Blizzard of 93 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Decent signal on the 0z EPS for the 15th/16th chance. The snow is just for that 2 day period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Got 1.76" in my gauge, to me this was just another pedestrian rain storm. I was hearing in the MA (the sky is falling and all from some) I of course understand I don't live there and am sure some experienced flooding and power outages. Just underwhelmed imho compared to the hype. Back to tracking rain this Friday and maybe snow next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Snow yesterday Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 RainSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 9 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: Rain Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk HRRR and 3K did a good job depicting the higher amounts the wringing out of qpf on the Leward side of some areas...the 1.75 to 2" totals in Franklin and Adams county are both on the Eastern side of ridges. Good ole 'Rou checking it with one of two small lesser spots in Franklin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 From my place. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 32 minutes ago, Porsche said: Just underwhelmed imho compared to the hype. Back to tracking rain this Friday and maybe snow next week. Agreed. Looks like we have 1 more rainer to get through before legit winter chances start to show. Hoping this period holds for more than a couple weeks, but we'll worry about that hopefully after a few chances at snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 36 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR and 3K did a good job depicting the higher amounts the wringing out of qpf on the Leward side of some areas...the 1.75 to 2" totals in Franklin and Adams county are both on the Eastern side of ridges. Good ole 'Rou checking it with one of two small lesser spots in Franklin. Nice little area in NW Lanco over my house with a minimum as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Had a few scattered downpours during the overnight hours that brought my storm total to 1.94”. More rain Friday and then hopefully a shift to some winter tracking. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 That was one heck of a mixed bag yesterday. We picked up 2” of snow yesterday morning. Changeover was around noon. Lots of wind and driving rain. Rain 1.83”, high gust 45mph Only one casualty in the neighborhood yesterday. The neighbors pine tree that was scheduled to get cut down next week beat it’s deadline. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, pawatch said: That was one heck of a mixed bag yesterday. We picked up 2” of snow yesterday morning. Changeover was around noon. Lots of wind and driving wind. Rain 1.83”, high gust 45mph Only one casualty in the neighborhood yesterday. The neighbors pine tree that was scheduled to get cut down next week beat it’s deadline. They probably saved some $$$. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6z Eps has a slighly deeper slp and closer to the coast vs 0z. With thst comes sloghtly warmer 850's. What does it mean? I'd like to think it's good, but I doubt it. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 39 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 6z Eps has a slighly deeper slp and closer to the coast vs 0z. With thst comes sloghtly warmer 850's. What does it mean? I'd like to think it's good, but I doubt it. Lol I looked at the EPS for the final 7-10 days of Jan and not sure I see what everyone is saying is a good patten for after the 20th. As I said before, I will not use the ensembles for anything except pattern and maybe compare SLP locations and some anomalies and the pattern looks "not overly cold." The 850 anomaly chart at the time below is very red/orange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 15 minutes ago, mitchnick said: 6z Eps has a slighly deeper slp and closer to the coast vs 0z. With thst comes sloghtly warmer 850's. What does it mean? I'd like to think it's good, but I doubt it. Lol Pattern suggests that this should be offshore, no? Ridge axis is too far east for our liking I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Me like the setup: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 For those that cant tell what a good look is, I'll post it for you. 300+ hr maps should be banned from weenie view, no matter how good or bad they look IMO. Hell of late 240 is really pressing the envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Hate to say it, but the 6z Icon came west too with the cold boundary. Idk, just thinking we're kidding ourselves to think that this thing won't end up going into the lakes, or at least far enough inland for us to fail again. Seasonal trends are a biatch when they're againt you, and it goes without saying they are against us. If we keep getting ticks west today, it's hard to think otherwise imho. If we see things changing for the colder, we might have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Ended up with 2.90" of rain here in East Nantmeal eclipsing the old mark of 1.66" set back in 1964. Still without power here in the township as I know many of you are in the same situation. Winds are still howling but at least sunshine has returned. The wind advisory is in place till 6pm this evening. Temps should stay pretty steady today. Unfortunately the dry weather will only last till Friday night when we see more rain (although a good deal less) arriving. Mild again on Friday but temps should start falling during the day Saturday with the potential for a little snow by Monday night into Tuesday. Records for today: High 62 (1950) / Low -3 (1982) / Rain 1.06" (2016) / Snow 9.0" (1954) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 13 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Hate to say it, but the 6z Icon came west too with the cold boundary. Idk, just thinking we're kidding ourselves to think that this thing won't end up going into the lakes, or at least far enough inland for us to fail again. Seasonal trends are a biatch when they're againt you, and it goes without saying they are against us. If we keep getting ticks west today, it's hard to think otherwise imho. If we see things changing for the colder, we might have a chance. Regarding your post about the ICON, look at 540's between 6z and nooner. Jogged S by about 3 states. IMO its a little too far out to parse over details, and while you might not like to look at 500's, thats what drives the bus, so IMO we need to "get that right" before diving too deep into surface maps. 6z nooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 hours ago, Jns2183 said: Snow yesterday Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Wow, that's an excruciatingly painful map for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Looking at 12z GFS for early next week, I'm gonna just say....right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 31 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Regarding your post about the ICON, look at 540's between 6z and nooner. Jogged S by about 3 states. IMO its a little too far out to parse over details, and while you might not like to look at 500's, thats what drives the bus, so IMO we need to "get that right" before diving too deep into surface maps. 6z nooner Saw that. Exactly what we need to see. Driving so can't look at anything much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 31 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Saw that. Exactly what we need to see. Driving so can't look at anything much. Is it a bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Is it a bus? A short one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Variably/Mostly cloudy and 46 at noon. Windy, but not excessively so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 23 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Variably/Mostly cloudy and 46 at noon. Windy, but not excessively so. 40 here and fairly windy but gusts just in the upper 20's and low 30's. Other side of the house getting it today. The 16th still in play on the 12Z GFS and then another close one a bit later. Not literally worried about this timing missing as it shows some potential and still in that period before the relaxation that keeps being advertised the last week of January. The key for me is the 16th system getting into NE Canada to keep the fun going the next week after it. 500 below shows what I think was the coastal SLP just missing a phase. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 40 here and fairly windy but gusts just in the upper 20's and low 30's. Other side of the house getting it today. The 16th still in play on the 12Z GFS and then another close one a bit later. Not literally worried about this timing missing as it shows some potential and still in that period before the relaxation that keeps being advertised the last week of January. The key for me is the 16th system getting into NE Canada to keep the fun going the next week after it. 500 below shows what I think was the coastal SLP just missing a phase. I think so as well. the 16th is still has potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, paweather said: I think so as well. the 16th is still has potential. I also think we need the 16th to intensify and move up to over or just Northeast of Canada to better insulate us a bit from cutters and to continue directing the air from Canada south. The cutter this Friday opens the flood gates for cold...hopefully the 16th low helps keep it open. The GFS and GEFS also kicked the can a bit on the next relaxation period...still last week of January but a few days back. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 44 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 40 here and fairly windy but gusts just in the upper 20's and low 30's. Other side of the house getting it today. The 16th still in play on the 12Z GFS and then another close one a bit later. Not literally worried about this timing missing as it shows some potential and still in that period before the relaxation that keeps being advertised the last week of January. The key for me is the 16th system getting into NE Canada to keep the fun going the next week after it. 500 below shows what I think was the coastal SLP just missing a phase. I can't tell you much I like this post, and moreso, the map! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Ukie looks to be a cutter in case nobody checked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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