cyclone77 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Verbatim we go from a morning low of near -20 Tuesday to a morning low of near 30 just 2 days later Thursday AM on the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 hoping that cold underperforms, extended looks zzzzz 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: hoping that cold underperforms, extended looks zzzzz Was really getting used to this “cutter every 4 days” pattern… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Looks like if we're lucky, maybe someone gets a chance at squeezing something out of a clipperish thang next Thursdayish. Hopefully no mixing issues with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 5 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Looks like if we're lucky, maybe someone gets a chance at squeezing something out of a clipperish thang next Thursdayish. Hopefully no mixing issues with that Nobody kill me..(I know we all have been begging for a GLC). But I miss the guarantee of a clipper. One of those hybrid west to east overperformers with a gulf/Pac connection 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 3 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: Nobody kill me..(I know we all have been begging for a GLC). But I miss the guarantee of a clipper. One of those hybrid west to east overperformers with a gulf/Pac connection That's exactly what I'm saying. I have only fond memories of them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Pattern change was a bust Zzzzzz 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Yeah - that whole pattern change sucked. Ground is pretty bare and what is around is just getting wind whipped into the fields happened last year around Christmas time too. Ton of rain, then bitter cold and wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Pattern change was a bust Zzzzzz tell that to cyclone 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 It’s the type of pattern that can surprise to the upside on high ratio events, which I like 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Just now, mimillman said: It’s the type of pattern that can surprise to the upside on high ratio events, which I like The clipper tonight might. It's going to be high ratio for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 13 Author Share Posted January 13 7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Pattern change was a bust Zzzzzz sucks 2 b u. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Seamless wad to cad transition 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 So its gonna be dry all week while we have legit cold air in place, then it warms up, gets active and get rained on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 19 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: So its gonna be dry all week while we have legit cold air in place, then it warms up, gets active and get rained on. I'll take 35 and rain over this cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 16 minutes ago, DaveNay said: I'll take 35 and rain over this cold. Well yea I dont know who would enjoy cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 9 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Well yea I dont know who would enjoy cold and dry. Cold weather sicko checking in. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 The current -EPO/-NAO/-AO/-PNA regime will transition to a temporary +PNA later this week as the NAO block breaks down. Long lived AK ridging (-EPO) will retrograde to Aleutian ridging, with deep troughing along the west coast up to AK, setting up a +EPO and amplifying the ridging downstream. This entails a mild week next week, though how far AN will depend on getting a system with higher Td into the region and melting the extensive snow and ice cover. It appears possible but too far out to be a lock. The warm-up does look to be relatively short-lived, however, as the EPS, GEFS, and GEPS are in good agreement in the typical El Niño Aleutian troughing being displaced well to the south/southwest, which will set up another round of -EPO, though 2 of the 3 (EPS and GEPS) ensembles indicate that pairing with a +PNA, which would tend to be a drier, clipperish, LES pattern. The GEFS is far enough west with the AK ridging to have an interesting look for more of the sub-forum. It appears we're looking at a +AO/+NAO for that stretch, unlike now. We're talking out at the end of these ensembles though, so wouldn't put too much stock in either outcome yet. Main point is that the warm-up next week does not look to be the end of winter temps, and we'll see on the details, barring changes from the general pattern progression. 9 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 I hate brutal near zero temps with a nasty wind, but I also hate 40s and melting all my beautiful snowpack. Upper 20s is the best, but it never stays there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 11 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Seamless wad to cad transition Can it be as bad as seamless blocking and smoke the entire months of May and June? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Zzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1-3" swath of snow looking likely Thu night through Friday across a decent swath from Iowa/Missouri to IN/OH. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 19 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Cold weather sicko checking in. Me too. I love the tundra atmosphere of a frozen landscape. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 6 hours ago, cyclone77 said: 1-3" swath of snow looking likely Thu night through Friday across a decent swath from Iowa/Missouri to IN/OH. Decent single-band lake response somewhere in NW IN into N IN/SW MI, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Ready 4 spring 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 February will be rockin’. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Thursday and Friday look interesting for some snow? Lake enhancement/effect possible? Higher ratio snow without mixing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 2 hours ago, Chicago916 said: Thursday and Friday look interesting for some snow? Lake enhancement/effect possible? Higher ratio snow without mixing issues. Both NAM/CMC a bit further north and wetter than EURO/GFS. 0.4 of precip modeled and would get interesting with high ratios and some Lake Effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Benefits of an Arctic air mass being it won't take much QPF to result in accumulating snows, and the lake will now be beneficial vs. detrimental to those lakeside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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