Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 At Hr24 18z NAM is very similar in evolution to 12z, although 540 line is down near the MD border which is a good bit lower than where it was at 12z. Good to see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: A lot will depend on where that slp gets too...those south winds can scour like crazy when there is not much CAD. I know, but staying at or below projected highs says the airmass is a bit cooler. We need every bit we can get and I'm just happy that it's cooler than warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Nam cooler imby 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Whoa big changes at Hr30. Low now sits in the middle of the Chesapeake and somehow all mixing is held at bay for the LSV. Much better but seems wonky. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Whoa big changes at Hr30. Low now sits in the middle of the Chesapeake and somehow all mixing is held at bay for the LSV. Much better but seems wonky. Weenie Rule 8: Never ever question the integrity of any model that gives you more snow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Nam has me in pink Nirvana. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Much better NAM run for Lanco. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Snow totals improved greatly for southern tier folk on 18z NAM....not entirely done yet in NE PA..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 3k not quite as kind as 12k, but a touch better than 12z. As long as there is no back peddling at this point, I'm ok. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Less than 24 hours and our totals are improving! Don’t laugh...Had to move my zero turn to get to the snowblower. So while I had the zero turn running I gave the grass a quick cut. January 5th I’m ready to go tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 2 minutes ago, pawatch said: Less than 24 hours and our totals are improving! Don’t laugh...Had to move my zero turn to get to the snowblower. So while I had the zero turn running I gave the grass a quick cut. I’m ready to go tomorrow. You know the rules, lower grass = optics that there is more snow out there... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 10 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You know the rules, lower grass = optics that there is more snow out there... We know @Itstrainingtime has a 10 a.m. grass cutting on his calendar for tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 We know [mention=1366]Itstrainingtime[/mention] has a 10 a.m. grass cutting on his calendar for tomorrow. While wearing shorts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 5, 2024 Author Share Posted January 5, 2024 26 minutes ago, pawatch said: Less than 24 hours and our totals are improving! Don’t laugh...Had to move my zero turn to get to the snowblower. So while I had the zero turn running I gave the grass a quick cut. January 5th I’m ready to go tomorrow. How close do you live to your neighbors? We won't laugh, but if any of them saw you, I'll bet they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Was out shopping today on my day off. Local stores are surprisingly empty for a fri afternoon thought for sure id have to wait in a line at giant and weis. not in and out hardly any people I dont know if this is case people understand you dont need 3 loafs of bread 2 gallons of milk and 64 eggs for a snow storm under 18 inchs lol. honestly the only snow storms I ever needed things cause we got snowed in was 1993 superstorm and 2011 storm juno. For juno I didnt get plowed out for a darn week. Or could be the fact after the last 3 years people dont buy when the weather guys call for snow any more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/snow-expected-to-arrive-saturday/vi-AA1mu9fF?rc=1&ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=6ce8d19c60034850fc15e319bbfa9051&ei=29 maybe this is why many locals are still calling for a mix of rain snow and a mix up past harrisburg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 @mitchnick I'm mobile ATM, but someone post the RGEM. It came nicely SE and we are in the bullseye through the southern counties corridor @ about 10" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: @mitchnick I'm mobile ATM, but someone post the RGEM. It came nicely SE and we are in the bullseye through the southern counties corridor @ about 10" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 The Weather Channel is setting up shop downtown. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 4 minutes ago, canderson said: The Weather Channel is setting up shop downtown. damn nice id laugh my arse off if we get thundersnow in harrisburg is Jim around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Just took an updated look at my NWS forecast and they have taken rain out of the forecast and now have all snow with a range of 4 to 9 inches. Encouraging.news. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Up at cabin enjoying the dusting of snow otg and checkin in to tell you all to enjoy the storm. First in a long while. Stickin with my 3-6 from days ago. Hope everyone beats me ( and most should). Happy weekend. 24 deg was hi up on top at cabin. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 On the Gfs, I'm literally on the line berween the pink and blue. Lol I'll assume it'll it will shift south by 2 miles. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024010518&fh=30&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_state_de_md&p=sn10_acc-imp&m=gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 GFS colder for us ride the line folks. This has been a wild tracking week for the SE crew the last several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: On the Gfs, I'm literally on the line berween the pink and blue. Lol I'll assume it'll it will shift south by 2 miles. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024010518&fh=30&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_state_de_md&p=sn10_acc-imp&m=gfs GFS was actually a step back for you and I but who cares at this point. Better for Northern Lanco and MDT areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: GFS was actually a step back for you and I but who cares at this point. Better for Northern Lanco and MDT areas Eh, here's our sounding though for the second frame of heavy stuff. With the rates we have, its definitely a snow sounding. Isothermal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 Also want to show this nice dew point depression leading in, going to be helpful for wetbulbing down to a more favorable temp at onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 GFS intensity is pretty crazy. I’d bet places close to the RS line but depicted as rain on the hour 30 panel are probably ripping snow, but I’m a weenie so don’t take my word for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 5, 2024 Share Posted January 5, 2024 To continue with image files, best part about GFS is the heaviness of the QPF/rates. Heres the trend last 3 runs, ticking upward, 1" QPF 81 & east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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