Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 On 12/15/2023 at 11:55 AM, paulythegun said: #NEverForget the victims of El Nino: sailors boiled alive in the east pacific Is that @WxWatcher007's, the Reaper's, tropical retirement spot??? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 7 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Is that @WxWatcher007's, the Reaper's, tropical retirement spot??? Wife and I love it out there. It’s amazing what iPhone can do underwater these days. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 If the Panic room were run by Hannibal Lecter: "A jumping weenie once tried to escape me. I ate his liver with some fava beans, and a nice chianti!" 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Larry Cosgrove is falling off his game lmao. We now get forecasts about 1-2 weeks LATE. Everyone gets old, including yours truly. Guy needs to hire someone who knows advanced AI and use it. AI's are never late. They always have the forecast right on time. I love AI so much. It's going to replace everything and everyone. We are gonna save quadrillions of dollars on unnecessary jobs and streamline the hell out of everything! I am one of the most enthusiastic of the AI folks. I absolutely adore and WORSHIP everything AI, with all my heart. It's a great hobby to enjoy and it never lets you down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 I get it now. Ers Wxman is correct. The subtrop jet IS a Beast, only it will be rain, and on the East Coast. Much as I hate to say that, but it needs to be said. The subtropical jetstream is a thing and will affect the East repeatedly. It will be a beast for them and will produce record rain for the next 3 months. It will not affect California or Texas at any time this winter or Spring 2024. California and Texas are high and dry and will be for the foreseeable future. The current Mexico to Florida southern jet trajectory will obtain probably through at least April 2024, by which time Summer will be well underway in the Southwest. This is a moderate Nino, but it is going to rain the hell out of the east. It isnt going to do what we thought, what we craved, which was bring snow. And it isnt going to help Texas with rain either. Track is too far south, Mex to FL and will probably do so all winter then jump 1700 miles north. I need to make plans to move to south central AL or MS where it rains nearly every day. California is going to be dry as a martini all winter, especially after last winter. The crazy Palisades snow last season, these things dont repeat. Texas and California are both in for a blazing hot dry 2024, and probably '25 as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 Dec. 17 folks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 17, 2023 Share Posted December 17, 2023 14 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Dec. 17 folks Epic winter, amirite? 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Epic winter, amirite? Miller A rainstorm to Canada. Some things are just not worth analyzing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 Miller A rainstorm to Canada. Some things are just not worth analyzing In some ways it might be better to get rain now and snow later, given the antecedent drought conditions. Table is set for a snowy January…unless it rains. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 I am so depressed about no substantial rain in south central Texas all winter that I am thinking of jumping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 On 12/16/2023 at 9:13 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Wife and I love it out there. It’s amazing what iPhone can do underwater these days. It's about frackin' time, Reaper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, Jebman said: I am so depressed about no substantial rain in south central Texas all winter that I am thinking of jumping. Make sure the water is deep enough first bro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted December 18, 2023 Share Posted December 18, 2023 warmbad2.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 Models Seen Warmer Overnight as Natural Gas Futures Slide Early- Boil down 10% this morning. Nat gas bulls getting crushed this season 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 14 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: Models Seen Warmer Overnight as Natural Gas Futures Slide Early- Boil down 10% this morning. Nat gas bulls getting crushed this season Keep us posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 So how's the 24/25 ENSO looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, 87storms said: So how's the 24/25 ENSO looking? On 12/12/2023 at 5:51 PM, Terpeast said: CFS shows a literal nina for next year On 12/13/2023 at 8:26 AM, mattie g said: If this year is 94-95, then maybe next year is 95-96. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 59 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Keep us posted Will do- I always value your posts as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Prestige Worldwide said: Models Seen Warmer Overnight as Natural Gas Futures Slide Early- Boil down 10% this morning. Nat gas bulls getting crushed this season Stock market is on a heater just like our region 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 Christmas eve temps...you just gotta laugh. might be on par with what Thanksgiving temps were. I was not thinking that would happen this year...I may be mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Christmas eve temps...you just gotta laugh. might be on par with what Thanksgiving temps were. I was not thinking that would happen this year...I may be mistaken. We maybe warmer than Thanksgiving 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 Took a peek at the weekly control for fun. How does this 30 day mean lead to this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Took a peek at the weekly control for fun. How does this 30 day mean lead to this Shut this place down if that happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 That would be workable with about 170% of normal rainfall. We'll get our heavy snow later in Feb. and March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Took a peek at the weekly control for fun. How does this 30 day mean lead to this I'm looking forward to your "if it can't snow in this pattern " posts mid January 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 38 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'm looking forward to your "if it can't snow in this pattern " posts mid January Last time we had a 30 day period with that favorable a long wave pattern but barely any snow was 2021 the excuse was “but it’s a Nina”. If that happens again in a Nino I accept no excuses. It’s time to burn this place down! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2023 Share Posted December 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Last time we had a 30 day period with that favorable a long wave pattern but barely any snow was 2021 the excuse was “but it’s a Nina”. If that happens again in a Nino I accept no excuses. It’s time to burn this place down! I said MID January!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Last time we had a 30 day period with that favorable a long wave pattern but barely any snow was 2021 the excuse was “but it’s a Nina”. If that happens again in a Nino I accept no excuses. It’s time to burn this place down! Now you're talkin!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Last time we had a 30 day period with that favorable a long wave pattern but barely any snow was 2021 the excuse was “but it’s a Nina”. If that happens again in a Nino I accept no excuses. It’s time to burn this place down! We are about to enter another one. I am going on record no snow in January. Watch it happen. Strat warming, weeklies, ensembles ….we are taking it straight up the tail pipe….ok 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 20, 2023 Share Posted December 20, 2023 8 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Last time we had a 30 day period with that favorable a long wave pattern but barely any snow was 2021 the excuse was “but it’s a Nina”. If that happens again in a Nino I accept no excuses. It’s time to burn this place down! That would be my farewell to this forum--I'd put the site blocker on permanently, lol Like there would literally be no point to tracking snow anymore, then coming in here to be collaboratively miserable. I mean why do that? Quite frankly if this doesn't work this time, and you aren't in it for the enjoyment of the science, and are just here for the snow like many of us, you'd best sign off and not waste anymore time and emotional energy. Not to mention though...wouldn't that also show that the entire snow climo of entire I-95 corridor even up to Boston just deteriorated so rapidly? That would be pretty crazy to see. I mean mercy the blitz of 2013-2016 wasn't THAT long ago was it? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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