Bubbler86 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, mitchnick said: More ptsd Need that cold push several days before to get back to what it was 2-3 days ago. This is LR stuff of course...model discussion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 If the cold pushes start to keep deflecting away from the EC as we get later in January, we may really be talking PTSD. NAO's, MJO's, we can talk them all up but we need real cold in NY and South Canada prior to moisture entering the area. @Itstrainingtime @sauss06 and others, congrats to the Steel. Could argue they are playing the best NFL football in PA right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I would take my chances with this in mid January. A low tracking from the Gulf coast to off of the NC coast should deliver a very good front end snow to mix dependent on the exact final track. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I would take my chances with this in mid January. A low tracking from the Gulf coast to off of the NC coast should deliver a very good front end snow to mix dependent on the exact final track. Mid to Late Jan still looks loaded on the GFS but I really want to see something like this snip become reality for several weeks. Cold conveyer that constantly feeds. Two clippers on the MR and LR GFS. We should not be mixing with that low track in Jan. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 MDT stays below freezing from Jan 13th-22nd on the 18Z GFS. That period has 3-4 chances of snow for most of PA. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 35 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: If the cold pushes start to keep deflecting away from the EC as we get later in January, we may really be talking PTSD. NAO's, MJO's, we can talk them all up but we need real cold in NY and South Canada prior to moisture entering the area. @Itstrainingtime @sauss06 and others, congrats to the Steel. Could argue they are playing the best NFL football in PA right now. Team seems to be having fun and playing with energy behind Rudolph. Probably a one and out but playing a helluva lot better than the other PA team right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Team seems to be having fun and playing with energy behind Rudolph. Probably a one and out but playing a helluva lot better than the other PA team right now. As @Ji would if this was a bad model run…. The Eagles are an epic disaster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: As @Ji would if this was a bad model run…. The Eagles are an epic disaster! Just like the snow ma... Never mind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just like the snow ma... Never mind. Do we see MJS driving on the no speed limit roads around Dallas next weekend? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Slow Sunday evening post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 7 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Slow Sunday evening post. Maybe snow snow TV for an hour or two before the flood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Maybe snow snow TV for an hour or two before the flood? Floods, winds, lightning....a winter in South PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 If the front end potential doesn’t improve for Friday night into Saturday, then our next good Winter storm chance should be on the 16th. Most Ops & ensembles have a storm in that window. Hopefully everything lines up to get a widespread Winter storm for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 My grid has sustained winds 28-35 with gusts to 52 Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 0z Euro & 0z GFS still have the Winter storm chance around the 16th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 34 this AM. Overnight snow melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 A nice calm before the storm type of day today. Sunny with highs near 40 degrees. Heavy Rain tomorrow from late morning through Tuesday night with around 1.5" to 2.5" of rain possible. Winds will gust as high as 40 mph by tomorrow night. Records for today: High 67 (1998) / Low -5 (1981) / Rain 1.81" (1978) / Snow 6.1" (1996) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Hope yall enjoyed the weekend snow. Left cabin w/ about 4-5" on top and snowing mid morning yesterday. Nice to see winter back (albeit briefly). Elysburg to 901 exit of 81 appeared to be the winners (eyeballing mind you). Saw some sled tracks in fields on way home (and going into office this am). I was a touch heavy on Lanco accums but saw enough pics on soc media to know that it did snow. I dont really care if I was off for MYB but sounds like it did pretty well in the Altoona/Poc axis. Good for them. Enjoy the gullywasher this week and hopefully we'll be back in the game soon as tellies dont look great beyond next couple weeks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Sounds like tomorrow into Wednesday could be kinda wild for some of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 50 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 34 this AM. Overnight snow melt. 37 with some leftover scattered slush remaining. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Wind headlines up. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 408 AM EST Mon Jan 8 2024 PAZ006-037-041-042-046-051>053-057>059-065-066-082115- /O.NEW.KCTP.WI.Y.0001.240109T1700Z-240110T0700Z/ Potter-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Coudersport, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte, Williamsport, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, York, and Lancaster 408 AM EST Mon Jan 8 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 2 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From noon Tuesday to 2 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The wind will pick up as snow and mixed precipitation move in from the south. It will continue as the mixed precipitation transitions to all rain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. For high wind safety information, visit weather.gov/wind. The latest forecast information can be found on the NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or on the web at weather.gov/ctp. && $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Fyi, I hate strong winds no matter the season. Stay safe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 15 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Fyi, I hate strong winds no matter the season. Stay safe. They're going to have to extend that advisory until Wednesday evening, and probably issue more Saturday/Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, canderson said: They're going to have to extend that advisory until Wednesday evening, and probably issue more Saturday/Sunday. The "Canderson" Winds will haunt us! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 34 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Fyi, I hate strong winds no matter the season. Stay safe. I have an old and huge pin oak that has lots of widowmakers hangin on it. Was told not to trim this tree as pin oaks are sensitive. Sounds like mo nature may do some pruning for me (right over my driveway of course, so may park cars out on street for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj88 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Hope yall enjoyed the weekend snow. Left cabin w/ about 4-5" on top and snowing mid morning yesterday. Nice to see winter back (albeit briefly). Elysburg to 901 exit of 81 appeared to be the winners (eyeballing mind you). Saw some sled tracks in fields on way home (and going into office this am). I was a touch heavy on Lanco accums but saw enough pics on soc media to know that it did snow. I dont really care if I was off for MYB but sounds like it did pretty well in the Altoona/Poc axis. Good for them. Enjoy the gullywasher this week and hopefully we'll be back in the game soon as tellies dont look great beyond next couple weeks. I think maybe elevation played into it somewhat? I live right in Elysburg and we never had more than 2 inches on the ground before changing to rain. But I think the top of Natalie had 5. My parents in Danville also had 5. Seems Elysburg proper is always warmer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Holy wowzers, after the intense storm moves in tomorrow, the next one looks like it might be even stronger. A 961mb low in the midwest this weekend - Chicagoland is going to clean up this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This is something that you might see in the fall in advance of a tropical system as far as amounts in our area are concerned: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: This is something that you might see in the fall in advance of a tropical system as far as amounts in our area are concerned: Lake at Codorus may finally getting to near normal levels, but it has a long way to go the last time I looked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 .02" from yesterday's rain/snow showers and a low of 36. Snow in the yard hanging on for dear life. Whether rain or snow, looks like we have an action-packed couple of weeks ahead. I still remain optimistic for what the back half of this winter can bring. Onward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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