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December 2023


brooklynwx99
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1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Funny how everytime @MJO812posts, a weenie gets its buns lol...usually @snowman19 doing the honors.

 

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

It's like the cold miser vs the heat miser

Good afternoon 40/70, Brian. I feel Anthony’s and S19’s dynamic will lead to a richly rewarding joint business venture in the future. Of course located in the NNE. Stay well, as always ……

 

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Unfortunately that wave may complete its cycle before we really see things reshuffle enough to get legit cold air in place and the pattern setup as we want.  Could be into the COD or even weakly into 3-4 by the time we reach 1/2-1/5 which is when I think we might have the Pac/Canada setup well.  It could be partially why though we saw things turn better overall in the post 12/20 period after ensembles abandoned ship for 2-3 days last week,

This isn’t helping either. And make no mistake about it, this Niño is not done strengthening yet. It’s going to warm further. @Bluewave



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28 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

The most shocking thing is the low snow pack in the mountains out west. Ninos usually bring prolific snows to the California mountains especially.

North American snow extent now the lowest on record for this date going back almost 20 years. 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/snow/HTML/snow_extent_monitor.html

 

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2 hours ago, WX-PA said:

Oh my God the world is melting...I have no ice left in my freezer!

That is the prevailing opinion for most people off this board who want our winters to be milder with less snow. We are definitely in the minority in liking colder and snowier winters. 

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Records:

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 66 (2015)
NYC: 68 (2015)
LGA: 67 (2008)

Lows:

EWR: 12 (2005)
NYC: 8 (1874)
LGA: 15 (1962)

Historical:

 

1839 - The first of triple storms hit Massachusetts Bay. The storm produced whole gales, and more than 20 inches of snow in interior New England. There was great loss of life at Gloucester MA. (David Ludlum)

1901 - An intense cold front swept across the eastern U.S. The cold front produced heavy rain in Louisiana, and heavy snow in the northeastern U.S. (David Ludlum)

1945 - A record December snowstorm buried Buffalo, NY, under 36.6 inches of snow, with unofficial totals south of the city ranging up to 70 inches. Travel was brought to a halt by the storm. (14th-17th) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A major winter storm hit the Great Lakes Region, intensifying explosively as it crossed northern Illinois. High winds and heavy snow created blizzard conditions in southeastern Wisconsin. Winds gusted to 73 mph, and snowfall totals ranged up to 17 inches at LaFarge. The barometric pressure at Chicago IL dropped three quarters of an inch in six hours to 28.96 inches, a record low reading for December. Up to a foot of snow blanketed northern Illinois, and winds in the Chicago area gusted to 75 mph. O'Hare Airport in Chicago was closed for several hours, for only the fourth time in twenty years. High winds derailed train cars at Avon IN. Light winds and partly sunny skies were reported near the center of the storm, a feature typical of tropical storms. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - High pressure in the Pacific Northwest and low pressure in the southwestern U.S. combined to produced high winds from Utah to California. Winds gusting to 70 mph in the San Francisco area left nearly 300,000 residents without electricity. Winds in Utah gusted to 105 mph at Centerville. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A couple of low pressure systems spread heavy snow across the northeastern U.S. Up to two feet of snow was reported along Lake Erie in northeastern Ohio, and up to ten inches was reported in Connecticut. Heavy snow squalls developed over Michigan for the third day in a row. Three Oaks MI reported 25 inches of snow in two days. Twenty-six cities in the north central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 10 degrees below zero at Wichita KS was a December record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2005 - Freezing rain and ice pellets fell throughout portions of the southeast U.S. The accumulation of ice caused about 683,000 utilities customers to lose power from northern Georgia northward through the western Carolinas. The power outages were the result of ice accretions of up to three-quarter inch in thickness. The ice storm was blamed for at least four deaths (Associated Press).

2010 - A winter storm swept across parts of the Southeast U.S., bringing a mixed bag of snow, sleet, and freezing rain, making for treacherous travel conditions. At least eight people were killed in Alabama, Mississippi, and North Carolina in weather-related traffic fatalities. Schools were forced to close and thousands of residents lost power in North Carolina and Virginia. The winter storm also impacted Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, West Virginia, Delaware, Maryland, and Washington D.C. (NCDC)

 

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Under brilliant sunshine, the temperature soared into the middle and upper 50s across the region. The mild weather will continue through the weekend.

A significant rainstorm is likely Sunday evening into Monday. A general 1"-3" of rain is possible with locally higher amounts. Strong winds and coastal flooding are likely. Tree and power line damage could occur.

No Arctic air appears likely through the remainder of December. A transition to a colder pattern could commence during the first week of January.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.9°C for the week centered around December 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.97°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. A basinwide El Niño event is ongoing. El Niño conditions will may strengthen somewhat further this month.  

The SOI was -7.68 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.152 today. Strong blocking in the final week of November, as occurred this year, has often been followed by frequent blocking in December and January.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal December (1991-2020 normal). December will likely finish with a mean temperature near 41.8° (2.7° above normal).

 

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There are some serious first world problems going on in here.  What's so terrible?  Replies we disagree with, feel aren't logically sound, or are written just to get a rise out of people?  Or worst of all, God forbid, there's a tiny picture of a hotdog being applied to a post we like?  Does it really need to be said that you can ignore posters you find irritating anytime you like?  And just don't look at the emojis if that's too rough.

I blame the lack of snow on all of this, dammit. 

Contrast with when a big storm, predicted for days, is finally bearing down on the area.  That's when this place is awesome, when the whole 'I love you man!' vibe pervades.  You know, when you get people saying stuff like 'I'm getting shut out, but you guys in location X enjoy it! I love you man!"  It's the comical polar opposite of what we're seeing right now.

Just one real storm threat, that's all we need, like a Christmas miracle.

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