expand Yeah, radar and surface maps suggested more. Still, 3-4" around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:07 PM, mitchnick said: I wish I hadn't wrenched my back on Monday shoveling snow. Expand I'll bring the snowmobile straight down rt 30 with shovel bungie corded to back seat. I'll take care of ya old man. Hope you feel better soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:05 PM, Bubbler86 said: THE HRR which was the crowd pleasure so far is maybe 12 or 13-1. .4" qpf and under 5" of snow for Harrisburg. Too warm for 20-1 IMO. Expand Do you see it even getting to 32 in Harrisburg tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:09 PM, mitchnick said: Yeah, radar and surface maps suggested more. Still, 3-4" around us. Expand Yep, it is strange but the deep blues were suggestive of more.....about 1" less than the HRRR where the HRRR showed higher areas in the LSV. Snow all the way down to shortpump. Generally, 2-4" for most of S Central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 9 in the village this morning. I could see us squeezing out 5" on this for Friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:12 PM, mahantango#1 said: Do you see it even getting to 32 in Harrisburg tomorrow? Expand Models not saying it gets there but near 30. That seems too warm for 20-1 ratios. Great snowmaking above though with 850's very cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 read this morning, weather concerns again for the KC/Bills game this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Nam looks in line with the Euro now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 3K is focusing the higher totals south of the M/D line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Named! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:16 PM, Bubbler86 said: 3K is focusing the higher totals south of the M/D line. Good to see that. Allows a little buffer if it comes north at last minute.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:15 PM, sauss06 said: read this morning, weather concerns again for the KC/Bills game this weekend Expand https://www.kcur.org/sports/2024-01-17/chiefs-playoffs-game-kansas-city-cold-weather-hypothermia-arrowhead-stadium Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:13 PM, sauss06 said: 9 in the village this morning. I could see us squeezing out 5" on this for Friday Expand Nice to see you jumping right back in w/ a cannonball..... Good to see you back bro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:00 PM, mahantango#1 said: From JB this morning: The clipper could still bomb out near the coast Friday night, but it looks like a large area of 20:1 ratio snows from the northern Plains to the M-Atlantic. It is going to be followed by the coldest weather of the winter for the East, but not the Plains, as they will start to warm Expand JB and DT both are in the 4-6, 4-8" side of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:19 PM, pasnownut said: Nice to see you jumping right back in w/ a cannonball..... Good to see you back bro. Expand you know me, least knowledgeable guy here. I just throw darts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 On 1/18/2024 at 2:15 PM, sauss06 said: read this morning, weather concerns again for the KC/Bills game this weekend Expand Was thinking about that the other day. Being that its a sunday game and flow is outta NW, Buffalo proper would just be diggin out, and not snowin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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