Ji Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 what’s the point I like it. World wide blocking 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 4 hours ago, CAPE said: Paying less attention to the colors and more to the height contours is a good rule of thumb to glean the general idea from an overly smoothed seasonal model. I know you know this. Shame on you for trolling the panic stricken. Shame on me for coming in here and being rational and unemotional. You know I’m trolling right lol. But I’m doing it where it belongs… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 4 hours ago, CAPE said: Torch!! High temps in the 70s to near 80 degrees, wall to wall in January, prolonged Thaw. Biblical rains in the NE mountains, with Grand Canyon-deep, ten foot wide grooves worn into every ski trail at every northeastern ski resort. First January in living memory with no snow on the ground anywhere in the SNE, NEK or anywhere in the entire continental US, for that matter. Total Nino warmth throughout the land, incredible amounts of pac air as the pac jet gets its way! Pacific front after pacific front throughout the entire continental US until we all enjoy genuine Pacific weather, as record breaking 130 degree below zero temps and 50 foot snowpacks adorn the other side of the world like never before! yep, we got ourselves a brand-new vibe in 2024. Panic room becomes the main Mid Atlantic Sub. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kgottwald Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 On 12/22/2023 at 7:01 AM, Bob Chill said: Then vet day 1988 hit and everything started suckin again afterwards. lolol. Many weenies (including myself) thought the Vet day storm was a harbinger of a big winter. It was a big winter if you like little snow and mild temps lol. Huh? The big Veterans Day storm was in 1987 - granted, December was mild and snowless, but we got an inch right after New Years, then 4-8 inches on the 8th accompanied by almost two weeks of serious cold. Another 4 - 6" on January 25th (rain changing to snow, which hardly ever accumulates that much around here), a couple dustings in February with cold snaps, and measurable snow on March 20! 1988-89, granted, was disappointing in the DC area - that was the year that a bunch of storms missed us to the *south*, and Tidewater Virginia got the jackpot (like 1980). Even then, the first week of January brought three light-to-moderate snowfalls, the one on January 6 being slush in downtown DC but three or four inches even in Cleveland Park (I tried to visit the zoo that day to see what it was like in the snow, but it was closed). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 Listen, we get it. February is usually our snowiest month, especially in a Nino. But it shouldn't be the only month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Listen, we get it. February is usually our snowiest month, especially in a Nino. But it shouldn't be the only month. It’s over. Tune up the mower 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s over. Tune up the mower eastcoast NPZ lives in the Mid-Atlantic desert! No mower is needed.. just a rake for clearing the blowing tumbleweed from the sand dunes that will start forming this spring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 48 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: It’s over. Tune up the mower Reality is starting to set in. I'll give it to January 15th, but the writing is on the wall for this winter it seems. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted December 24, 2023 Share Posted December 24, 2023 20 hours ago, Ji said: I like it. World wide blocking What would this ridge be called? The NHR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 25, 2023 Share Posted December 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, jayyy said: High pressure in a nice spot anchored in there too. Cold with lots of precip. Gotta love gulf lows bombing underneath a legit air mass. Beautiful at h5 too. Only 2 weeks away…. Evergreen post in these parts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’m going to say this then I’m done commenting on that gfs run. If we actually get a few scenarios like that this winter (or like that Super Bowl storm in 2021) then my seasonal forecast will fail for one reason. I failed to correctly account for warning and it’s worse than I thought. You've been 100% right so far. No reason to doubt you. We'll probably start seeing snowless winters and 65 degree Christmas days on the regular within the next 5 to 10 years. 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: No because it’s irrelevant. The fact a sophisticated simulation (which frankly is biased cold) says that’s the most likely outcome based on its current data and physics is alarming. It shouldn’t be possible to have a vertically stacked bombing low there with a deform band right over us in January in a pattern where we’ve had a NW flow into the east for a week and get rain. How that doesn’t bother anyone is beyond me. Stockholm Syndrome. People can't believe it's happening so quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 PSU just canceled winter forever. Damnit.. right when I found the best hiking place ever. At least I can grow weed year round to drown the pain of never seeing snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: You've been 100% right so far. No reason to doubt you. We'll probably start seeing snowless winters and 65 degree Christmas days on the regular within the next 5 to 10 years. Stockholm Syndrome. People can't believe it's happening so quickly. We already are seeing snow less winters lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, Chris78 said: We already are seeing snow less winters lol No I'm talking about years when the LR thread cancels winter in October and you just know it's going to be a shutout. Not even flurries or car toppers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: No I'm talking about years when the LR thread cancels winter in October and you just know it's going to be a shutout. Not even flurries or car toppers. That was literally last year. And a handful of seasons in the past ten. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 49 minutes ago, Chris78 said: We already are seeing snow less winters lol And 65F Christmases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 January 2024 might be the most important month in Americanwx/mid-Atlantic forum history. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: And 65F Christmases. I'm not a young man and I can remember the joke was always about Christmas being warm and the January thaws. Having cold and a white Christmas for our area has always been the exception not the rule. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 It seems that it cannot get cold enough here for snow, unless there is some arctic front driving through with 30mph NW winds. And that cannot happen with an approaching storm system, or during; only after. When I went snowless in the contest, I was only partially joking. Like 25%. At this point, I get just as excited to track rain. Try living out here in the SV desert for a summer and you'll see why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'm not a young man and I can remember the joke was always about Christmas being warm and the January thaws. Having cold and a white Christmas for our area has always been the exception not the rule. That's true. For some reason we have always been more likely to pop a warm spell around the holidays. I remember a Christmas Eve in either 81 or 82 as a kid playing ball outside shorts and shirtless and sweating like crazy. But, now it seems to becoming consistent and easy to pop 60s without any remarkable pattern in-place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, 87storms said: January 2024 might be the most important month in Americanwx/mid-Atlantic forum history. It's when the blinds (or coffin) get shut, for good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 28 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: It's when the blinds (or coffin) get shut, for good. In backloaded winters, we trust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Happy Boxing Day 2010 anniversary! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Lol oh man, that’s like 3 nut punches in a row on the gfs 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 What a damn shame.. was really starting to get excited for 1/8 and beyond.. can’t win anymore. Hoping to at least get another coating Friday into Saturday but even that seems like a wish at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 16 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Lol oh man, that’s like 3 nut punches in a row on the gfs The important thing is not to panic. hey wait a minute..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 oh screw it- it’s time to panic 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 23 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Happy Boxing Day 2010 anniversary! I know DC got missed but that hit a lot of areas to the SE that typically get shafted. That storm was great for folks who often are on the outside looking in like Salisbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 17 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: What a damn shame.. was really starting to get excited for 1/8 and beyond.. can’t win anymore. Hoping to at least get another coating Friday into Saturday but even that seems like a wish at this point. I would think you would do ok on the 3rd if that setup as shown on the 12z is close to true. it does suck to chase coatings repeatedly. but its not like anyone else is killing it either. the grass is still green at my moms house in Rochester, MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 have faith weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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