paxpatriot Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Anyone with an RGEM snow map? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, paxpatriot said: Anyone with an RGEM snow map? Thanks! Here is a Kuch non WB map but it is not done at 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Rgem still rolling large albeit it a bit too far west for everyone's comfort in the LSV. To further on what Anthonyweather shared a couple posts above from DT about the miller A vs miller B scenario, the Miller B scenario in this case would have been best for a longer duration system and more of a broad shield of precip across PA. The A solution that most guidance has settled upon shortens the duration and tightens the band of best QPF up since the system itself isn’t progged to be overly strong anymore. So the folks that see some of the best amounts are probably gonna be living dangerously in terms of the proximity to that changeover line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 56 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Sexist or any kind of inappropriate comments are not acceptable. Period. You know where the door is if you don’t like it You know, I think we could cool it on certain things but I reported a post by metfan of all people where he randomly showed up in the Pittsburgh thread trolling posting snow maps if nyc getting crushed and the storm basically missing us. if I went to the ny or mid Atlantic sub and did that I would be banned or five posted in a minute….just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 16 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Icon close to identical to 12z Incorrect. Once the run completed and I checked, it is lighter with qpf hence lighter snowfall. Apparently not enough dark blues on the panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 If anyone is interested: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: To further on what Anthonyweather shared a couple posts above from DT about the miller A vs miller B scenario, the Miller B scenario in this case would have been best for a longer duration system and more of a broad shield of precip across PA. The A solution that most guidance has settled upon shortens the duration and tightens the band of best QPF up since the system itself isn’t progged to be overly strong anymore. So the folks that see some of the best amounts are probably gonna be living dangerously in terms of the proximity to that changeover line. Said it the other day…Gotta smell the rain for the best snows. NAM looked way too paltry based on a ton of other guidance, but it has been locked once or twice before. signals been strong for too long. The words “toss it” come to mind (even if it knows something the rest don’t). That fits my feelings better for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 14 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: To further on what Anthonyweather shared a couple posts above from DT about the miller A vs miller B scenario, the Miller B scenario in this case would have been best for a longer duration system and more of a broad shield of precip across PA. The A solution that most guidance has settled upon shortens the duration and tightens the band of best QPF up since the system itself isn’t progged to be overly strong anymore. So the folks that see some of the best amounts are probably gonna be living dangerously in terms of the proximity to that changeover line. 6 hours of parachutes for those near the line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 11 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: To further on what Anthonyweather shared a couple posts above from DT about the miller A vs miller B scenario, the Miller B scenario in this case would have been best for a longer duration system and more of a broad shield of precip across PA. The A solution that most guidance has settled upon shortens the duration and tightens the band of best QPF up since the system itself isn’t progged to be overly strong anymore. So the folks that see some of the best amounts are probably gonna be living dangerously in terms of the proximity to that changeover line. Gotta smell the rain to get the heaviest snows! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 11 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Said it the other day…Gotta smell the rain for the best snows. NAM looked way too paltry based on a ton of other guidance, but it has been locked once or twice before. signals been strong for too long. The words “toss it” come to mind (even if it knows something the rest don’t). That fits my feelings better for now. Almost everytime I "smelled the rain", within the hour it was indeed raining. Living that close to the changeover can be a real nailbiter. For the lucky few who never see the change, the reward is worth it, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Gfs better imby and a little cooler. No rain in s central PA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Nice hit on the GFS. I would think that track would keep all of us mostly/all snow especially considering how heavy that precip is modeled on the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, Voyager said: Almost everytime I "smelled the rain", within the hour it was indeed raining. Living that close to the changeover can be a real nailbiter. For the lucky few who never see the change, the reward is worth it, though. Out this way, since we are constantly battling the primary driving up into our area, it isn’t true. Our best systems are where we are nowhere near the mixing line and we’re the primary transfers in time ti keep us snow but to also have the secondary shoot back bands of CCB from the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Gfs still has the extended period of snow into Sunday as the trailing 500mb energy swings thru. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GFS is colder at the surface vs its 12Z run. I like seeing that (obviously). Region wide 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Good hits on Icon and GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Gfs kuchie 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gfs better imby and a little cooler. No rain in s central PA. yeah I saw abc 27 trying to say a good part of the storm would be ending as rain in the area. but I laughed at it when they showed a radar having all snow all the way down to northern MD and never showed it going to rain over south central PA. Then he was like this radar doesnt reflect my idea of the precip type. Then why did you show this version of the radar? if they are doing a different model run in house show that run that lines up with what you are saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: . Very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Ruin said: yeah I saw abc 27 trying to say a good part of the storm would be ending as rain in the area. but I laughed at it when they showed a radar having all snow all the way down to northern MD and never showed it going to rain over south central PA. Then he was like this radar doesnt reflect my idea of the precip type. Then why did you show this version of the radar? if they are doing a different model run in house show that run that lines up with what you are saying Honestly, I have not watched local tv for weather, when I lived in MD or here, since PD2 in 2/03. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Yes, 18z GFS is wetter/colder more in line with RGEM, etc. Oddly, the NAM continues to be least impressed with this which is weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gfs kuchie I’ll take a blend of the 18z GFS, Icon & RGEM! This is another GFS view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Honestly, I have not watched local tv for weather, when I lived in MD or here, since PD2 in 2/03. fair enough I dont normally either but I just wanted to see what they claimed we would get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I’ll take a blend of the 18z GFS, Icon & RGEM! This is another GFS view Interesting differences between WB and Pivotal algorithms. Here's Pivotal: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 13 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Honestly, I have not watched local tv for weather, when I lived in MD or here, since PD2 in 2/03. I watch em, but just to see where their bias lies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 21 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Out this way, since we are constantly battling the primary driving up into our area, it isn’t true. Our best systems are where we are nowhere near the mixing line and we’re the primary transfers in time ti keep us snow but to also have the secondary shoot back bands of CCB from the coast Yeah, depending region you're probably right. My home in Tamaqua though, we'd get our heaviest burst just before changing over. When I'd see the flake size grow and it would be dumping mad dendrites, I'd tell my wife it was about to flip...and it almost always did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said: I watch em, but just to see where their bias lies. what I dislike about abc27 when they do the intro to weather. they say your most accurate forecast . 1 where are they getting this from what agency say your the most accurate 2 what is the % of the accuracy? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 what I dislike about abc27 when they do the intro to weather. they say your most accurate forecast . 1 where are they getting this from what agency say your the most accurate 2 what is the % of the accuracy? If you want to chuckle see if you can find any clips of weather forecast for them before the January 2016, then watch the day of coverageSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said: I watch em, but just to see where their bias lies. My wife occasionally watches the local news with Finkbiener (sp?) and says he's pretty good. But we haven't been up here with a nail biter snow threat like this one. Idk what he's said as of now because she hasn't been watching any local news lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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