Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 3:44 PM, mitchnick said: Well, southern PA'ers that is. It'll come north and get with other modeling now. Expand That helps take one southern slider suite off the board for now. Good news. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 it be nice to see snow for a chance other then brown dead grass lol. tho back of my mind cant but think the 7.4 earthquake in japan could change current weather patterns. Half way jk but I have read ideas for years saying earthquakes can change the weather ie the major quake in japan years back not only shortened the day. Not by much mind you but it did. I then followed this hole down other articles suggesting that the earthquake in 2011 also changed weather systems by tens of miles of where going to go. I dunno how true or untrue that is but still a interesting read when I saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snobal Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 this storm has peaked my interest to say the least. i still need a couple days to analyse things but i am starting to feel better about things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Further south this run maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Suppression is biggest threat now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Gfs laughs at the Icon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 3:47 PM, paweather said: Looks like overnight did pretty good? Expand Yes, lol, hit the back button for a page or two & take a read! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:12 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, lol, hit the back button for a page or two & take a read! Expand Yeah I figured skimming would get me up to date. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Well the run to run consistency was fun while it lasted lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Lol. Canadian the other way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Sadly, everything has caved to the 0z Euro. This thing needs to trend back, but fortunately there’s still plenty of time for that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:19 PM, TimB said: Sadly, everything has caved to the 0z Euro. This thing needs to trend back, but fortunately there’s still plenty of time for that to happen. Expand I guess Pittsburgh thread is slow??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:18 PM, mitchnick said: Lol. Canadian the other way. Expand It’s a coming Mitch! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:19 PM, TimB said: Sadly, everything has caved to the 0z Euro. This thing needs to trend back, but fortunately there’s still plenty of time for that to happen. Expand Not sure what the heck you mean…. The 0z Euro was beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:22 PM, paweather said: I guess Pittsburgh thread is slow??? Expand This thing is DOA for Pittsburgh at this point, and I’d be enraged if DC wins so I hope you guys get a win here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:09 PM, Superstorm said: Suppression is biggest threat now. . Expand You may be right. But I still would rather be in our position now then holding on to the SE edge of snowfall. Where were we 5 days out in 1983? 1996? 2009? 2010? 2016? We were on the outside looking in. All 5 of those came north and clocked us. Sure, no guarantee that will happen this time but I'm actually more optimistic now than I've been in years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:18 PM, mitchnick said: Lol. Canadian the other way. Expand Yes, Canadian is an inland runner that brings a mixed event this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:24 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: Not sure what the heck you mean…. The 0z Euro was beautiful Expand Oh right, you guys did get a win out of that one. But it’s still trending toward a rage-inducing win for DC, and when they win everyone loses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:24 PM, TimB said: This thing is DOA for Pittsburgh at this point, and I’d be enraged if DC wins so I hope you guys get a win here.Again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:26 PM, anotherman said: Again? Expand Just said I was rooting for you so the mid Atlantic elites don’t get to end the misery before I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 3:42 PM, mitchnick said: Icon just crushed us. Expand Icon seems to be middle ground bid between the Canadian & GFS this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Typical swings at 120+ hours out and 30 model runs per day. A blend of all the 12Z guidance thus far would be fine for us. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:27 PM, Blizzard of 93 said: Icon seems to be middle ground bid between the Canadian & GFS this run. Expand And that's a scary thought. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 if this thing just pushing straight north now after all the talk about suppression. it will be like last year lol. 1 thing I always hated with models they take a storm from one run off the coast and push it to be a lakes cutter. or a storm thats way south out of no where is now to far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:27 PM, TimB said: Just said I was rooting for you so the mid Atlantic elites don’t get to end the misery before I do. Expand End your misery and go away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:25 PM, Itstrainingtime said: You may be right. But I still would rather be in our position now then holding on to the SE edge of snowfall. Where were we 5 days out in 1983? 1996? 2009? 2010? 2016? We were on the outside looking in. All 5 of those came north and clocked us. Sure, no guarantee that will happen this time but I'm actually more optimistic now than I've been in years. Expand Great post! Also, the 12z runs so far still show we have a long way to go, with lots still needing sorted out. I agree that I like where we are sitting now. Like you said, History tells us these type of storms creep north closer to the event, so we need some room to make sure we are still in the good snow zone. It’s nice to be back in the game! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:30 PM, GrandmasterB said: Typical swings at 120+ hours out and 30 model runs per day. A blend of all the 12Z guidance thus far would be fine for us. Expand We're still in a time frame where the ensembles prevail. 0z Euro didn't make it past NYC iirc, but the ensembles had them doing fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:31 PM, Ruin said: if this thing just pushing straight north now after all the talk about suppression. it will be like last year lol. 1 thing I always hated with models they take a storm from one run off the coast and push it to be a lakes cutter. or a storm thats way south out of no where is now to far north. Expand Don’t worry, the second storm on the GFS is now a Lakes cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 On 1/1/2024 at 4:32 PM, TimB said: Don’t worry, the second storm on the GFS is now a Lakes cutter. Expand Don’t worry your a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 1, 2024 Share Posted January 1, 2024 Gfs heard me talking about a slider I guess. It caved to the 0z icon (joking sort of) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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