PSUWhiteout70 Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 4 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: That would be a kick in the bollocks to one of our posters. More than one of your posters. I had to replace a garage roof after a nor easter in the early 2000's can't remember the year, that and 4 big trees went down in my yard as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 HRRR pushing 3.5” to 4” totals in area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 I have been advised. Fun. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 10 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I have been advised. Fun. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Advised of what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Advised of what?McKean-Elk-Clearfield-Cambria-Including the cities of Bradford, St. Marys, Ridgway, DuBois, Clearfield, and Johnstown220 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY...* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.* WHERE...McKean, Elk, Clearfield and Cambria Counties.* WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 10 AM EST Tuesday.* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The periods of heaviest snowfall and travel impacts are expected between 8 PM Monday and 8 AM Tuesday as temperatures drop below freezing.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility.Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions.To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: McKean-Elk-Clearfield-Cambria- Including the cities of Bradford, St. Marys, Ridgway, DuBois, Clearfield, and Johnstown 220 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...McKean, Elk, Clearfield and Cambria Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM Monday to 10 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The periods of heaviest snowfall and travel impacts are expected between 8 PM Monday and 8 AM Tuesday as temperatures drop below freezing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Excellent Enjoy!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 17, 2023 Author Share Posted December 17, 2023 43 minutes ago, Superstorm said: HRRR pushing 3.5” to 4” totals in area. High end point and click rainfall totals for Tamaqua and eastern Schuylkill County were 4.25" earlier. Don't know if new forecasts will change, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 There’s still a good consensus among the 3 global ensembles on the general pattern for the 5 day period at the end of their 12z runs today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 Finally some rain....going into 7PM we had only had .1" but decent rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 .54" of rain so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 22 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Finally some rain....going into 7PM we had only had .1" but decent rain now. .23 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 I wish it was snow tonight lol. 4 days ago before we were going to get the storm it was upper 30s to low 40s for high. low was below freezing. I understand its coming up from the south but with it being just off the coast id thought it would bring down some cold air considering its so strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 This looks better than a couple days ago when i said it needed to go due W right off the chart. Thats a decent run into 8 and coupled w/ better tellies might just get r done. I distinctly remember a respected poster from the Mid-Atlantic region doing a deep dive for dca snowfall for like 30years and pulled in I think at least seasonal average NAO/ENSO values if not monthly for a good portion of his study period to look at correlations. I wish I could find his post because I think he left links to his numerical data/calculations and writeup which was quite good. The thing that always stuck with me about trying to posit correlations with snow with indice values is that some are much more stable on daily, weekly, monthly readings then others (i.e ENSO vs MJO). Most of these indices were invented in the 1970s or later, with limited ability to use distant pass observations to calculate any values outside a best guess for a yearly or seasonal value. The estimates can vary wildly and older studies are super hard to get their data, hell even newer ones can be a bitch to get it coming from an outside academia amateur hobbyist position. Anyways, I distinctly remember how little seasonal and even monthly nao readings statistically impacted snowfall at DCA. I think maybe if one came up with a large multivariate dynamic system that looked at daily readings of all teleconnections to calculate parameters akin to distance, velocity, acceleration, force, momentum for each indice. While taking account for all the variables effect on each other on different time scales to adjust for inherent stability of each indice. Knowing the daily MJO phase is great, but how deep is it in the phase, how fast (absolute & net) in all plot dimensions is it traveling, same with any acceleration over different time periods, as well as distance. Now how does that daily pattern effect NAO (if at all) on different delayed time scales. If you think of a 7 days or 10 days (I e) of MJO readings as a unique song, then with calculated parameters each day as notes, with each parameters calculated parameters daily (as each notes flavors) over time then you slowly built up groupings via graph theory that essentially group all those songs into genres that have their own unique effects on the other indices depending on time scales. A large regional location like northeast, Midwest, ect maybe able to equate their exposure to genres taking into account order and time effects to a slight moderate correlation with regionwide seasonal snowfall. But even on a statewide level it comes down to randomness with a larger structural environment far more than any of us want to admitSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 Drive home tonight from IAD suuuucked. It’s so damn foggy too. And cool - 40 mph winds all afternoon and night tomorrow? I’m going back to London. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 1.54" with heavy rain and 52 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 19 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 1.54" with heavy rain and 52 degrees. go o’s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 What could have been. Will get er one of these times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 Later model trends in the last 24 hrs or so shifting (or perhaps tightening the western extent of) the heaviest rain axis to the east some ended up coming to fruition. Instead of western PA being the sharp cutoff zone it ended up being in this part of C-PA. Still in the decent steady rain for the time being but only at 0.45” in the rain gauge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 Good morning, 50 degrees and 3.2 inches of much needed rain in Hanover, PA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 44 and wrapping up at 1.45" of rain here. Looks like MDT did a little over 2.5". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: 44 and wrapping up at 1.45" of rain here. Looks like MDT did a little over 2.5". 2.20 rain here. Is there one more mow in the cards for you this year to seal the deal on that coveted lawn mowing trophy? Sorta like a come from behind win, when everyone else counted you out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 Creek has responded to the rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 3.28” in Lancaster (Willow Street). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 18, 2023 Author Share Posted December 18, 2023 3.32" in Tamaqua per the USGS gauge since mine doesn't work anymore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 14 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 2.20 rain here. Is there one more mow in the cards for you this year to seal the deal on that coveted lawn mowing trophy? Sorta like a come from behind win, when everyone else counted you out. Nah, the grass finally has that subdued look. Ended at 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Nah, the grass finally has that subdued look. Ended at 19. Well then I guess you will probably be in contention for the 2024 mowing season with the rain your getting lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 25 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 44 and wrapping up at 1.45" of rain here. Looks like MDT did a little over 2.5". I’m surprised that’s it wasn’t a T … 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 2.3 of rain in Marysville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 I guess I'm about normal rainfall for the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 14 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: I guess I'm about normal rainfall for the year. I need to tally mine up again (I approx) but we are only in the mid to upper 20's total for the year here. MDT's norm for the year is 44-45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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