Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 The 1-3.5" GFS is fine but this period is for big dog hunting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: Busier than you think haha. The major routes around here (I-99, US 22, US 322, US 219) are moderately busy, especially around State College. The stretch of Route 322 that goes up the Allegheny Front towards Clearfield was closed for several hours during Tuesday morning’s snow blast, as were several other intermediate routes in the area. I’m looking north of here for any potential bigger issues this evening, though we’ll see. North-central up above I-80 has been the target area for several inches of snow. Between here and State College on the I-99 corridor will be need to be watched when precip arrives this eve, but this one will be starting with warmer surface temps. Yea, after the day instead of before the day like before. I did not think of that until you mentioned now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Canadian looks good. Much more precip shield than GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 So Just out of curiosity if the stadium gets under a 3 inch per hour band on Sunday is it even possible to play in that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Good run on CMC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: So Just out of curiosity if the stadium gets under a 3 inch per hour band on Sunday is it even possible to play in that? Not impossible to play, but impossible to play well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Porsche said: Canadian looks good. Much more precip shield than GFS. Just now, Superstorm said: Good run on CMC . Some needed good news after the first 2 that go out that far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, mitchnick said: Not impossible to play, but impossible to play well. IMO, they should reschedule if that happens. Both for the sanctity of the game and for the fans. They would probably make it illegal to be on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Hfs and Gem both have a 20th event. Gfs light. Gem tbd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Canadian stepped Up from 0z last night & GFS stepped back a bit from 0/6z. Compromise would get Warning level snow to the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Not impossible to play, but impossible to play well.Eagles played in that type of snowrate in Philly. Very fun game to watch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Eagles played in that type of snowrate in Philly. Very fun game to watch. . Brotherly Shove(l) to clear off the stands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 12 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Not impossible to play, but impossible to play well. Exactly what the Steelers want and need haha 12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: IMO, they should reschedule if that happens. Both for the sanctity of the game and for the fans. They would probably make it illegal to be on the roads. Never! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Exactly what the Steelers want and need haha Never! So, they lose all the money that they have to give back to the fans. Seems counter productive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 CMC gets the most votes for "nooner model to hug" status verbatim, snow on snow as the 19th event is coming back into the fray. TTFN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 CMC gets the most votes for "nooner model to hug" status verbatim, snow on snow as the 19th event is coming back into the fray. TTFN But also trending S&E. Possible the euro lead the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, anthonyweather said: But also trending S&E. Possible the euro lead the way . The CMC depict of two moderate snows would make up for my disappointment if post MLK is not at least a MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: @MAG5035 - the potential heavy snowfall rates in Orchard Park will be just one element - BUF forecasting winds Sunday afternoon at 25-30mph sustained with gusts in the 40s. It's going to be very difficult to execute pretty much anything on offense. Not to mention Saturday night having 65mph wind gusts. Man I don’t know haha, BUF grids around there have 8-12 by Sunday morning and it looks like the main band focuses there in the morning right up to game time on high res guidance before maybe it slides just south. That’s going to be really difficult for fans to get to day of. Being a playoff game, not much you can do. I’m sure they wouldn’t move venues. About the only thing you could do is push the game to Monday.. and there’s still heavy snow in the grids that day too. PFT finally had an article about it this morning. Quote “We are monitoring conditions as we do for every game, but there have been no discussionsabout making a change to the game’s status,” NFL spokesman Brian McCarthy told WGRZ.com. The current forecast doesn’t call for significant snow on game day, but there is a winter storm watch. Wind could also be an issue on Sunday I don’t know where Florio is getting his weather forecast but it certainly isn’t the NWS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Not to mention Saturday night having 65mph wind gusts. Man I don’t know haha, BUF grids around there have 8-12 by Sunday morning and it looks like the main band focuses there in the morning right up to game time on high res guidance before maybe it slides just south. That’s going to be really difficult for fans to get to day of. Being a playoff game, not much you can do. I’m sure they wouldn’t move venues. About the only thing you could do is push the game to Monday.. and there’s still heavy snow in the grids that day too. PFT finally had an article about it this morning. I don’t know where Florio is getting his weather forecast but it certainly isn’t the NWS. We had that situation in Philly a couple times (not football, indoor pro) and they postponed the games because non-essential travel was banned....and they thought leaving the games on to play would encourage people to break the law. Not playoffs though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: CMC gets the most votes for "nooner model to hug" status verbatim, snow on snow as the 19th event is coming back into the fray. TTFN Agreed & 2 legit threats to track within the next week. Lots of upside potential as well for the 19th with the pattern at the time & Plenty of cold available. Here are the GFS & Canadian for the 19th chance for those that have not seen it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Ukie Step back from last night’s 0z, but with Kuchera ratio, we still could have Warning level snow in the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Step back from last night’s 0z, but with Kuchera ratio, we still could have Warning level snow in the LSV. Yes, but more importantly, it has a decent storm. Just can't believe Euro is that much better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Also, Ukie system was moving faster this run vs 0z, which limited snowfall amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 12z vs 6z GEFS on the means, pretty notable step back this run I think a more progressive outcome is still workable (and perhaps the most likely outcome currently) as the 500mb energy diving in behind the developing coastal low probably still helps generate the shield of precip thats been on the GFS and Canadian. It wouldn’t a be a big hitter for us but a light to moderate event with a cold column can make up some in ratios. Need to get the Euro on board to at least some degree at some point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Step back from last night’s 0z, but with Kuchera ratio, we still could have Warning level snow in the LSV. Actually, on second look, Ukie is warm and spits out around .75" of qpf. Problem is it's all wound up with a 995 slp in NJ, so it shows rain in addition to snow. It's second to Euro in scoring, so I'll be shocked if the Euro doesn't come around to a storm idea, and hopefully not too wound up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Actually, on second look, Ukie is warm and spits out around .75" of qpf. Problem is it's all wound up with a 995 slp in NJ, so it shows rain in addition to snow. It's second to Euro in scoring, so I'll be shocked if the Euro doesn't come around to a storm idea, and hopefully not too wound up. Thanks & do you have the Ukie Kuchera map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Thanks & do you have the Ukie Kuchera map? No Kuchera available on Pivotal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: UKIE snow depth. Hard to separate out the colors though. Do you have a legend? And that sorta looks like the 0z precip signature, I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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