H2O Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 He sucks at clock management Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Anyone forecasting normal or above normal snowfall for this winter is in trouble. We're down like 21-0 in the 3rd quarter and our offense is doing nothing. Have you looked at the history of our best Niños? Just take a look at our biggest snows and tell me when most of them fell. (Hint: Only one of them fell before mid-January) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 18z will be telling. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Have you looked at the history of our best Niños? Just take a look at our biggest snows and tell me when most of them fell. (Hint: Only one of them fell before mid-January)There’s still time for a hecs, but this is the type of system we should be able to score at least on the front end. We’re just not good at arctic air…and that’s really our best way to tame a southern stream system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 minutes ago, 87storms said: 18z will be telling. I'm pretty sure I know what it's going to be telling us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I'm pretty sure I know what it's going to be telling us. It’s gonna tell us, “0z will be telling.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 ANother one shits the bed for I-95. Saw it coming from a mile away. ANyone who thinks this shifts back east is delusional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Is there anything we can do on the ground level to make it go away? Get people to point their fans to the sky? Nuke the vort? I’m open to ideas I see the 12Z EURO has pushed some of us right past denial and fear... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Hessians never worried about rain snow lines 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Another rainstorm, fun times!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 What the fuq. I just got the results of the WB December forecast competition. I was in the top 25% of entries...beat almost half the models and 33% of WB's professional forecasters. If that doesn't tell you what kind of scam this industry is then nothing will. I don't even drink and I still think I was drunk when I made my entries. "Congratulations on ranking 19 out of 72 competitors in WeatherBELL's December Forecast Competition! You've shown impressive skill in long-range weather forecasting, beating 3 out of 7 models and 2 out of 6 members of the WeatherBELL team!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 The 3 models you beat were the CRAS, NAM and ICON. Nothing to brag about, bro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: To be clear, I'm hoping for 3" - 5" of snow at home this weekend. We've been in a bad snow drought since 2016 as a region and folks are almost zero tolerance for another rug pull. That is complete understandable. I think that’s also why many won’t just be happy with a 2-3” event, especially those who haven’t seen a warning-level storm in almost 8 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 26 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I haven't recorded a below freezing low temperature since Dec 21st. I'm trying to remember the last time I ever got below the upper 20's IMBY... maybe for a few hours on Dec 23, 2022. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Business is picking up in here, I see. I wish we could just skip ahead to January 20 and let it play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 4 minutes ago, Fozz said: I think that’s also why many won’t just be happy with a 2-3” event, especially those who haven’t seen a warning-level storm in almost 8 years. I am one of those but would kill to just see snow falling and accumulating even that much at this point- just need to get the taste of last year's monster two tenths of an inch out of my mouth (as it were, calm yourself ravensrule) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 12 minutes ago, IronTy said: What the fuq. I just got the results of the WB December forecast competition. I was in the top 25% of entries...beat almost half the models and 33% of WB's professional forecasters. If that doesn't tell you what kind of scam this industry is then nothing will. I don't even drink and I still think I was drunk when I made my entries. "Congratulations on ranking 19 out of 72 competitors in WeatherBELL's December Forecast Competition! You've shown impressive skill in long-range weather forecasting, beating 3 out of 7 models and 2 out of 6 members of the WeatherBELL team!" Is JB offering you a job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Woo boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 20 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: ANother one shits the bed for I-95. Saw it coming from a mile away. ANyone who thinks this shifts back east is delusional. The thing is we’re not really “a shift away”. There is no deep cold air. The best model runs had the metros at 34-35. Too warm. Next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Probably would be better in the future to avoid starting threads for potential events until we're within 72 hours of the event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Don't trust the globals outside 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just another perfect track low pressure rainstorm during our peak climo and minimum sun angle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Just another perfect track low pressure rainstorm during our peak climo and minimum sun angle. We are a snow town! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 It really sucks —> a low pressure off Virginia Beach in January should be a snowstorm for us. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 27 minutes ago, H2O said: The 3 models you beat were the CRAS, NAM and ICON. Nothing to brag about, bro I wonder which models they use - since it's an entire month I assumed it was the long range models. Whichever three it was they should just pay me their dev fees and I'll spit out random number that'll be more accurate. The secret is no matter what the pattern looks like to just guess positive on the anomalies. Almost a guaranteed lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 19 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Is JB offering you a job? No I didn't forecast -10F on all the anomalies so JB banned me from working at WB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Is there a logical explanation as to why the models always show mid-atlantic snow storms 5-7 days out, but then lose the snow 3 days before go time? It is uncanny. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Didnt Chuck warn us this storm was gonna be warm? Everyone seems to not take him seriously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 The perfect pattern will show up in late March and last thru October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Anyone forecasting normal or above normal snowfall for this winter is in trouble. We're down like 21-0 in the 3rd 2nd quarter and our offense is doing nothing. Sounds like the 'Noles during the UGA-FSU game from this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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