mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Euro isn’t horrible for our area. Piles on New England. . Lots of mix or even some rain in eastern areas there too. Inland different story as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Still like my initial thoughts from yesterday morning that 4-8" seems most likely for most of forum, with an upside of 6-10". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: and like so many times in the past, that blue dot between the 4.9 is right over my house. Some things never change....hehe (not for a second do I really care or worry about it) - just funny how models consistently do that for Lanco. It's like they troll me. I can relate to the snow hole as models always predicted a lower total "horseshoe" around Tamaqua no matter which way the storm was coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 8 minutes ago, Voyager said: I can relate to the snow hole as models always predicted a lower total "horseshoe" around Tamaqua no matter which way the storm was coming. Oh, and on a side note. I may see some snow in Tucson on Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, CarlislePaWx said: Correct me if I'm wrong but this qpf map includes the upcoming weekend storm. 7-day qpf. That helps take some of the melting sting out of the rain. In addition to what ITT said, some models are only dropping 1/2 to 3/4" this weekend so not a lot of relief from this map. The Euro is dropping .75-1" on the LSV and the CMC is higher so a few variables. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 10 minutes ago, Voyager said: I can relate to the snow hole as models always predicted a lower total "horseshoe" around Tamaqua no matter which way the storm was coming. "Tamaqua split" is what you called it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 18 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Still like my initial thoughts from yesterday morning that 4-8" seems most likely for most of forum, with an upside of 6-10". Agreed but I don’t like the mixing shown on the Euro… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 22 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Lots of mix or even some rain in eastern areas there too. Inland different story as usual. Based on track its no surprise to some of us that are used to this. MAG to Poconos has always been my early goalposts w/ about 75-100 miles on either side "getting the goods". I may be wrong but Im not afraid to share my thoughts. Me thinks 8-10 is big winners and I'm ok w/ my 3-6" until further notice. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 34 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: We better hope this is wrong because we're getting WAY too close to the dreaded cutoff line that I always worry about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 23 minutes ago, Voyager said: Oh, and on a side note. I may see some snow in Tucson on Monday morning. Tell them your experienced driving in snow Just sitting back watching all the model runs being posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 EPS slightly higher from 06Z and 00z. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 11 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: storm mode only counts if the mid Atlantic is involved or when they say so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Do we do separate threads here for storms or keep it within winter talk?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, Superstorm said: EPS slightly higher from 06Z and 00z. Looks good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, Superstorm said: EPS slightly higher from 06Z and 00z. pleasant surprise eh.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: pleasant surprise eh.... Living on the edge, like to see this shift south slowly over the next 48 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Do we do separate threads here for storms or keep it within winter talk? . We NEVER separate threads here. You'll get everything you wanted (and didnt) all in one big lump....and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: pleasant surprise eh.... Same movie as with 6z. Operational goes off on one of its wild tangents and ensembles bring us back to reality, for better or for worse. In this case, as at 6z, for better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 We NEVER separate threads here. You'll get everything you wanted (and didnt) all in one big lump....and like it. Perfect just checking!! lol thanks !. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Porsche said: Living on the edge, like to see this shift south slowly over the next 48 hours. Its what we do down here. IMO to cry about what we often see here is silly and we should know better than that (or move)..especially based on pattern and lack of deep cold air. Just happy to see "us" in the game...even if some of us are not the stars of the show. Any snow is welcome snow in MBY. I'll be at cabin, so I'll likely be on the northern periphery anyways. NBD. Hoping you get your souther tick before the dreaded norther one comes a callin. At least we are slowly runnin outta time for big changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Perfect just checking!! lol thanks ! . A few historic or major storms we did a separate thread in the past, but vast majority of the time we keep it all in one thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Same movie as with 6z. Operational goes off on one of its wild tangents and ensembles bring us back to reality, for better or for worse. In this case, as at 6z, for better. Agreed. Not sure why my TT is seemingly slower than y'alls/ younz? Happy for you rich retired guys that get the premium stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Its what we do down here. IMO to cry about what we often see here is silly and we should know better than that (or move)..especially based on pattern and lack of deep cold air. Just happy to see "us" in the game...even if some of us are not the stars of the show. Any snow is welcome snow in MBY. I'll be at cabin, so I'll likely be on the northern periphery anyways. NBD. Hoping you get your souther tick before the dreaded norther one comes a callin. At least we are slowly runnin outta time for big changes. Very true, we are sometimes on the good side of the edge and other times not so much. Either way like you said, it's nice to be tracking something. Hopefully we can all enjoy some shoveling this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Lunch break quick recap of 12z Op snow maps before 18z runs begin. Euro was furthest north & is currently an outlier at this time. The Canadian was the most juiced, especially for southern PA. The middle ground at 12z were the ICON & GFS. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 5 minutes ago, Porsche said: Very true, we are sometimes on the good side of the edge and other times not so much. Either way like you said, it's nice to be tracking something. Hopefully we can all enjoy some shoveling this weekend. Yeah, to the other side, we've had some years that we've been in the goods whily they might have pushed Atomix over the edge a tad.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 @Atomixwxi'm just messin w/ ya dude. You add alot of "color" to the group. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Listen up folks. Keep this discussion about weather and leave the disgusting sexist comments out. This will be the only warning before you find yourself on the outside looking in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 26 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Do we do separate threads here for storms or keep it within winter talk? . Consensus seems to want to keep it in one thread now. Going back to 2021 and before, we often had dedicated storm threads. We haven't had any storms worth a thread the past couple of years...but we had a nice storm-specific thread in 2021. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Consensus seems to want to keep it in one thread now. Going back to 2021 and before, we often had dedicated storm threads. We haven't had any storms worth a thread the past couple of years...but we had a nice storm-specific thread in 2021. Yea, I remember when we used to do it. It does make it more time consuming to have to bounce between threads but whatever everyone else likes, I am down with. I never liked the idea of an OT thread as it would die in my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 As we get closer to the event, I'll calm down and focus more on the actual topic at hand. Unless I am told to shut up beforehand. In which case I'll probably just sign off. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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