rclab Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Funny how everytime @MJO812posts, a weenie gets its buns lol...usually @snowman19 doing the honors. 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: It's like the cold miser vs the heat miser Good afternoon 40/70, Brian. I feel Anthony’s and S19’s dynamic will lead to a richly rewarding joint business venture in the future. Of course located in the NNE. Stay well, as always …… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 33 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Even this weekend's storm track up to the benchmark would be mostly rain outside of the higher elevations Its actually hugging the coast, but yea...no cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Unfortunately that wave may complete its cycle before we really see things reshuffle enough to get legit cold air in place and the pattern setup as we want. Could be into the COD or even weakly into 3-4 by the time we reach 1/2-1/5 which is when I think we might have the Pac/Canada setup well. It could be partially why though we saw things turn better overall in the post 12/20 period after ensembles abandoned ship for 2-3 days last week,This isn’t helping either. And make no mistake about it, this Niño is not done strengthening yet. It’s going to warm further. @Bluewave 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Just now, snowman19 said: This isn’t helping either. And make no mistake about it, this Niño is not done strengthening yet. It’s going to warm further. @Bluewave So winter canceled ? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: So winter canceled ? Canceled through 1/1 tune back in later for the 2nd half 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 28 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: The most shocking thing is the low snow pack in the mountains out west. Ninos usually bring prolific snows to the California mountains especially. North American snow extent now the lowest on record for this date going back almost 20 years. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/snow/HTML/snow_extent_monitor.html 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Just 45 short days away..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 The lack of any decent cold air source(outside of a random day or two) going back to last winter is amazing..... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: North American snow extent now the lowest on record for this date going back almost 20 years. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/snow/HTML/snow_extent_monitor.html Oh my God the world is melting...I have no ice left in my freezer! 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Under bright sunshine, the warmth is again overperforming. Readings are running about 1.5 sigma or more above the modeled highs. High temperatures through 2 pm include: Bridgeport: 55° Islip: 55° New York City: 56° Newark: 59° White Plains: 56° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 33 minutes ago, MJO812 said: So winter canceled ? Why do you even respond to this guy?. You know what his agenda is..how many years has he done this on the message boards? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, WX-PA said: Why do you even respond to this guy?. You know what his agenda is..how many years has he done this on the message boards? Well has he really been wrong? Agenda or not we know how things turned out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Dream Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 This board is toxic doom and gloom thanks to a few posters…sad 3 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 2 hours ago, WX-PA said: Oh my God the world is melting...I have no ice left in my freezer! That is the prevailing opinion for most people off this board who want our winters to be milder with less snow. We are definitely in the minority in liking colder and snowier winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Facts are super triggering for far too many 3 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 54 for a high here today. Flooding is a real concern Sunday night going into Monday AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 2 hours ago, WX-PA said: Why do you even respond to this guy?. You know what his agenda is..how many years has he done this on the message boards? I don't think Brian is a troll. Just loves warm weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Just now, MJO812 said: I don't think Brian is a troll. Just loves warm weather. Talks about actual pattern = loves warm weather. This place is truly amazing. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: Talks about actual pattern = loves warm weather. This place is truly amazing. He does ? That's new to me but he is a weenie like all of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 From 28 to 58 today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: From 28 to 58 today. 