michsnowfreak Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 December starts in 2 days. Figured it's time for a new thread. White Christmas? Only 4 weeks to find out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 4 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: December starts in 2 days. Figured it's time for a new thread. White Christmas? Only 4 weeks to find out. Odd's are in my favor 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 A few euro runs in a row of decent snow potential this weekend for Michigan.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Hoping the MJO visit to the warmer phase(s) is not a prolonged event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Mixed-bag precip event to kick off the month for the QC on Friday. May be able to squeeze out a good half inch of QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 12 hours ago, RogueWaves said: Hoping the MJO visit to the warmer phase(s) is not a prolonged event. Hoping it hangs out there all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 a few cold rain opportunities to open the month, not ideal but could be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 The 10 days before Christmas look cold with plenty of LES, and C/S Lakes storm potential. I think the odds for a white Christmas look better for many areas in our southern areas. Was looking a little closer at my modelling method. I have said the 2nd half of Dec looks seasonable to colder, and am sticking to it. 1st half has the opposite feel, and looks to be on track, as mentioned before. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 thanks for the update Brian D 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 hour ago, Brian D said: The 10 days before Christmas look cold with plenty of LES, and C/S Lakes storm potential. I think the odds for a white Christmas look better for many areas in our southern areas. Was looking a little closer at my modelling method. I have said the 2nd half of Dec looks seasonable to colder, and am sticking to it. 1st half has the opposite feel, and looks to be on track, as mentioned before. Sounds good to me. For an area that statistically has around a 50/50 shot at a White Christmas, we have had quite a few postcard worthy, perfectly timed December 24-25 snowfalls here in recent years (2017, 2020, 2022). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Nice little shot for mid Michigan here tomorrow. I'd bet on cementitious 1-3" north of the Detroit burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 34 degree soaker a lock for here. May see some mixing but might be mostly rain. Some models show up to 0.75" of precip. We def can use the moisture. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 17 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: a few cold rain opportunities to open the month, not ideal but could be worse A long overcast stretch to start the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 ^ Hello darkness, my old friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Baum said: ^ Hello darkness, my old friend. I'm SAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 31 minutes ago, bowtie` said: I'm SAD. More like WAD... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Let the 14 weeks of winter(for N IL) commence. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 quality soak to kick it off 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Correct me if I'm wrong but I feel like several years in previous memory didn't even give us the first shitty thread the needle event if only for tracking purposes until around now. At least it looks active for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 First real snow threat wasn't until 12/23 last winter over here. Followed by another month of boring crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: First real snow threat wasn't until 12/23 last winter over here. Followed by another month of boring crap. Exactly. And even that felt shockingly early to me. Usually the first real medium/long range threat with some real balls takes forever to even be hinted at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Maybe with the help of El Nino, we can get some +PNA induced real clippers for a change which we haven't had in 125 years or so(maybe an exaggeration). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Ready for my 217” of fantasy GFS snow this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 4 hours ago, Frog Town said: More like WAD... more like WAP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Ready for my 217” of fantasy GFS snow this season we already have 48" and it's still late fall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Today's wave is a bust, snow-wise. It's weak and it's too warm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 8 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Today's wave is a bust, snow-wise. It's weak and it's too warm. Ditto here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Nothing but rain here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 1 hour ago, buckeye said: we already have 48" and it's still late fall Southern shores of Lake Erie I take it. They got hit pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 A boring stretch for Chicagoland per the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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