40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 20 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Same sentiments. I really did think that the mjo would go into 7-8-1 because of those 30c ssts east of the dateline. And those warm waters run even deeper than the MC. I thought placing more importance on the impacts of MC ssts over the E Dateline ssts was misguided, but maybe I gotta rethink that. Again, I’m no expert on the MJO because we kinda glossed over it in my met studies. So that’s where my knowledge gap is, I guess I'm not there yet. If the whole winter succumbs to a roaring PAC jet, then maybe. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 46 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i don't think that's it's needed per se, but it would definitely help set the stage for a very blocky February. I think the jet retraction is the main catalyst for a more favorable Jan pattern and the main blocking spell coincides with the SPV shenanigans heading into Feb Yeah for Feb sure, was more talking Jan since that's where we kicked the can to at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Volcanic Winter said: Ah yes, the Four Horsemen of the Warmpocalypse. I wouldn't give credit to Snowman19 and Snowski. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Great job Allsnow and Bluewave . Stuck to your guns and never waivered for this month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I wouldn't give credit to Snowman19 and Snowski. Why they nailed it why you were still barking -NAO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Why they nailed it why you were still barking -NAO A broken clock is still right twice a day. That said statistics is still against a shutout snow wise here this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, JustinRP37 said: A broken clock is still right twice a day. That said statistics is still against a shutout snow wise here this year. Rare any year let alone 2 yrs in a row. But we better flip to a better pattern before too much of January gets away or it may be a very brief winter for the coastal plain... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Rare any year let alone 2 yrs in a row. But we better flip to a better pattern before too much of January gets away or it may be a very brief winter for the coastal plain... I wouldn't be surprised if we have a miserable, chilly March, because why not? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 I'm not there yet. If the whole winter succumbs to a roaring PAC jet, then maybe.The polar jet is finally taking a break after the last 3 years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, nycsnow said: Models starting to show some impacts up here Monday from that storm developing in the south over the weekend May head up the coast, don't know how far up though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 9 minutes ago, North and West said: I wouldn't be surprised if we have a miserable, chilly March, because why not? April too-nothing like the annual -NAO to trap a chilly damp airmass for a week straight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: April too-nothing like the annual -NAO to trap a chilly damp airmass for a week straight Last Palm Sunday, I went to my younger son's baseball season opener where it was a pleasant 32 and breezy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: April too-nothing like the annual -NAO to trap a chilly damp airmass for a week straight 100%. We warmed December however we paid for it with colder Novembers and April's when we usually cannot snow anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 41 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: A broken clock is still right twice a day. That said statistics is still against a shutout snow wise here this year. This^ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Why they nailed it why you were still barking -NAO because how you act makes a difference. Im with MJO on this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 seems as though we havent had our daily dose of mjo talk yet, so i'll just drop this here... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Yay more rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 The glove of Michigan caught the 540 line . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Why they nailed it why you were still barking -NAO Seriously ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 40 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: because how you act makes a difference. Im with MJO on this. We need snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Yay more rain Yep. Absolutely no cold air anywhere close, all southern stream driven, rain all the way to Montreal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: We need snow Change your name back 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yay more rain Congrats Mt Washington. Given that airmass you’re going to need to be above 4,000’ for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 seems as though we havent had our daily dose of mjo talk yet, so i'll just drop this here...I don’t know what this means, but I laughed. +1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 18 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Change your name back Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Holiday spirit was vibing this morning, it was nice. Let’s not lose it yeah? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 23 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Congrats Mt Washington. Given that airmass you’re going to need to be above 4,000’ for snow. reminds me of the storm of 94-95 right at xmas-big winds but no cold anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 27 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Change your name back I think I might have to. Winters have sucked once I changed it. Any suggestions on a name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I think I might have to. Winters have sucked once I changed it. Any suggestions on a name? Metfan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 I think I might have to. Winters have sucked once I changed it. Any suggestions on a name?MetSnowFeen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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