26 to 55 here today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 66 (2015) NYC: 68 (2015) LGA: 67 (2008) Lows: EWR: 12 (2005) NYC: 8 (1874) LGA: 15 (1962) Historical: 1839 - The first of triple storms hit Massachusetts Bay. The storm produced whole gales, and more than 20 inches of snow in interior New England. There was great loss of life at Gloucester MA. (David Ludlum) 1901 - An intense cold front swept across the eastern U.S. The cold front produced heavy rain in Louisiana, and heavy snow in the northeastern U.S. (David Ludlum) 1945 - A record December snowstorm buried Buffalo, NY, under 36.6 inches of snow, with unofficial totals south of the city ranging up to 70 inches. Travel was brought to a halt by the storm. (14th-17th) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A major winter storm hit the Great Lakes Region, intensifying explosively as it crossed northern Illinois. High winds and heavy snow created blizzard conditions in southeastern Wisconsin. Winds gusted to 73 mph, and snowfall totals ranged up to 17 inches at LaFarge. The barometric pressure at Chicago IL dropped three quarters of an inch in six hours to 28.96 inches, a record low reading for December. Up to a foot of snow blanketed northern Illinois, and winds in the Chicago area gusted to 75 mph. O'Hare Airport in Chicago was closed for several hours, for only the fourth time in twenty years. High winds derailed train cars at Avon IN. Light winds and partly sunny skies were reported near the center of the storm, a feature typical of tropical storms. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - High pressure in the Pacific Northwest and low pressure in the southwestern U.S. combined to produced high winds from Utah to California. Winds gusting to 70 mph in the San Francisco area left nearly 300,000 residents without electricity. Winds in Utah gusted to 105 mph at Centerville. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A couple of low pressure systems spread heavy snow across the northeastern U.S. Up to two feet of snow was reported along Lake Erie in northeastern Ohio, and up to ten inches was reported in Connecticut. Heavy snow squalls developed over Michigan for the third day in a row. Three Oaks MI reported 25 inches of snow in two days. Twenty-six cities in the north central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 10 degrees below zero at Wichita KS was a December record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - Freezing rain and ice pellets fell throughout portions of the southeast U.S. The accumulation of ice caused about 683,000 utilities customers to lose power from northern Georgia northward through the western Carolinas. The power outages were the result of ice accretions of up to three-quarter inch in thickness. The ice storm was blamed for at least four deaths (Associated Press). 2010 - A winter storm swept across parts of the Southeast U.S., bringing a mixed bag of snow, sleet, and freezing rain, making for treacherous travel conditions. At least eight people were killed in Alabama, Mississippi, and North Carolina in weather-related traffic fatalities. Schools were forced to close and thousands of residents lost power in North Carolina and Virginia. The winter storm also impacted Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, West Virginia, Delaware, Maryland, and Washington D.C. (NCDC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Rainy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Under brilliant sunshine, the temperature soared into the middle and upper 50s across the region. The mild weather will continue through the weekend. A significant rainstorm is likely Sunday evening into Monday. A general 1"-3" of rain is possible with locally higher amounts. Strong winds and coastal flooding are likely. Tree and power line damage could occur. No Arctic air appears likely through the remainder of December. A transition to a colder pattern could commence during the first week of January. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.9°C for the week centered around December 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.97°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. A basinwide El Niño event is ongoing. El Niño conditions will may strengthen somewhat further this month. The SOI was -7.68 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.152 today. Strong blocking in the final week of November, as occurred this year, has often been followed by frequent blocking in December and January. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 41.8° (2.7° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: Well has he really been wrong? Only when its cold or snowy. It's been his year. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 2 hours ago, Rjay said: Talks about actual pattern = loves warm weather. This place is truly amazing. Exactly...x10 Making it barely tolerable in here. Such a shame how things have changed since I joined 9 years ago. So much to learn back then. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Exactly...x10 Making it barely tolerable in here. Such a shame how things have changed since I joined 9 years ago. So much to learn back then.https://www.instagram.com/reel/C0nRf2rPV_y/. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 There are some serious first world problems going on in here. What's so terrible? Replies we disagree with, feel aren't logically sound, or are written just to get a rise out of people? Or worst of all, God forbid, there's a tiny picture of a hotdog being applied to a post we like? Does it really need to be said that you can ignore posters you find irritating anytime you like? And just don't look at the emojis if that's too rough. I blame the lack of snow on all of this, dammit. Contrast with when a big storm, predicted for days, is finally bearing down on the area. That's when this place is awesome, when the whole 'I love you man!' vibe pervades. You know, when you get people saying stuff like 'I'm getting shut out, but you guys in location X enjoy it! I love you man!" It's the comical polar opposite of what we're seeing right now. Just one real storm threat, that's all we need, like a Christmas miracle. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Central Park three hours ago just tied the record for most consecutive days without at least two inches of snow and tonight at midnight will set the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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