Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Gfs came back well west as some surmised yesterday . Nam probably will correct at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Christmas miracle on gfs op? Actually gives us two storms…Dec 19-20 and then it looks like on Xmas day if it went one more frame. That would change all the whining in a hurry. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Christmas miracle on gfs op? "Long range storms are frightful, but at Christmas they’re downright spiteful If somehow they give you snow… we know what we’ll get will be ‘No’! If they show a coastal popping, just in time for our holiday shopping By the time it gets here we know… won’t be snow, won’t be snow, won’t be snow… But if the long range all show a Grinch, then we’re certain it will be a cinch We can lock it in – it’s been clinched: won’t be snow, won’t be snow, won’t be snow!" Why do I always feel this dread about long-range storms as Christmas looms? Oh yeah - emotionalogy vs meteorology - NVM! 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Actually gives us two storms…Dec 19-20 and then it looks like on Xmas day if it went one more frame. That would change all the whining in a hurry. QQtrollmega just quit the board… 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 The good ole days when December snowed . Remember like it was yesterday. https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1733471557744259309?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: QQtrollmega just quit the board… We laugh 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: QQtrollmega just quit the board… Him and Allsnow…they won’t like a post that shows two winter storms in the long range, but they’ll like, and comment on a grinch or a big warm extended every single time….that’s the true tell tale sing of a troll, and an agenda. Ya, we know it’s the extended(way out there), and we can’t even figure out Monday yet, so we know odds are extremely low out that far, of anything that is shown today on modeling to be correct. But it goes both ways when you’re talking about 16 days out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Him and Allsnow…they won’t like a post that shows two winter storms in the long range, but they’ll like, and comment on a grinch or a big warm extended every single time….that’s the true tell tale sing of a troll, and an agenda. Ya, we know it’s the extended(way out there), and we can’t even figure out Monday yet, so we know odds are extremely low out that far, of anything that is shown today on modeling to be correct. But it goes both ways when you’re talking about 16 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I agree with that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I agree with that. Always fun when the ensemble mean is 170 knots. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I agree with that. Careful… I’m a marked man and wolf lurks I knew you would agree…you are very good at reading a pattern in the 11-15 day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: I agree with that. The N PAC raging jet is a good sign because that’s how you get an Aleutian low to set up shop…something we haven’t seen this cold season yet consistently. Wont be much cold into Canada initially but we can still get threats (06z GFS is an example)…as the Aleutian low matures more, you hopefully start pumping up the PNA ridging and you begin to get some colder temps. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The N PAC raging jet is a good sign because that’s how you get an Aleutian low to set up shop…something we haven’t seen this cold season yet consistently. Wont be much cold into Canada initially but we can still get threats (06z GFS is an example)…as the Aleutian low matures more, you hopefully start pumping up the PNA ridging and you begin to get some colder temps. I’d like to see it a little colder for these parts overall. A little too much PAC jet for my liking. But yeah, maybe something like 6z gfs can break right. I’m just kind of “eh” on the look so far. By no means am I looking for a KU pattern. I’d like the source region a little cooler than -6 at 850 though. It does look to get active which certainly is a plus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 2 hours ago, metagraphica said: Flaccid aggressive? To be fair I was talking about 00z lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 42 minutes ago, qg_omega said: We laugh We post without restrictions. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 But it’s probably a good look for in and up for sure. Hopefully we can 6z gfs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 In this situation I’m all for flaccid… we have renters so the anxiety is real lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 6 hours ago, weathafella said: Long range guidance fell apart in a hurry. Wow! We punt 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 minute ago, alex said: In this situation I’m all for flaccid… we have renters so the anxiety is real lol Newlyweds sitting on opposite ends of the couch unmotivated by the heavy rains on their NNE getaway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Actually gives us two storms…Dec 19-20 and then it looks like on Xmas day if it went one more frame. That would change all the whining in a hurry. probably not - the whining and grousing and having a reason to troll anyone with a hint of optimism seems to really be why/for a larger contribution to this engagement is really here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: probably not - the whining and grousing and having a reason to troll anyone with a hint of optimism seems to really be why/for a larger contribution to this engagement is really here. Once you are retired from the regular rat race of 9-5 work, we need you to write a book about the psychology of the weather forums…maybe even document the changes from the early years of the 2000s to the incessant whining of the present day, lol. 3 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 12z nam develops low faster looks like snows almost into D.C really Hits Va, E Pa (except for I-95) and Hudson valley area pretty hard . NW Nj into Berks as well . Longitude storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 12z nam develops low faster looks like snows almost into D.C Congrats DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Rain for Tamarack and snow for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Rain for Tamarack and snow for DC. Nam went wild with a 6” plus strip deep from Saint Lawrence valley SW to Central parts of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Once you are retired from the regular rat race of 9-5 work, we need you to write a book about the psychology of the weather forums…maybe even document the changes from the early years of the 2000s to the incessant whining of the present day, lol. sorry... shouldn't have brought it up. ha. Nothing like setting off a weekend with people put into defensive anger. hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Yea. That’s entertainment we’re getting now, as the snow weenies post those 384 hr+ H5 maps with long wave pattern decently positioned “pattern change!” but North America effin’ torched under the hood. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 Kraft reach around jet on NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 I’m on board pre Xmas for a big un ‘ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2023 Share Posted December 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 12z nam develops low faster looks like snows almost into D.C really Hits Va, E Pa (except for I-95) and Hudson valley area pretty hard . NW Nj into Berks as well . Longitude storm Drops a couple east of River. Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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