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6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That has been showing up for several runs.

Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November”

But he’s also thinking-you guys all know we’ll have a foot of upslope post crops right?

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10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That has been showing up for several runs.

Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November”

going to suck hard if we get two cutters between mon event and the 20th. 

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15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That has been showing up for several runs.

Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November”

Wait....You're not optimistic that will change for the better?  What?

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The worst of the weather will likely be overnight Sunday anyways when everyone will be sleeping. It will be pretty breezy for everyone...would suspect sustained winds 15-25 mph (lesser for those sheltered) with gusts 30-40. Certainly nothing special. We'll see stronger wind gusts probably with the CAA

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface 

I think you meant 925 and up (higher).  What’s the mechanism to mix down?   I mean you call this in every system west of us so what’s your thinking of how it evolves and why?

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1) Strong convection 

2) steep llvl lapse rates

That's what you need to really get the wind to perform in these setups. Heavy rain can certainly help with momentum transport, however, the heavy rain also further weakens the lapse rates and can enhance llvl inversions. 

It is certainly possible there could be a rouge 45-55 mph gust inland if there are any embedded areas of strong convection. I still think there may be a forced line of convection along the front, but instability seems pretty weak and there probably won't be much, if any, lightning. If anything, this line would help get some gusts in the 35-40 mph range as opposed to 25-35 which will be more common.

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