Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 12 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Just about perfect low position to get the Susquehanna Valley plastered with snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 2 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Primary hangs on a bit too long, otherwise it’s damn near classic. That's exactly what I noticed. 0z was better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: That's exactly what I noticed. 0z was better. We should be good if the low transfers from Eastern TN to the Outer Banks of NC & then moves north as the Euro shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 What a shot this is… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Yes please! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 38 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gotta get that 1/4 system past us before we can make any meaningful observations of trends over model runs. Totally agreed. It/the 4th system is the key to track, IMO. Fun to track either way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: We should be good if the low transfers from Eastern TN to the Outer Banks of NC & then moves north as the Euro shows. That looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 1, 2024 Author Share Posted January 1, 2024 8 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: He didn't see this yet Solid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Totally agreed. It/the 4th system is the key to track, IMO. Fun to track either way. Good reminder - it will be Wednesday before we know anything with some level of confidence. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Good reminder - it will be Wednesday before we know anything with some level of confidence. The level of posts on here makes it impossible to follow the "show" on the MA thread when just checking in every hour or two. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 1 minute ago, Ahoff said: That looks great. It is, but it's moving faster than last night's run because there's another vort on its tail. Pick out which is the 12z run and which is the 0z without having to look at the time stamp. I bet you got it right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 19 minutes ago, paweather said: Where’s TimB negativity now? I like that Euro run. I can live with that or even an advisory level event even if I don’t jackpot. That’s just how it works. It’s just frustrating that objectively bad solutions like 1-3” or even nothing are still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 I think this Eps snowfall is wrong and the colors on the scale are 1 off (8-10 is really 6-8), but we'll see shortly when Pivotal Eps comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Yep, I was right. Still as good as 0z however. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Cumberland, Franklin, Adams, York and Dauphin counties today and one theme....it is raining a lot more than I was expecting. Snowing to our south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Cumberland, Franklin, Adams, York and Dolphin counties today and one theme....it is raining a lot more than I was expecting. Snowing to our south. Snow or rain over in Porpoise county?Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Snowy day up here in Vail. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Snow or rain over in Porpoise county? Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk LOL, the luxuries of spell check. Mod-Heavy snow in Blue Ridge Summit. Cars caved. Near the Franklin/Adams line 1350 feet. Mix rain/snow in Rou and 33. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Almost time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 18Z Icon looks like it could escape our grasp it if continued on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 18Z Icon looks like it could escape our grasp it if continued on. Yeah, I couldn't decide. I figured that if the High in Quebec kept moving out, it would have no problem moving nne and being a hit. But if the High held its ground, no dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Yeah, I couldn't decide. I figured that if the High in Quebec kept moving out, it would have no problem moving nne and being a hit. But if the High held its ground, no dice. Yea, same here. It is definitively further south as to the precip shield so a bit worried where it was going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 That 1/4 storm is really lowering heights along the coast in its wake, particularly on the Gfs. As much as it may make me uncomfortable to say it, I don't mind seeing the primary go into the Tenn Valley first. Remember, we do need some ridging ahead of the system to get it up the coast some...just not too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Gfs will be north of 12z this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 18Z GFS is has a north jog in the system at 120....we may need it to avoid suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Looks like it’s going to be a big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Making a run for Ohio/KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Great LSV run compared to 12Z. From suppressed to under state/South VA scooter. 8-12" Southern half of PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 High is a touch stronger. Beat down incoming at 132. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Crushed here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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